{"allowContribute":false,"item":{"activeCommit":"6fb245d94c7d8229cc735076e55d446946bbee45","apis":{"routes":[],"types":{}},"backendSchedules":null,"bundleHash":"d156069b49e68694","createdAt":1782434963155,"displayName":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","gitCommit":"6fb245d94c7d8229cc735076e55d446946bbee45","id":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","isPublic":true,"itemType":"PLUGIN","name":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","pluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","repositoryID":"repo_356616ae3af1ecad0a40cafb","status":"active","updatedAt":1787119794616,"updatedBy":{"userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"version":20},"ownerMemberId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","ownerName":"po shing wong","publicPlugins":{"PLUGIN":{"pluginItemId":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","pluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","bundleHash":"d156069b49e68694","live":true}},"subtree":[{"activeCommit":"6fb245d94c7d8229cc735076e55d446946bbee45","apis":{"routes":[],"types":{}},"backendSchedules":null,"bundleHash":"d156069b49e68694","createdAt":1782434963155,"displayName":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","gitCommit":"6fb245d94c7d8229cc735076e55d446946bbee45","id":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","isPublic":true,"itemType":"PLUGIN","name":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","pluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","repositoryID":"repo_356616ae3af1ecad0a40cafb","status":"active","updatedAt":1787119794616,"updatedBy":{"userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"version":20},{"createdAt":1782434970719,"deletedAt":null,"id":"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","isPublic":false,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_FOLDER","name":"我的 VCP 觀察清單","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"vcpWatch":1782434970719},"preParentID":null,"reviewedAt":1788484052901,"updatedAt":1788484053870,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"ceo","agentName":"CEO","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"version":4},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-09-24】覆核 [confirmed]：收盤 32.55，低於既定 stopPrice 33.33（-2.3%），依價位鐵律 watching → invalidated。日線歷史服務本輪回傳 502，未重算量能與六維分數；既有 vcpScore 83.6 僅保留為歷史評估，30 天未恢復再依汰除規則處理。\n\n---\n【2026-08-26】四維重評 83.6（技術 98／基本 78／籌碼 85／RS 64）。收 35.01，距 52 週高 -3.5%、對 50 日線 4.18%、對 200 日線 24.47%，對 SPY 加權超額 11.1%。八／四／兩週振幅 14.3%／12.5%／5.8%，五日量為 50 日均量 73%，收縮 2 層。樞紐 36.28／停損 33.33（風險 8.9%，距樞紐 3.63%）。風險高於部門 6% 標準，僅可縮小部位。\n\n---\n2026-08-20 覆核債｜內部人累積買進仍是優點，但 30Y 5.24% 與資產管理估值壓力破壞原高分緊縮，降 degraded；待重築基底。\n\n---\n2026-07-06 深度覆核｜機構與內部人籌碼佳。","companyName":"Franklin Resources Inc","contractionLevels":2,"createdAt":1783370586835,"fundamentalScore":78,"id":"2a0eea2bd4ca0f2256a938b6","institutionalScore":85,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1790289707825,"name":"BEN Franklin Resources Inc","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1783370586835},"pivotPrice":36.28,"rsRating":64,"sector":"資產管理","setupStatus":"invalidated","stopPrice":33.33,"symbol":"BEN","updatedAt":1790289710720,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"個股評分官","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":83.6,"version":10,"volumeContractionPct":42},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-09-24】覆核 [confirmed]：收盤 150.19，已低於既定 stopPrice 157.15（-4.4%），依價位鐵律 nearPivot → invalidated。日線歷史服務本輪回傳 502，未重算量能與六維分數；保留既有 vcpScore 82.1 作歷史紀錄，30 天未恢復再依汰除規則處理。\n\n---\n【2026-08-26】四維重評 82.1（技術 100／基本 74／籌碼 72／RS 71）。收 163.08，距 52 週高 -1.58%、對 50 日線 5.24%、對 200 日線 24.41%，對 SPY 加權超額 18.8%。八／四／兩週振幅 14.9%／8.3%／5.4%，五日量為 50 日均量 59%，收縮 2 層。樞紐 165.69／停損 157.15（風險 5.4%，距樞紐 1.6%）。\n\n---\n2026-08-25 覆核（時間戳校正）：vcpScore 86→78，維持 nearPivot。RS 88、距 52 週高 -1.23%、近 5 日均量／50 日均量 0.61 為全清單最乾涸的量能之一、停損 157.15 風險 5.2%，結構良好。下修原因同 STT：收縮僅 1 段（6.5%），基底層次單薄；U/D 量比 0.83 偏弱。\n\n---\n2026-08-24｜degraded → nearPivot。距 52 週高 -2.1%、50 日線 +5.4%、200 日線 +25.0%，RS 超額 +19.5（清單前 15%）。","companyName":"The Bank of New York Mellon","contractionLevels":2,"createdAt":1784164411743,"fundamentalScore":74,"id":"16ecdaa0e00f03b5960a5b88","institutionalScore":72,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1790289707825,"name":"BNY The Bank of New York Mellon","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1784164411743},"pivotPrice":165.69,"rsRating":71,"sector":"銀行","setupStatus":"invalidated","stopPrice":157.15,"symbol":"BNY","updatedAt":1790289710720,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"個股評分官","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":82.1,"version":11,"volumeContractionPct":50},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-09-24】覆核 [confirmed]：收盤 71.90，較 8/26 的 69.73 上升 3.1%。但日線歷史服務本輪回傳 502，無法驗證收縮段、量能與 50/200 日線，且既有圖形仍未有可確認的成對 pivot／stop；維持 watching，不升為 nearPivot 或 triggered，亦不重算既有分數。\n\n---\n【2026-08-26】四維重評 81.9（技術 71／基本 85／籌碼 80／RS 99）。收 69.73，距 52 週高 -7.86%、對 50 日線 17.82%、對 200 日線 61.91%，對 SPY 加權超額 81.3%。八／四／兩週振幅 65.2%／28.5%／17.1%，五日量為 50 日均量 79%，收縮 1 層。最後一段收縮尚未定形（振幅或風險超標），依鐵律第 5 條不填價位、狀態維持觀察。\n\n---\n2026-08-20 全清單重點覆核｜重新檢視既有型態、基本面與籌碼紀錄；本輪未發現足以推翻前次結論的已確認新證據，setupStatus 維持 watching、vcpScore 維持 72。未取得足以確認的新 pivot／stop，依規則不虛構價位。\n\n---\n【8/11 覆核】80分買進觀察：Q2 EPS $6.22(beat $2.07)、rev $11.68B(+56.2%)、GM $23.40/bbl(vs $8.38)、crack spread $43.48、淨利$906M、減債62%。機構404家/net flow +61、Smart Money 81 Strong、Two Sigma+90%/Arrowstreet+54.6%。油價$88-90順風、上方幾乎無阻力。⚠️籌碼RS偏低(75)、油價單一主變數。","companyName":"PBF Energy","contractionLevels":1,"createdAt":1786480669506,"fundamentalScore":85,"id":"580478f8a692c2b90ed204ac","institutionalScore":80,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1790289707825,"name":"PBF PBF Energy","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1786480670306},"rsRating":99,"sector":"能源/煉油","setupStatus":"watching","symbol":"PBF","updatedAt":1790289710720,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"個股評分官","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":81.9,"version":7,"volumeContractionPct":32},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-09-24】覆核 [confirmed]：收盤 82.63，較 8/26 的 94.09 下跌 12.2%。日線歷史服務本輪回傳 502，未能重新驗證 50/200 日線、ATR 與量能；因此不重算 VCP 子分或編造 pivot／stop。因原本尚無成對價位且現價明顯回落，watching → degraded；下輪應優先以完整日線重測，若跌勢確認且 RS 持續負值，列入汰除審查。\n\n---\n【2026-08-26】四維重評 78.3（技術 89／基本 87／籌碼 72／RS 55）。收 94.09，距 52 週高 -5.24%、對 50 日線 1.8%、對 200 日線 10.01%，對 SPY 加權超額 0.1%。八／四／兩週振幅 11.8%／10.3%／6.7%，五日量為 50 日均量 88%，收縮 2 層。最後一段收縮尚未定形（振幅或風險超標），依鐵律第 5 條不填價位、狀態維持觀察。RS 超額僅 +0.1%，若下次覆核仍未轉正將列汰除候選。\n\n---\n2026-08-20 全清單重點覆核｜重新檢視既有型態、基本面與籌碼紀錄；本輪未發現足以推翻前次結論的已確認新證據，setupStatus 維持 watching、vcpScore 維持 82。未取得足以確認的新 pivot／stop，依規則不虛構價位。\n\n---\n2026-07-07 深度覆核 — 🥈 買進。【VCP 品質 82】ChartMill 標記技術強度 + 建設性收斂。收縮層數 3，量縮 34%。【基本面 87】Q3 FY2026 營收 $4.352 億（+13.8%，有機 +8.2%）；Adj EPS $1.50（+23%，歷史新高）；毛利率 51.8%；上調 FY 指引至 Adj EPS $5.20-$5.30。淨現金 $1.486 億。【籌碼面 72】機構持股 76%，327 家機構。CEO Vineet Nargolwala 6/10 買入 $100 萬為重大信心訊號。【RS 82】穩定 \u003e80。","companyName":"Brady Corporation","contractionLevels":2,"createdAt":1783457326259,"fundamentalScore":87,"id":"0b931c76220025106d62607b","institutionalScore":72,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1790289707825,"name":"BRC Brady Corporation","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1783457326659},"rsRating":55,"sector":"工業標籤/安全","setupStatus":"degraded","symbol":"BRC","updatedAt":1790289710720,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"個股評分官","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":78.3,"version":9,"volumeContractionPct":49},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-09-24】覆核 [confirmed]：收盤 154.88，較 8/26 的 180.57 下跌 14.2%。既有資料沒有成對 pivot／stop；日線歷史服務本輪回傳 502，未能確認 50 日線與收縮結構，故不編造價位或重算分數。watching → degraded，下輪以完整日線驗證是否結構破壞與基本面／稀釋旗標。\n\n---\n【2026-08-26】四維重評 78.6（技術 84／基本 68／籌碼 62／RS 99）。收 180.57，距 52 週高 -5.77%、對 50 日線 12.72%、對 200 日線 43.1%，對 SPY 加權超額 51.5%。八／四／兩週振幅 40.7%／15.9%／9.5%，五日量為 50 日均量 72%，收縮 2 層。最後一段收縮尚未定形（振幅或風險超標），依鐵律第 5 條不填價位、狀態維持觀察。\n\n---\n2026-08-21 修正｜degraded → watching，vcpScore 65 → 72。收 184.89（持平），距 52 週高 191.62 僅 -3.5%，仍在高檔區整理，前次降級與現價結構不符。惟公司尚未獲利、7 月以來的 parabolic 段仍未完全消化，且盤後 -1.69%。未取得可查證的收縮高低點，pivot／stop 留空，維持 watching。失效：跌破 50 日線。\n\n---\n2026-08-20 全清單重點覆核｜重新檢視既有型態、基本面與籌碼紀錄；本輪未發現足以推翻前次結論的已確認新證據，setupStatus 維持 degraded、vcpScore 維持 65。未取得足以確認的新 pivot／stop，依規則不虛構價位。","companyName":"Glaukos Corporation","contractionLevels":2,"createdAt":1783672609554,"fundamentalScore":68,"id":"424737d8c6fa3f3838ddbfb5","institutionalScore":62,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1790289707825,"name":"GKOS Glaukos","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1783672609754},"rsRating":99,"sector":"醫療器械","setupStatus":"degraded","symbol":"GKOS","updatedAt":1790289710720,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"個股評分官","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":78.6,"version":9,"volumeContractionPct":48},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-09-23 三層定版｜Final #3｜Correction 下縮小部位】Stock 75.05 = .25×VC95.64 + .20×RS50 + .20×Base76.29 + .15×Volume56.98 + .10×Trend83.33 + .10×Fundamental90 [estimate]；Final = 75.05×.50 + SMH81.13×.30 + MHS48.75×.20 = 71.61。Opportunity_x 126.22，無排名分歧。三段收縮（60/30/15日）；pivot 390.06／stop 348.00、距樞紐−1.24%，nearPivot。共同失效：個股放量破50DMA；所屬板塊ETF破50DMA或細分行業cohesion\u003c60；VIX\u003e20連兩收盤擴張；SPX失守50DMA。OHLCV截至2026-09-23正式收盤[confirmed]；技術、基本面與板塊資料[estimate]。Correction（縮小部位）為最高護欄，不構成買賣建議。","companyName":"Analog Devices","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1790198796840,"fundamentalScore":90,"id":"e61d58900977a9472b3b8ed3","itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1790193600000,"name":"ADI Analog Devices","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1790198796840},"pivotPrice":390.06,"rsRating":50,"sector":"半導體大型核心類比","setupStatus":"nearPivot","stopPrice":348,"symbol":"ADI","updatedAt":1790198796840,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"6a45ed543b6df1268ebde8de","agentName":"Market agent","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":75.05,"version":1},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-09-23 三層定版｜Final #5｜Correction 下縮小部位】Stock 71.47 = .25×VC71.06 + .20×RS75 + .20×Base47.70 + .15×Volume63.81 + .10×Trend100 + .10×Fundamental96 [estimate]；Final = 71.47×.50 + IGV82.57×.30 + MHS48.75×.20 = 70.26。Opportunity_x 281.81，顯著高於 Final #5，僅作排名分歧提示。未形成可確認三段收縮；本輪無可靠 pivot／stop，維持 watching。共同失效：個股放量破50DMA；所屬板塊ETF破50DMA或細分行業cohesion\u003c60；VIX\u003e20連兩收盤擴張；SPX失守50DMA。OHLCV截至2026-09-23正式收盤[confirmed]；技術、基本面與板塊資料[estimate]。Correction（縮小部位）為最高護欄，不構成買賣建議。","companyName":"Microsoft","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1790113829593,"fundamentalScore":96,"id":"18b9b5454a6831339b943530","itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1790193600000,"name":"MSFT Microsoft","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1790113829593},"pivotPrice":null,"rsRating":75,"sector":"基建與資料軟體","setupStatus":"watching","stopPrice":null,"symbol":"MSFT","updatedAt":1790198787434,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"6a45ed543b6df1268ebde8de","agentName":"Market agent","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":71.47,"version":6},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-09-23 三層定版｜Final #1｜Correction 下縮小部位】Stock 79.08 = .25×VC95.99 + .20×RS65 + .20×Base66.86 + .15×Volume60.75 + .10×Trend100 + .10×Fundamental96 [estimate]；Final = 79.08×.50 + SMH81.13×.30 + MHS48.75×.20 = 73.63。Opportunity_x 119.42，無排名分歧。三段收縮（60/30/15日）；pivot 234.76／stop 208.93、距樞紐−3.94%，維持 watching。共同失效：個股放量破50DMA；所屬板塊ETF破50DMA或細分行業cohesion\u003c60；VIX\u003e20連兩收盤擴張；SPX失守50DMA。OHLCV截至2026-09-23正式收盤[confirmed]；技術、基本面與板塊資料[estimate]。Correction（縮小部位）為最高護欄，不構成買賣建議。","companyName":"NVIDIA","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1790113829593,"fundamentalScore":96,"id":"4837df533a70af75deb19e2b","itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1790193600000,"name":"NVDA NVIDIA","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1790113829893},"pivotPrice":234.76,"rsRating":65,"sector":"半導體大型核心類比","setupStatus":"watching","stopPrice":208.93,"symbol":"NVDA","updatedAt":1790198787434,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"6a45ed543b6df1268ebde8de","agentName":"Market agent","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":79.08,"version":6},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-09-23 三層定版｜Final #4｜Correction 下縮小部位】Stock 73.46 = .25×VC96.38 + .20×RS55 + .20×Base57.03 + .15×Volume61.51 + .10×Trend83.33 + .10×Fundamental94 [estimate]；Final = 73.46×.50 + SMH81.13×.30 + MHS48.75×.20 = 70.82。Opportunity_x 159.96，無排名分歧。三段收縮（60/30/15日）；pivot 452.88／stop 407.82、距樞紐−1.39%，nearPivot。共同失效：個股放量破50DMA；所屬板塊ETF破50DMA或細分行業cohesion\u003c60；VIX\u003e20連兩收盤擴張；SPX失守50DMA。OHLCV截至2026-09-23正式收盤[confirmed]；技術、基本面與板塊資料[estimate]。Correction（縮小部位）為最高護欄，不構成買賣建議。","companyName":"Taiwan Semiconductor","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1786394316150,"fundamentalScore":94,"id":"316474799832b13dc513bc7b","institutionalScore":70,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1790193600000,"name":"TSM Taiwan Semiconductor","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1786394316550},"pivotPrice":452.88,"rsRating":55,"sector":"半導體大型核心類比","setupStatus":"nearPivot","stopPrice":407.82,"symbol":"TSM","updatedAt":1790198787434,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"6a45ed543b6df1268ebde8de","agentName":"Market agent","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":73.46,"version":21,"volumeContractionPct":31},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-09-23 三層定版｜Final #2｜Correction 下縮小部位】Stock 74.22 = .25×VC95.51 + .20×RS90 + .20×Base33.93 + .15×Volume58.82 + .10×Trend83.33 + .10×Fundamental84 [estimate]；Final = 74.22×.50 + IGV82.57×.30 + MHS48.75×.20 = 71.63。Opportunity_x 128.82，無排名分歧。未形成可確認三段收縮；本輪無可靠 pivot／stop，維持 watching。共同失效：個股放量破50DMA；所屬板塊ETF破50DMA或細分行業cohesion\u003c60；VIX\u003e20連兩收盤擴張；SPX失守50DMA。OHLCV截至2026-09-23正式收盤[confirmed]；技術、基本面與板塊資料[estimate]。Correction（縮小部位）為最高護欄，不構成買賣建議。","companyName":"Datadog","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1790113829593,"fundamentalScore":84,"id":"92b69fc2a727b442ca34034f","itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1790193600000,"name":"DDOG Datadog","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1790113829793},"pivotPrice":null,"rsRating":90,"sector":"基建與資料軟體","setupStatus":"watching","stopPrice":null,"symbol":"DDOG","updatedAt":1790198787434,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"6a45ed543b6df1268ebde8de","agentName":"Market agent","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":74.22,"version":6},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-09-22 三層定版｜Final #2｜Rally Attempt 第4日僅觀察｜新增】Stock 83.22 = 0.25×VC 91.78 + 0.20×RS 77.79 + 0.20×Base 72.26 + 0.15×Vol 88.84 + 0.10×Trend 83.33 + 0.10×Fund 86.00 [estimate]；Sector 項採 IGV 82.57（細分 Gate 91.1 只作門檻）；MHS 66.50 → Final = 83.22×0.50 + 82.57×0.30 + 66.50×0.20 = 41.61 + 24.77 + 13.30 = 79.68。型態：三段波動收縮（60/30/15 日）；VC 91.78 與 Vol 88.84 是 13 檔中最強的收斂品質組合，pivot 187.94、stop 164.55，距樞紐 -1.57% → setupStatus=nearPivot（3% 內）。⚠ Base 72.26 低於 MSFT，右側基底較深；stop 與 pivot 相距 12.4%，容錯偏寬。Opp_x 229.50（第3）與 Final 名次同向，無分歧。失效：收破 164.55 即 invalidated；跌出樞紐 3% 區（約 182.30 以下）則 nearPivot 退回 watching；個股放量跌破 50DMA；IGV 跌破 50DMA 或細分群 Cohesion\u003c60；VIX\u003e20 連兩收盤擴張；SPX 失守 50DMA。nearPivot 僅為技術位置，Rally Attempt 護欄不解除。","companyName":"Palantir Technologies","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1790113829593,"fundamentalScore":86,"id":"6e654f89684034f80e68c731","itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1790107200000,"name":"PLTR Palantir Technologies","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1790113829693},"pivotPrice":187.94,"rsRating":77.79,"sector":"基建與資料軟體（母板塊 IGV）","setupStatus":"nearPivot","stopPrice":164.55,"symbol":"PLTR","updatedAt":1790114213491,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"6a45ed543b6df1268ebde8de","agentName":"Market agent","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":83.22,"version":3},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-09-21 三層定版｜Final #1｜Rally Attempt 待 FTD，僅觀察】首次列入觀察清單。Stock 67.92 = 0.25×VC 45.97 + 0.20×RS 49.71 + 0.20×Base 98.68 + 0.15×Vol 47.68 + 0.10×Trend 100.00 + 0.10×Fund 96.00 [estimate]；Sector 資訊科技 XLK 84.00（放行細分為 IT服務與硬體，Gate 71.0 只作門檻、不代入）；MHS 70.00 → Final = 67.92×0.50 + 84.00×0.30 + 70.00×0.20 = 33.960 + 25.200 + 14.000 = 73.16（本日全掃描第 1）。Opp_x 133.02（第 5，僅分歧診斷 — Final 登頂靠 Base 98.68與 Sector，非相對強度，RS 49.71 在 11 檔中僅第 6）。收 338.98 [confirmed]，當日 +0.85%，三段波動收縮（60/30/15日），pivot 338.49／stop 309.90，距 pivot +0.14%，setupStatus triggered（僅技術研究狀態；體制無合規 FTD，不解除 Rally Attempt 護欄，不構成進場訊號）。結構特徵：Base 98.68 為本輪全表最佳基底，Trend 滿分，屬「結構極乾淨但動能平庸」型候選；僅高於樞紐 0.14%，任何回落即退回 nearPivot 區間。基本面 [estimate]，未完成 SEC 文件級查核。失效：收破 309.90 即 invalidated；放量跌破 50 日線；板塊 ETF 跌破 50 日線或細分 cohesion\u003c60；VIX\u003e20 連兩收盤擴張；SPX 失守 50 日線。","companyName":"Apple","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1790026241962,"fundamentalScore":96,"id":"e7c677cf2c7a613ea4fa6ef7","itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1790020800000,"name":"AAPL Apple","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1790026241962},"pivotPrice":338.49,"rsRating":49.71,"sector":"資訊科技／IT服務與硬體","setupStatus":"triggered","stopPrice":309.9,"symbol":"AAPL","updatedAt":1790026241962,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"6a45ed543b6df1268ebde8de","agentName":"Market agent","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":67.92,"version":1},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-09-18 三層定版｜Final #5｜Rally Attempt 僅觀察】Stock 68.35 = 0.25×VC 60.9 + 0.20×RS 70 + 0.20×Base 76.1 + 0.15×Vol 32.7 + 0.10×Trend 100 + 0.10×Fund 90 [estimate]；Sector 能源 XLE 82.6（整合石油 Gate 93.6 只作放行門檻，已核對非煉油群）；MHS 50.00 → Final = 68.35×0.50 + 82.6×0.30 + 50.00×0.20 = 68.96（上游 Gate 版 72.25）。Opp_x 272.1（第 1，排名分歧僅診斷）。收 209.51 [confirmed]，緊密收縮，pivot 217.78／stop 207.12（上調自 197.82），距 pivot −3.80%，超出 3% 改為 watching；stop 僅低於收盤約 1.1%。失效：收破 207.12 即 invalidated；放量跌破 50 日線；整合石油 cohesion\u003c60 或板塊 ETF 跌破 50 日線；VIX\u003e20 連兩收盤擴張；SPX 失守 50 日線。\n\n---\n【2026-09-16 三層定版｜Final 第 10（總監修正）】Stock 64.9 = 0.25×VC 53.4 + 0.20×RS 65.4 + 0.20×Base 72.5 + 0.15×Vol 53.0 + 0.10×Trend 100 + 0.10×Fund 60 [estimate]。Layer 3 誤用 XOP 87.5；CVX 屬 XLE 樣本，修正為 XLE 84.6（大型整合 Gate 65.7）→ Final = 64.9×0.50 + 84.6×0.30 + 34.75×0.20 = 64.8（原 65.7），退出 Top 5。Opp_x 255.3（第 4）。收 211.54 [confirmed]，平台回測，新 pivot 217.78／stop 197.82，距 pivot −2.87%，在 3% 內維持 nearPivot。體制否決，只作觀察。失效：收破 197.82 或放量破 50DMA；XLE 破 50DMA 或 Gate\u003c60；油價／地緣反轉；VIX\u003e20 連兩收盤擴張。\n\n---\n2026-09-15 上游分數校正｜採 XLE 100.0 [confirmed]，CVX Final 校正為 66.9×0.50 + 100.0×0.30 + 39.25×0.20 = 71.3；收 217.77，仍因無相對均量確認維持 nearPivot、縮小部位。\n\n---\n2026-09-15 Correction 覆核｜收 217.77 [confirmed]，高於 pivot 214.71 +1.4%；未取得相對均量，依規則不標 triggered，維持 nearPivot。MHS 39.25；放量破 197.82、XLE 破趨勢、VIX\u003e20 或稀釋/反分割即失效。","companyName":"Chevron","contractionLevels":4,"createdAt":1788298603749,"fundamentalScore":90,"id":"8bf83ab590a668321cc859da","itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1789761600000,"name":"CVX Chevron","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1788298603849},"pivotPrice":217.78,"rsRating":70,"sector":"能源／整合石油","setupStatus":"watching","stopPrice":207.12,"symbol":"CVX","updatedAt":1789766647509,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"6a45ed543b6df1268ebde8de","agentName":"Market agent","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":68.35,"version":9,"volumeContractionPct":5},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-09-18 三層定版｜Final #4｜Rally Attempt 僅觀察】Stock 72.49 = 0.25×VC 77.1 + 0.20×RS 70 + 0.20×Base 74.9 + 0.15×Vol 54.9 + 0.10×Trend 100 + 0.10×Fund 60 [estimate]；Sector GDX 79.7（細分 Gate 83.0 只作放行門檻）；MHS 50.00 → Final = 72.49×0.50 + 79.7×0.30 + 50.00×0.20 = 70.16（上游以 Gate 計為 71.14，已由總監修正）。Opp_x 149（#6，僅作診斷）。收 36.33 [confirmed]，緊密收縮，pivot 39.44／stop 34.15，距 pivot -7.89%，watching。銀礦群只是勉強放行（21 日相對中位數 +0.3pp）；Sector 以 GDX 代理，若改用 XLB 25.8 則 Final 約 54，屬敏感項。失效：個股放量跌破 50 日線；銀礦 cohesion\u003c60、21 日相對中位數轉負或 GDX 跌破 50 日線；VIX\u003e20 且連兩收盤擴張；SPX 失守 50 日線；收盤跌破 34.15 則 invalidated。本紀錄不構成買賣建議。","companyName":"SSR Mining","createdAt":1789766522241,"fundamentalScore":60,"id":"fe25c16b12bef6fd610339e5","itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1789766484994,"name":"SSRM SSR Mining","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1789766522241},"pivotPrice":39.44,"rsRating":70,"sector":"原物料／銀礦","setupStatus":"watching","stopPrice":34.15,"symbol":"SSRM","updatedAt":1789766522241,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"6a45ed543b6df1268ebde8de","agentName":"Market agent","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":72.49,"version":1},{"analysisNotes":"2026-09-17 覆核｜沒有可驗證的本日收盤、相對量或財報後完整基底，維持 watching。pivotPrice／stopPrice 留白：財報後型態需重設，未有成熟結構前不編造價位或標記 nearPivot／triggered。\n\n---\n2026-08-26 初篩｜ChartMill Technical 8/10、Setup 9/10，標題為 Bull Flag Breakout Setup（該站演算法輸出、非本員定價）。收 33.39（+1.18%），量 5,962,834 股。52 週區間 21.34–34.42，距 52 週高 -2.99%，ChartMill 亦標示「距 52 週高 2.6% 以內」，屬本批最接近前高者之一。ChartMill 描述為「tight consolidation、valid support/resistance levels」。\n\n必須提醒的風險：BOX 於 8/25（昨日）剛公布財報，今日 +1.18% 屬財報後首日反應。依本部門財報濾網，財報跳空後的旗形基底僅 1–2 日、尚未成形，型態成熟度明顯不足；先確認財報後量價是否形成有效收縮再定價。收縮層數 3、量縮 30% 均為初篩估計值。","companyName":"Box, Inc.","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1787776692958,"id":"18c010b826f0d54edaa3a2c2","itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1789677000000,"name":"BOX Box, Inc.","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1787776692958},"rsRating":80,"sector":"Technology / Software - Infrastructure","setupStatus":"watching","symbol":"BOX","updatedAt":1789684887563,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"個股評分官","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":80,"version":2,"volumeContractionPct":30},{"analysisNotes":"2026-09-17 覆核｜缺少可驗證的本日收盤、量能與日線，未重估分數或虛構價位；維持 watching。生技單一藥證／臨床事件風險仍高，待取得新量價資料後再判定是否建立有效收縮與成對 pivot／stop。\n\n---\n2026-08-23 週末初篩新增（市場資料搜集員）\n\n【來源】ChartMill 2026-08-22 報導〈Krystal Biotech Clears Minervini Trend Template and High Growth Momentum Screen〉：Technical Rating 9/10、Setup Rating 6/10，同時通過 Minervini 趨勢範本與高成長動能篩選。\n\n【收盤（2026-08-21）】346.58 美元，+9.56（+2.84%），成交量 407,782 股；52 週區間 136.73–382.54，距 52 週高約 9.4%（通過本員「距高 15% 內」的 VCP 位置門檻）。市值 102.6 億美元。\n\n【本員判斷】通過 Minervini Stage 2 趨勢範本＋Technical 9/10 是強項；但 Setup Rating 僅 6/10，代表收縮結構尚未達到最緊實的程度，屬「趨勢好、口袋還沒收乾」。vcpScore 依 setup 6（→60）向上調整至 68 以反映趨勢與相對強度的加分，不直接套 90。\n\n【風險】生技股單一藥證／臨床事件風險高，需確認未來 4 週內無重大催化劑會打斷型態。","companyName":"Krystal Biotech, Inc.","contractionLevels":2,"createdAt":1787517433337,"id":"8422ca60cf501fcad04fc50d","itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1789677000000,"name":"KRYS Krystal Biotech","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1787517433337},"rsRating":90,"sector":"醫療保健 — 生物科技","setupStatus":"watching","symbol":"KRYS","updatedAt":1789684887563,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"個股評分官","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":68,"version":2,"volumeContractionPct":20},{"analysisNotes":"2026-09-17 覆核｜未取得可驗證的新收盤與相對量，故 nearPivot 不再維持；改 watching，保留 $80.24／$73.50 作結構參考，不重估 vcpScore。臨床期、無穩定營收的基本面折價與二元事件風險仍在。\n\n---\n2026-08-25 覆核：由 degraded 升 nearPivot，vcpScore 64→70。現價 78.95 距樞紐 80.24 僅 -1.61%、距 52 週高 -2.49%，高於 50 日線 9.9%、高於 200 日線 32.3%，趨勢結構已修復。RS 99（對 SPY 超額 +50.2%，12 個月 +193%）。停損由 67.12 上移至 73.50（近 4 週低），風險由 16% 收斂至 8.4%。仍偏寬，若進場須減半部位。最大弱點為基本面 38（臨床期生技、尚無實質營收），此為結構性折價，不因股價上漲而改善；本檔屬純動能持有，不適用一般部位規模。\n\n---\n2026-08-24｜triggered → degraded：突破後跌回樞紐下方。現價 78.23 已低於樞紐 80.24（-2.5%），突破未能守住。停損 67.12 未破故不判 invalidated。RS 超額 +49.8（rating 99）與籌碼 78 仍強，但 4 週振幅 18.9%、收縮 9.4%→13.2%→29.5%→12.4% 完全不收斂，基本面 38（臨床期生技、無穩定營收）。vcpScore 75 → 64。若收復 80.24 需帶量方可回升 triggered；跌破 67.12 立即出清單。\n\n---\n2026-08-21 覆核｜triggered、vcpScore 75。pivot 80.24／stop 67.12。","companyName":"CG Oncology","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1787172195270,"fundamentalScore":38,"id":"33b0d8a76849e3ebac5f4c83","institutionalScore":78,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1789677000000,"name":"CGON CG Oncology","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1787172195570},"pivotPrice":80.24,"rsRating":99,"sector":"Healthcare / Biotechnology","setupStatus":"watching","stopPrice":73.5,"symbol":"CGON","updatedAt":1789684887563,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"個股評分官","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":70,"version":6,"volumeContractionPct":21},{"analysisNotes":"2026-09-17 覆核｜缺少可驗證的新 OHLCV，未重新標定價位或分數；維持 watching。既有紀錄的 RS 48、距高位偏遠與接近結構停損仍屬風險；後續若確認 RS 仍低於 50 或收盤跌破 $147.21，應移出清單。\n\n---\n2026-08-26 日常追蹤｜維持 watching（尚未觸發任何一項退場條件），vcpScore 61 不變，但本員立場：8/28 降級幾成定局，建議分析員提前執行。收 150.36（-0.91%），量 850,204 股。距本部樞紐 156.55 已擴大至 -3.95%（昨日 -3.07%，方向錯誤），距停損 147.21 僅剩 +2.1% 緩衝。距 52 週高 174.27 為 -13.7%。\n\n---\n2026-08-25 深度覆核：vcpScore 由 75 下修至 61，並依搜集員請求設定明確退場條件。下修主因是位階與相對強度的實測結果遠差於「距樞紐 -3.07%」給人的印象——現價距 52 週高達 -12.93%，12 個月報酬 -7.7%（同期 SPY +20.0%），RS 僅 48，低於大盤中位數，不具領導股資格；收縮僅 2 段（22.8%、8.5%）且第一段過深。裁決之退場條件（三擇一觸發即執行）：(1) 未以 ≥1.5x 量能站上 156.55 → 降 degraded；(2) 收盤跌破 147.21 → invalidated 並移出清單；(3) 下次覆核時 RS 仍低於 50 → 直接汰除。\n\n---\n2026-08-24｜定調：下跌後修復，不是高檔蓄勢。距 52 週高 174.27 仍 -12.8%，且 252 日報酬 -4.5% vs SPY +21.5%，RS 超額 -0.2（市場同步、非領漲）。","companyName":"CBRE Group, Inc.","contractionLevels":2,"createdAt":1787603858770,"fundamentalScore":68,"id":"bb4e7cb8302d0ec21a8f5e69","institutionalScore":70,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1789677000000,"name":"CBRE CBRE Group","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1787603858770},"pivotPrice":156.55,"rsRating":48,"sector":"Real Estate / Real Estate Services","setupStatus":"watching","stopPrice":147.21,"symbol":"CBRE","updatedAt":1789684887563,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"個股評分官","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":61,"version":6,"volumeContractionPct":29},{"analysisNotes":"2026-09-17 覆核｜未取得可驗證的新收盤／量能，維持 watching，不重估分數或重設價位；既有 pivot $122.91、stop $114.72 僅作結構參考。若再次接近樞紐，仍須以放量確認；既有 6.7% 結構風險代表需縮小部位。\n\n---\n2026-08-26 日常追蹤｜由 nearPivot 退回 watching（距樞紐 122.91 為 -3.12%，已跌出 3% 門檻），vcpScore 75 維持。收 119.08（-1.12%），量 763,653 股——較昨日 1,033,475 股縮回約 26%，昨日那筆「+53% 放量向上」未能延續，屬一日行情。距停損 114.72 為 +3.8%。\n\n---\n2026-08-25 覆核：vcpScore 由 82 下修至 75。技術面確實優異（三段收縮 16.7%→16.2%→6.7% 收斂良好、距 52 週高僅 -2.02%、U/D 量比 1.21），但原分數未反映 RS 僅 63（對 SPY 超額 +6.8%）此一動能短板。今日量 1.26x、方向向上，屬突破前蓄勢，惟近 5 日均量／50 日均量 0.65 顯示整體量能仍偏縮。樞紐 122.91／停損 114.72 維持不變，風險 6.7%（略高於 6% 標準，進場須縮小部位）。\n\n---\n2026-08-25 日常追蹤｜維持 nearPivot，vcpScore 82 不變。收 120.43（+0.56%），量 1,033,475 股——量能較昨日 674,651 股放大約 53%，是本檔近期首見的溫和放量。","companyName":"Crown Holdings, Inc.","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1787603858770,"fundamentalScore":78,"id":"b9f38600c55de9e13963f400","institutionalScore":72,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1789677000000,"name":"CCK Crown Holdings","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1787603858970},"pivotPrice":122.91,"rsRating":63,"sector":"Consumer Discretionary / Packaging \u0026 Containers","setupStatus":"watching","stopPrice":114.72,"symbol":"CCK","updatedAt":1789684887563,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"個股評分官","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":75,"version":6,"volumeContractionPct":35},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-09-17 三層定版｜Final #4｜Rally Attempt 僅觀察】Stock 69.78／Sector 72.90／MHS 60.50 → Final 68.86。OHLCV 截至 09-16 收盤 [confirmed]；板塊與基本面分數 [estimate]。整理基底，pivot 46.10／stop 40.46、距 pivot −2.84%，nearPivot。失效：放量跌破 50 日線；油氣探勘生產 cohesion\u003c60 或板塊 ETF 跌破 50 日線；VIX\u003e20 且連兩收盤擴張；SPX 失守 50 日線；油價／地緣消息反轉。\n\n---\n【2026-09-07 順延覆核｜歷史紀錄】Stock 65.3／Final 70.81；舊 pivot 45.13／stop 40.46，僅作歷史參照。","companyName":"APA Corp.","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1786394316150,"fundamentalScore":72,"id":"0324f692da3bb03afd12f4e2","institutionalScore":62,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1789679940000,"name":"APA APA Corp.","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1786394316350},"pivotPrice":46.1,"rsRating":71,"sector":"能源／油氣探勘生產","setupStatus":"nearPivot","stopPrice":40.46,"symbol":"APA","updatedAt":1789680030529,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"6a45ed543b6df1268ebde8de","agentName":"Market agent","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":69.78,"version":9,"volumeContractionPct":18},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-09-17 三層定版｜Final #2｜Rally Attempt 僅觀察】Stock 81.07／Sector 58.40／MHS 60.50 → Final 70.16。OHLCV 截至 09-16 收盤 [confirmed]；板塊與基本面分數 [estimate]。整理基底，pivot 156.92／stop 142.32、距 pivot −7.65%，watching。失效：放量跌破 50 日線；大型製藥 cohesion\u003c60 或板塊 ETF 跌破 50 日線；VIX\u003e20 且連兩收盤擴張；SPX 失守 50 日線。","companyName":"Merck","createdAt":1789680009518,"id":"ccc80c4bc998ed58190ef926","itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1789679940000,"name":"MRK Merck","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1789680009618},"pivotPrice":156.92,"sector":"醫療保健／大型製藥","setupStatus":"watching","stopPrice":142.32,"symbol":"MRK","updatedAt":1789680009518,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"6a45ed543b6df1268ebde8de","agentName":"Market agent","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":81.07,"version":1},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-09-17 三層定版｜Final #3｜Rally Attempt 僅觀察】Stock 72.03／Sector 72.90／MHS 60.50 → Final 69.99。OHLCV 截至 09-16 收盤 [confirmed]；板塊與基本面分數 [estimate]。整理基底，pivot 38.94／stop 34.48、距 pivot −2.00%，nearPivot。失效：放量跌破 50 日線；油氣探勘生產 cohesion\u003c60 或板塊 ETF 跌破 50 日線；VIX\u003e20 且連兩收盤擴張；SPX 失守 50 日線；油價／地緣消息反轉。","companyName":"SM Energy","createdAt":1789680009518,"id":"81f3df40648495f9319cf9f9","itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1789679940000,"name":"SM SM Energy","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1789680009718},"pivotPrice":38.94,"sector":"能源／油氣探勘生產","setupStatus":"nearPivot","stopPrice":34.48,"symbol":"SM","updatedAt":1789680009518,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"6a45ed543b6df1268ebde8de","agentName":"Market agent","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":72.03,"version":1},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-09-16 三層定版｜Final 第 2】Stock 70.1 = 0.25×VC 80.4 + 0.20×RS 53.9 + 0.20×Base 73.6 + 0.15×Vol 56.6 + 0.10×Trend 100 + 0.10×Fund 60 [estimate]；Sector XLV 大型樣本 80.2；MHS 34.75 Correction → Final = 70.1×0.50 + 80.2×0.30 + 34.75×0.20 = 66.1。Opp_x 167.9（第 8，排名分歧：靠收縮分撐起、RS 偏弱）。收 513.26 [confirmed]，高位收縮，新 pivot 560.25／stop 511.00，距 pivot −8.39%，由 nearPivot 改 watching；收盤距 stop 僅 0.44%，結構逼近失效。體制否決，只作觀察。失效：收破 511.00 或放量破 50DMA；XLV 破 50DMA 或 cohesion\u003c60；VIX\u003e20 連兩收盤擴張。\n\n---\n2026-09-01 新增入列（Layer 3 個股評分，2026-09-01 收盤 [confirmed]）｜Stock 81.3 = 0.25×VC 61.2 + 0.20×RS 79.6 + 0.20×BQ 97 + 0.15×VOL 79.0 + 0.10×TT 100.0 + 0.10×FS 88。Sector 生技 大型 90.8 [confirmed 上游輪動掃描官]、Market Health 49.0（Correction）→ Final = 81.3×0.50 + 90.8×0.30 + 49.0×0.20 = 77.7（本輪 Top1）。收 547.65，距 52 週高 -1.45%、較 50DMA +9.0%、較 52 週低 +46.36%；2 週 ATR% 2.33 ÷ 8–12 週基準 2.90 = 0.802；量縮比 0.671、當日量/20 日均量 0.60；RS 對 SPY 超額 +17.16%、RS 線距 252 日高 -2.75%；收縮序列 [7.94, 8.03, 12.87, 5.69]；50/150/200DMA = 502.53/468.81/463.83。基本面 [confirmed]：Q2 財報後上調 2026 全年營收指引，囊狀纖維化需求續強，無稀釋／going-concern 旗標，下次財報約 10 月底，本輪無未對沖二元催化。樞紐 555.69（最後一段收縮高點，距 +1.47%）／失效 517.34（最後一段收縮低點，風險 5.86%）。失效條件：收盤放量跌破 517.34、XBI 跌破趨勢、VIX 升破 20、出現稀釋／反分割／going-concern 旗標。","companyName":"Vertex Pharmaceuticals","contractionLevels":4,"createdAt":1788298393308,"fundamentalScore":88,"id":"a23129d07d32340755a05331","itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1789594500000,"name":"VRTX Vertex Pharmaceuticals","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1788298393308},"pivotPrice":560.25,"rsRating":53.9,"sector":"醫療保健／生技製藥（XLV 大型樣本）","setupStatus":"watching","stopPrice":511,"symbol":"VRTX","updatedAt":1789594191987,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"6a45ed543b6df1268ebde8de","agentName":"Market agent","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":70.1,"version":3,"volumeContractionPct":33},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-09-16 三層定版｜Final 第 8】Stock 63.4 = 0.25×VC 54.8 + 0.20×RS 59.8 + 0.20×Base 67.9 + 0.15×Vol 54.7 + 0.10×Trend 100 + 0.10×Fund 60 [estimate]；Sector XOP 87.5；MHS 34.75 Correction → Final = 63.4×0.50 + 87.5×0.30 + 34.75×0.20 = 64.9。舊分 58.6 低於 60，本輪重評回到 63.4，故更新、不汰除。Opp_x 162.3（第 9）。收 48.44 [confirmed]，當日 −5.6% 且量大；平台整理，新 pivot 51.70／stop 46.16，距 pivot −6.31%，watching。體制否決，只作觀察。失效：收破 46.16；XOP 破 50DMA 或 cohesion\u003c60；油價反轉；分數再跌破 60 即汰除。\n\n---\n2026-09-04 首次入列（定版排名第 11）｜Stock 58.6、Final 67.4。子分：波動收縮 48（ATR10 2.47% / ATR50 2.83% = 0.87）、RS 線 27（超額 +4.54%）、基底 75（三段 13.33%→8.49%→7.40%、深度 19.4%）、量能 59（量比 0.80 邊緣、U/D 0.98）、趨勢模板 95、基本面 78。Final = 58.6×0.50 + Sector 85.2×0.30 + 63.0×0.20 = 29.30+25.56+12.60。\n\n【定位】Stock 58.6 是本輪入選名單最弱之一，完全靠油氣 E\u0026P 的 Sector 85.2 進榜——列入僅供追蹤板塊輪動，個股層級不具領導資格。收 48.06，樞紐 49.72、停損 46.16，風險 7.16%（逾 6%，須縮小部位；50DMA 44.81），距樞紐 +3.45%。財報 2026-11-04。失效：收破 46.16；分數本已偏低，任何走弱即直接汰除；XLE 跌破 50 日趨勢。[confirmed]","companyName":"Devon Energy","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1788558323627,"fundamentalScore":78,"id":"91a80cf7eb5b4fb3c32629ba","itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1789594500000,"name":"DVN Devon Energy","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1788558324527},"pivotPrice":51.7,"rsRating":59.8,"sector":"能源／油氣 E\u0026P（XOP）","setupStatus":"watching","stopPrice":46.16,"symbol":"DVN","updatedAt":1789594191987,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"6a45ed543b6df1268ebde8de","agentName":"Market agent","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":63.4,"version":3,"volumeContractionPct":20},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-09-16 三層定版｜Final 第 4】Stock 64.7 = 0.25×VC 56.7 + 0.20×RS 56.8 + 0.20×Base 70.7 + 0.15×Vol 60.0 + 0.10×Trend 100 + 0.10×Fund 60 [estimate]；Sector XOP 87.5（Gate 80.5）；MHS 34.75 Correction → Final = 64.7×0.50 + 87.5×0.30 + 34.75×0.20 = 65.5。Opp_x 155.3（第 10，排名多半由板塊分帶上來）。收 59.36 [confirmed]，當日 −6.5% 且量大；平台整理，新 pivot 63.77／stop 57.54，距 pivot −6.92%，watching。體制否決，只作觀察。失效：收破 57.54 或放量破 50DMA；XOP 破 50DMA 或 cohesion\u003c60；油價／地緣消息反轉；VIX\u003e20 連兩收盤擴張。\n\n---\n2026-09-04 首次入列（定版排名第 6）｜Stock 61.0、Final 68.7。子分：波動收縮 56（ATR10 2.26% / ATR50 2.76% = 0.82）、RS 線 22（超額僅 +2.97%）、基底 81、量能 67（量比 0.76、U/D 1.07）、趨勢模板 100、基本面 65。Final = 61.0×0.50 + Sector 85.2×0.30 + 63.0×0.20 = 30.50+25.56+12.60。\n\n【定位】典型的「板塊帶飛」——個股分數在表中偏低，靠油氣 E\u0026P 的 Sector 85.2 拉進前六，不具個股層級領導資格。收 60.04，距 52 週高 67.14 達 10.6%。基底三段 17.46%→9.89%→7.42% 收斂良好但深度 21.7% 偏深。樞紐 62.15（近 3 週高）、停損 57.54，風險 7.42%（逾 6%，須縮小部位；50DMA 56.12），距樞紐 +3.51%，未達 3% 故維持 watching。財報 2026-11-09。失效：收破 57.54；WTI 結構性走弱使 RS 超額轉負；XLE 跌破 50 日趨勢。[confirmed]","companyName":"Occidental Petroleum","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1788558323627,"fundamentalScore":65,"id":"12176e7d696b77acfe22b972","itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1789594500000,"name":"OXY Occidental Petroleum","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1788558324027},"pivotPrice":63.77,"rsRating":56.8,"sector":"能源／油氣 E\u0026P（XOP）","setupStatus":"watching","stopPrice":57.54,"symbol":"OXY","updatedAt":1789594191987,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"6a45ed543b6df1268ebde8de","agentName":"Market agent","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":64.7,"version":3,"volumeContractionPct":24},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-09-16 三層定版｜Final 第 11】Stock 67.0 = 0.25×VC 49.4 + 0.20×RS 76.5 + 0.20×Base 75.8 + 0.15×Vol 65.7 + 0.10×Trend 83.3 + 0.10×Fund 60 [estimate]；Sector XLV 大型樣本 80.2；MHS 34.75 Correction → Final = 67.0×0.50 + 80.2×0.30 + 34.75×0.20 = 64.5。Opp_x 224.0（第 5，VC 偏弱造成排名分歧）。補上 23 天未覆核。收 648.43 [confirmed]，平台突破，新 pivot 647.00／stop 594.82，距 pivot +0.22%，技術狀態 triggered；受 Correction 一票否決，不轉成進場訊號。失效：放量跌回 647.00 以下或收破 594.82；XLV 破 50DMA 或 cohesion\u003c60；VIX\u003e20 連兩收盤擴張。\n\n---\n2026-08-23 三層定版｜承接 2026-08-21 收盤；Stock 78.6、XLV/生命科學工具 81.4 [estimate]、MHS 62.7 [confirmed]，Final 76.2。收 629.27，距樞紐 0.9%，量縮比 0.74，nearPivot。體制為 Uptrend Under Pressure，只作觀察；收盤跌破 580、生命科學工具趨勢轉弱，或 VIX 明顯升破近期低波動區，型態證偽。稀釋／反分割／going-concern 尚待篩選分析員深度覆核。","companyName":"Thermo Fisher Scientific","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1787519934592,"fundamentalScore":75,"id":"dfc8a261c3ec550d069cbcee","itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1789594500000,"name":"TMO Thermo Fisher Scientific","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1787519934592},"pivotPrice":647,"rsRating":76.5,"sector":"醫療保健／生命科學工具（XLV 大型樣本）","setupStatus":"triggered","stopPrice":594.82,"symbol":"TMO","updatedAt":1789594191987,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"6a45ed543b6df1268ebde8de","agentName":"Market agent","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":67,"version":3,"volumeContractionPct":26},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-09-16 三層定版｜Final 第 6】Stock 64.3 = 0.25×VC 55.0 + 0.20×RS 53.2 + 0.20×Base 77.8 + 0.15×Vol 55.4 + 0.10×Trend 100 + 0.10×Fund 60 [estimate]；Sector XOP 87.5；MHS 34.75 Correction → Final = 64.3×0.50 + 87.5×0.30 + 34.75×0.20 = 65.3。Opp_x 151.8（第 11）。收 144.93 [confirmed]，當日 −5.7%；窄幅平台，新 pivot 154.16／stop 142.76（原 136.59 上移），距 pivot −5.99%，watching；收盤距 stop 僅 1.5%。體制否決，只作觀察。失效：收破 142.76；XOP 破 50DMA 或 cohesion\u003c60；油價反轉；VIX\u003e20 連兩收盤擴張。\n\n---\n【2026-09-14 Correction 覆核｜nearPivot 降 watching】收 148.54 [confirmed]，相對 pivot 153.67 為 −3.34%，超出 nearPivot 的 3% 範圍；維持既有 stop 136.59。缺完整日線／相對均量，六項子分不重算、不列入 Final 排名。MHS 53.25（Correction）；失效仍為收盤破136.59、XOP破趨勢或油價急轉。\n\n---\n2026-08-23 三層定版｜承接 2026-08-21 收盤；Stock 72.8、XOP 83.7 [estimate]、MHS 62.7 [confirmed]，Final 74.1。收 153.05，距樞紐 0.4%，量縮比 0.71，nearPivot。能源屬油價／地緣事件驅動；收盤跌破 136.59、XOP 趨勢破壞、WTI 驅動逆轉或 VIX 明顯升破近期低波動區即證偽。稀釋／反分割／going-concern 尚待篩選分析員深度覆核。","companyName":"EOG Resources","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1787519934592,"fundamentalScore":75,"id":"73294c70cc6cb6b627f20252","itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1789594500000,"name":"EOG EOG Resources","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1787519934792},"pivotPrice":154.16,"rsRating":53.2,"sector":"能源／油氣 E\u0026P（XOP）","setupStatus":"watching","stopPrice":142.76,"symbol":"EOG","updatedAt":1789594191987,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"6a45ed543b6df1268ebde8de","agentName":"Market agent","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":64.3,"version":4,"volumeContractionPct":29},{"analysisNotes":"2026-09-16 陳舊覆核（21 天）｜收 52.63 [confirmed 平台行情；stockanalysis 歷史表另列 52.10]，兩個數字都低於 stop 52.72，型態失效，改列 invalidated。區域銀行（KRE）在 Layer 2 是虛胖降權、lagging。若 30 天內沒有重建基底，依規則移除。\n\n---\n2026-08-25 覆核（時間戳校正）：vcpScore 72→74，維持 watching。四段收縮 17.4%→12.1%→10.4%→7.3% 為全清單最標準的逐級收斂序列，RS 83（對 SPY 超額 +17.6%，12 個月 +62.4%）。未能升等的原因：現價 53.49 距樞紐 56.87 尚有 -5.94%，且 U/D 量比 0.81 偏派發、籌碼分僅 60（小型銀行機構參與度低）。風險 7.3% 偏寬，須待價格靠近樞紐後重新定停損。\n\n---\n2026-08-24｜**跳空後重設 VCP，收縮層數歸 1**。7/29 跳空 +11.3%、量達均量 222%，依本部門鐵律跳空大漲後型態需重設：contractionLevels 由收集員的 2 改為 1、volumeContractionPct 歸 0（均量基期含跳空巨量，比值不可信）。跳空後 4 週於 52.72–56.87 窄幅整理（7.9%），4 週振幅 7.6%，屬高位緊縮旗形，品質好但只有一層。RS 超額 +20.9（本批最強，252 日 +72.5%），距高 -4.9%，50 日線 +5.8%、200 日線 +24.8%。樞紐 56.87（7/29 跳空高點）、停損 52.72（8/20 低點），風險 7.3% 偏寬。現價距樞紐 +5.2% → watching。**部位上限（回答收集員提問）**：50 日均量 18.3 萬股、日成交金額約 990 萬美元；部位不得超過日均量 5%（約 9,000 股／48 萬美元），且**只能用限價單、禁市價單**，突破日不可追高逾樞紐 2%。vcpScore 78 → 72。\n\n---\n2026-08-24 初篩｜ChartMill Technical 10/10、Setup 8/10，並同時通過 Minervini 趨勢範本與 High Growth Momentum 篩選（該站演算法輸出、非本員定價），原文描述「在壓力帶正下方盤整」。收 54.08（-1.12%），距 52 週高 56.87 為 -4.9%。評分自技術面 85 下調至 78，唯一理由是流動性：今日量僅 120,002 股，日均量偏低，滑價與跳空風險高，部位規模須受限——請分析員在定 pivot／stop 時一併給出可承受的部位上限。長天期殖利率仍在高檔（30Y 一度創 2007 年來新高），區域銀行對利率曲線敏感，屬雙面刃。收縮層數 2、量縮 35% 為初篩估計值。","companyName":"Merchants Bancorp","contractionLevels":4,"createdAt":1787603858770,"fundamentalScore":75,"id":"e3aaf71d0ddb5058456abb6b","institutionalScore":60,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1789593963000,"name":"MBIN Merchants Bancorp","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1787603859070},"pivotPrice":56.87,"rsRating":83,"sector":"Financials / Banks - Regional","setupStatus":"invalidated","stopPrice":52.72,"symbol":"MBIN","updatedAt":1789594180814,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"6a45ed543b6df1268ebde8de","agentName":"Market agent","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":74,"version":4,"volumeContractionPct":19},{"analysisNotes":"2026-09-16 陳舊覆核（21 天）｜收 78.51 [confirmed 平台行情]，低於 stop 79.90；08-24 已跌破一次，這次再度收在停損下方，型態失效，改列 invalidated。醫療設備（IHI）在 Layer 2 被擋下。若 30 天內沒有重建基底，依規則移除。\n\n---\n2026-08-25 覆核（時間戳校正）：維持 watching，vcpScore 66→69。收縮 19.2%→17.0%→12.9% 方向正確但幅度仍偏寬，收盤 79.41 低於 50 日線 1.3%，距樞紐 -6.95%，短期無動作條件。基本面 88／籌碼 80 為主要支撐，RS 60 中庸。停損 79.90 已貼近現價 79.41——現價已在停損之下，若本週收盤未收復 79.90 應直接降 degraded，下次覆核優先處理。\n\n---\n2026-08-24｜**現價 78.26 已跌破原停損 79.90**。檢視結構：50 日線 -2.7%、200 日線 +14.2%、距高 -8.7%，200 日線仍在下方支撐，屬回檔非崩壞。不將停損下移（下移停損是紀律問題）：原樞紐 85.34 保留為需重新收復的價位、停損維持 79.90 作為「已失效」的紀錄，本檔實質已出局，設 watching 待其重建基底再定價。4 週與 8 週振幅同為 14.9%（無收斂）。vcpScore 83 → 66。\n\n---\n2026-08-20 覆核｜watching、vcpScore 83。pivot 85.34／stop 79.90。基本面 88／籌碼 80。","companyName":"LivaNova PLC","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1787172195270,"fundamentalScore":88,"id":"e36f49cf8ad05a104602b0a5","institutionalScore":80,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1789593963000,"name":"LIVN LivaNova","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1787172195870},"pivotPrice":85.34,"rsRating":60,"sector":"Healthcare / Medical Devices","setupStatus":"invalidated","stopPrice":79.9,"symbol":"LIVN","updatedAt":1789594180814,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"6a45ed543b6df1268ebde8de","agentName":"Market agent","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":69,"version":5,"volumeContractionPct":22},{"analysisNotes":"2026-09-16 陳舊覆核（21 天）｜收 116.72 [confirmed 平台行情＋stockanalysis]，已低於 stop 121.78 達 4.2%；09-14 收 118.51 時就已跌破，型態失效，改列 invalidated。不下移停損。若 30 天內沒有重建基底，依清單規則移除。\n\n---\n2026-08-25 覆核（時間戳校正）：維持 nearPivot，vcpScore 74→72。距樞紐 125.90 僅 -0.72%，停損 121.78 風險 3.3%，為全清單最緊的風險結構之一；收縮 15.4%→8.4% 收斂良好，U/D 量比 1.49，今日量 0.73x 乾涸。RS 78。基本面維持 65 的下修值（成長主要來自併購，有機成長僅 4–5%），距 52 週高 -10.4% 亦偏遠，故總分壓在 72。\n\n---\n2026-08-24｜**收盤越過樞紐但量能 69%，不算有效突破**。收 126.01 站上樞紐 125.90，盤中創 127.09 新高，但量僅 50 日均量 69%，維持 nearPivot 不升 triggered（與 8/22 對所謂 Pocket Pivot 的否決一致：當時實測僅 73%）。50 日線 +13.7%、200 日線 +24.3%、RS 超額 +14.9。停損 121.78 不變，現價風險 3.4%。基本面續掛 65：成長仍主要來自併購，有機成長僅 4–5%。\n\n---\n2026-08-22 深度覆核｜watching → nearPivot，vcpScore 74。pivot 125.90／stop 121.78。第三方標註的 Pocket Pivot 經核對後不成立。","companyName":"Paychex, Inc.","contractionLevels":2,"createdAt":1787431068456,"fundamentalScore":65,"id":"a56722794695fcedc78ad38a","institutionalScore":75,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1789593963000,"name":"PAYX Paychex","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1787431068456},"pivotPrice":125.9,"rsRating":78,"sector":"科技 — 應用軟體／薪酬人資服務","setupStatus":"invalidated","stopPrice":121.78,"symbol":"PAYX","updatedAt":1789594180814,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"6a45ed543b6df1268ebde8de","agentName":"Market agent","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":72,"version":5,"volumeContractionPct":27},{"analysisNotes":"2026-09-16 陳舊覆核（上次 2026-08-22，25 天）｜收 54.65 [confirmed 平台行情]，比舊 pivot 53.57 高 2.0%，但當日 −5.1%（前收 57.61），而且 pivot 已經 25 天沒重新確認。阿根廷整合油商不在 Layer 2 放行池，體制是 Correction，因此不判定為 triggered，改列 degraded。vcpScore 64 沒有重算。下一輪要重新畫基底，否則汰除。失效：收破 49.61、油價或阿根廷主權風險反轉。\n\n---\n2026-08-22 深度覆核（篩選分析員）｜裁決：維持 watching，vcpScore 80 → 64。明確否決「已突破」的判讀。\n【推翻收集員前提】ChartMill 的壓力 51.10 不是本型態的樞紐。週線實測近 5 週區間為 47.86–53.57（7/20 H53.57、7/27 H53.47、8/17 H53.44 三次觸頂），收 51.18 落在區間正中央，距真正樞紐 53.57 尚有 4.7%。因此不存在「站上壓力」的問題，更談不上 triggered 或假突破。\n【收縮品質差】近 5 週幅度 9.7% → 8.6% → 8.0% → 10.7% → 7.0%，未見逐段收斂，是寬幅箱型整理而非 VCP 末端；且 6/08 高點 57.49 至 6/29 低點 44.02 的 -23.4% 修正過深，基底需重建。收縮層數自 3 下修為 2。\n【量】8/21 量 51 萬股僅 20 日均量 110 萬的 47%，週線量能 53–88%，屬乾涸但無承接訊號。\n【基本面 70】Q2 2026 EBITDA 與營收創高，Vaca Muerta 頁岩產量與煉油開工率同創紀錄、自由現金流改善；forward PE 8.4 vs trailing 27.1 反映獲利大幅上修預期，賣方目標價約 60（+17%）。扣分：財報以披索計價（Q2 營收 +72%、EPS +2550% 全含惡性通膨失真），無法用於成長性排序。\n【籌碼 58】機構持股僅 24.4%（阿根廷政府持股 51% 為結構性原因），空單佔股本 0.15%。無可查證的基金買超證據，為四維中最弱一項。\n【RS 78】12 個月 +62.9%（vs SPY +20.0）為清單前段，但近 1 個月 -1.4% 已落後大盤，動能正在流失。\n【定價】pivot 53.57 取箱型上緣三次測試位；stop 49.61 取 50 日線（跌破即箱型下半段失守），風險 7.4%。未採結構低點 47.86（風險 10.7%，超出風控上限）。\n【風險】阿根廷主權與匯率風險；本波油價漲勢由地緣政治驅動，反轉時 ADR 回檔速度快於基本面惡化速度。\n\n---\n2026-08-22 週末初篩新增（市場資料搜集員）\n\n【來源】ChartMill 2026-08-21 報導：Technical Rating 8/10，Setup Rating 亦被歸類為高分（報導標題為 High Technical and Setup Ratings）。報導明確給出「現價下方已形成 47.91–50.41 支撐區，最近壓力就在上方 51.10」。\n\n【收盤】2026-08-21 收 51.18（+0.51%），成交量 51 萬股；52 週區間 22.82–57.49，距 52 週高約 11.0%。\n\n【VCP 觀點】收盤 51.18 已站上 ChartMill 標示的壓力 51.10，屬「剛剛越過壓力上緣」的狀態，但成交量僅 51 萬股、未見突破量，因此本輪不給 triggered，維持 watching，請深度覆核確認是否為假突破。支撐區 47.91–50.41 帶寬僅 2.5 美元（約 5%），收縮相當緊繃，符合 VCP 末端特徵。\n\n【初篩估計】收縮層數 3、量縮 40% 為初篩估計值。ChartMill 的支撐／壓力為該站演算法輸出、非本員定價，pivotPrice／stopPrice 留待深度覆核確認。\n\n【風險】阿根廷 ADR 具主權與匯率風險，且本週油價週漲逾 5%（伊朗釋出結束戰爭意願）為推升因素，若地緣情勢反轉，能源股回檔速度會很快。","companyName":"YPF Sociedad Anónima","contractionLevels":2,"createdAt":1787431068456,"fundamentalScore":70,"id":"bc638614aee724ddf5034974","institutionalScore":58,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1789593963000,"name":"YPF YPF Sociedad Anónima","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1787431068656},"pivotPrice":53.57,"rsRating":78,"sector":"能源 — 綜合石油與天然氣（阿根廷 ADR）","setupStatus":"degraded","stopPrice":49.61,"symbol":"YPF","updatedAt":1789594180814,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"6a45ed543b6df1268ebde8de","agentName":"Market agent","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":64,"version":3,"volumeContractionPct":25},{"analysisNotes":"2026-09-16 陳舊覆核（上次 2026-08-23，23 天）｜收 52.30 [confirmed 平台行情]，當日 −3.5%；距 pivot 54.58 為 −4.18%，已不在 3% 內，nearPivot 降 watching；stop 50.67 還在下方 3.2%。油服不在 Layer 2 的放行細分行業內，六項子分沒有重算，vcpScore 77 是 08-23 的舊值，下一輪要重評或汰除。MHS 34.75 Correction。失效：收破 50.67、XLE 破 50DMA。\n\n---\n2026-08-23 三層定版｜承接 2026-08-21 收盤；Stock 77.0、XLE 76.7 [estimate]、MHS 62.7 [confirmed]，Final 74.1。收 53.87，距樞紐 1.3%，量縮比 0.54，nearPivot；Opportunity_x 0.53 與 additive 高排名分歧，須以收盤與量能驗證。收盤跌破 50.67、能源 ETF 趨勢破壞、WTI 驅動逆轉或 VIX 明顯升破近期低波動區即證偽。稀釋／反分割／going-concern 尚待篩選分析員深度覆核。","companyName":"SLB N.V.","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1787519934592,"fundamentalScore":75,"id":"6e2638c79248029859a3b7e0","itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1789593963000,"name":"SLB SLB","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1787519934892},"pivotPrice":54.58,"rsRating":39.9,"sector":"油服","setupStatus":"watching","stopPrice":50.67,"symbol":"SLB","updatedAt":1789594180814,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"6a45ed543b6df1268ebde8de","agentName":"Market agent","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":77,"version":2,"volumeContractionPct":46},{"analysisNotes":"2026-09-16 陳舊覆核（21 天）｜收 153.69 [confirmed 平台行情]，當日 +2.3%；距 pivot 160.51 為 −4.25%，維持 watching；stop 145.45 還在下方 5.4%。XLV 大型樣本有放行，但 A 沒有進 Layer 3 候選，六項子分沒有重算，vcpScore 77 沿用舊值。MHS 34.75 Correction。失效：收破 145.45、XLV 破 50DMA。\n\n---\n2026-08-25 覆核（時間戳校正）：vcpScore 70→77。三段收縮 13.2%→12.3%→9.8% 逐級收斂，高於 50 日線 11.8%、距 52 週高 -3.58%，RS 86（對 SPY 超額 +18.9%），U/D 量比 1.27。樞紐微調為 160.51（近 6 週高），距樞紐 -3.58% 略超 3% 門檻，故維持 watching 而非 nearPivot。警示：停損 145.45（近 4 週低）距樞紐達 9.4%，風險過寬，50 日線 138.4 更低，無更緊的結構可用，故進場須減半部位或等待更緊的第四段收縮出現。近 5 日均量／50 日均量 1.37 偏高，量能尚未乾涸，亦不支持立即動作。\n\n---\n2026-08-24｜**nearPivot → watching：現價已離樞紐 4.1%**。收 153.43 vs 樞紐 159.94，不再符合 3% 內定義。4 週振幅 17.5%、8 週 28.4%，量能 5 日均 126%（放量非量縮），型態鬆散。50 日線 +11.2%、200 日線 +17.2%、RS 超額 +18.3 仍佳，故留任。vcpScore 73.8 → 70。\n\n---\n2026-08-23 覆核｜nearPivot、vcpScore 73.8。pivot 159.94／stop 145.45。","companyName":"Agilent Technologies, Inc.","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1787519934592,"fundamentalScore":75,"id":"ca4dfcee1edb92232e7c0ebe","institutionalScore":70,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1789593963000,"name":"A Agilent Technologies","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1787519934992},"pivotPrice":160.51,"rsRating":86,"sector":"生命科學工具","setupStatus":"watching","stopPrice":145.45,"symbol":"A","updatedAt":1789594180814,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"6a45ed543b6df1268ebde8de","agentName":"Market agent","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":77,"version":4,"volumeContractionPct":0},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-09-16 三層定版｜Final 第 1】Stock 70.9 = 0.25×VC 70.9 + 0.20×RS 68.6 + 0.20×Base 81.1 + 0.15×Vol 48.2 + 0.10×Trend 100 + 0.10×Fund 60 [estimate]；Sector XLV 大型樣本 80.2（Gate 63.0）；MHS 34.75 Correction → Final = 70.9×0.50 + 80.2×0.30 + 34.75×0.20 = 66.5。Opp_x 223.4（第 6）。收 147.68 [confirmed]，收縮平台，pivot 152.55／stop 142.94，距 pivot −3.19%，未進 3% 內，維持 watching。體制一票否決：只作研究觀察、縮小部位，不構成買賣建議。失效：收破 142.94 或放量破 50DMA；XLV 破 50DMA 或 cohesion\u003c60；VIX\u003e20 連兩收盤擴張；SPX 續破 150／200DMA。","companyName":"Gilead Sciences","createdAt":1789594140816,"id":"6d78959096faf49668460e53","itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1789594500000,"name":"GILD Gilead Sciences","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1789594140816},"pivotPrice":152.55,"rsRating":68.6,"sector":"醫療保健／大型生技製藥（XLV 大型樣本）","setupStatus":"watching","stopPrice":142.94,"symbol":"GILD","updatedAt":1789594140816,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"6a45ed543b6df1268ebde8de","agentName":"Market agent","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":70.9,"version":1},{"analysisNotes":"2026-09-15 上游分數校正｜採 XOP 98.8 [confirmed]，OVV Final 校正為 65.8×0.50 + 98.8×0.30 + 39.25×0.20 = 70.4；缺同輪日線與量能，維持 watching、縮小部位。\n\n---\n2026-09-15 Correction 覆核｜本輪未能重取歷史日線，舊基底末段擴張、量能未乾涸，維持 watching；不重列 Final。MHS 39.25；破 63.15、XOP 破趨勢、天然氣急跌、VIX\u003e20 即失效。\n\n---\n2026-09-01 新增入列｜Stock 65.8 [estimate]；pivot 67.44／stop 63.15。","companyName":"Ovintiv","contractionLevels":4,"createdAt":1788298603749,"fundamentalScore":68,"id":"c53fd00cfcdbe34041543dea","itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1789507135268,"name":"OVV Ovintiv","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1788298603949},"pivotPrice":67.44,"rsRating":51.8,"sector":"油氣探勘生產","setupStatus":"watching","stopPrice":63.15,"symbol":"OVV","updatedAt":1789507205998,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"個股評分官","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":65.8,"version":3,"volumeContractionPct":5},{"analysisNotes":"2026-09-15 上游分數校正｜採 XLV 84.1 [confirmed]，ABBV Final 校正為 69.8×0.50 + 84.1×0.30 + 39.25×0.20 = 68.0；收 263.04，量能未確認，維持 nearPivot、縮小部位。\n\n---\n2026-09-15 Correction 覆核｜收 263.04 [confirmed]，距 pivot 266.97 為 -1.5%，stop 252.33，結構風險約 4.1%；未取得相對均量，不標 triggered，維持 nearPivot。MHS 39.25。\n\n---\n2026-09-14 Correction 覆核｜維持 nearPivot；六項分數沿用 09-01 實測 [estimate]。","companyName":"AbbVie","contractionLevels":4,"createdAt":1788298603749,"fundamentalScore":82,"id":"91bb91188687d70a73ab39a2","itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1789507135268,"name":"ABBV AbbVie","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1788298603749},"pivotPrice":266.97,"rsRating":56.5,"sector":"生技製藥","setupStatus":"nearPivot","stopPrice":252.33,"symbol":"ABBV","updatedAt":1789507205998,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"個股評分官","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":69.8,"version":4,"volumeContractionPct":34},{"analysisNotes":"2026-09-15 上游分數校正｜採 XLV 84.1 [confirmed]，JNJ Final 校正為 71.2×0.50 + 84.1×0.30 + 39.25×0.20 = 68.7；收 267.20，仍距 pivot -3.4%，維持 watching、縮小部位。\n\n---\n2026-09-15 Correction 覆核｜收 267.20 [confirmed]，距 pivot 276.47 為 -3.4%，超出 nearPivot 3% 界線，降 watching；stop 263.83。未取得相對均量，不重算六項分數。MHS 39.25。\n\n---\n2026-09-01 新增入列｜Stock 71.2 [estimate]；pivot 276.47／stop 263.83。","companyName":"Johnson \u0026 Johnson","contractionLevels":4,"createdAt":1788298393308,"fundamentalScore":85,"id":"b0a8ed165f861bd06050ac6b","itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1789507135268,"name":"JNJ Johnson \u0026 Johnson","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1788298393508},"pivotPrice":276.47,"rsRating":63.7,"sector":"綜合製藥醫材","setupStatus":"watching","stopPrice":263.83,"symbol":"JNJ","updatedAt":1789507205998,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"個股評分官","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":71.2,"version":3,"volumeContractionPct":14},{"analysisNotes":"2026-09-15 覆核｜收 976.67 [confirmed]，低於 stop 1001.68，型態失效，標記 invalidated；金融屬次級且 Correction 不列定版候選。保留 30 天觀察恢復條件。\n\n---\n2026-08-25 覆核：pivot 1088.50／stop 1001.68；收縮逐級放大。","companyName":"The Goldman Sachs Group, Inc.","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1787172195270,"fundamentalScore":90,"id":"40616bc39ef581cd63ba4317","institutionalScore":84,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1789507015622,"name":"GS Goldman Sachs","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1787172196070},"pivotPrice":1088.5,"rsRating":65,"sector":"Diversified Banks","setupStatus":"invalidated","stopPrice":1001.68,"symbol":"GS","updatedAt":1789507036247,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"個股評分官","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":72,"version":8,"volumeContractionPct":0},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-09-15 覆核｜資料未驗證，降為 watching】大型醫療獲上游 Gate 放行，但 MHS 39.25（Correction）；缺 09-15 可核對收盤、量能與完整日線，不能以舊資料判 nearPivot／triggered或重算六項分數。保留 pivot 68.64／stop 63.00 作結構參考；失效：放量收破 stop、XLV 破趨勢、VIX 升穿 20 或稀釋／反分割旗標。\n\n---\n2026-08-23 三層定版｜承接 2026-08-21 收盤；Stock 74.4、大型製藥/XLV 81.4 [estimate]、MHS 62.7 [confirmed]，Final 74.2。收 67.01，距樞紐 2.4%，量縮比 0.69，nearPivot。","companyName":"Bristol-Myers Squibb Company","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1787519934592,"fundamentalScore":75,"id":"7849cc72764a3db4c44d9633","itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1789506889287,"name":"BMY Bristol-Myers Squibb","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1787519934692},"pivotPrice":68.64,"rsRating":88.1,"sector":"大型製藥","setupStatus":"watching","stopPrice":63,"symbol":"BMY","updatedAt":1789506968839,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"個股評分官","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":74.4,"version":2,"volumeContractionPct":31},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-09-15 覆核｜資料未驗證，降為 watching】大型醫療獲上游 Gate 放行，但 MHS 39.25（Correction）；缺 09-15 可核對收盤、量能與完整日線，不能以舊資料判 nearPivot／triggered或重算六項分數。保留 pivot 447.03／stop 420.72 作結構參考；失效：放量收破 stop、XLV 破趨勢、VIX 升穿 20 或稀釋／反分割旗標。\n\n---\n2026-09-01 新增入列（Layer 3 個股評分，2026-09-01 收盤 [confirmed]）｜Stock 69.9 = 0.25×VC 50.8 + 0.20×RS 94.4 + 0.20×BQ 65 + 0.15×VOL 45.6 + 0.10×TT 100.0 + 0.10×FS 85。","companyName":"Amgen","contractionLevels":4,"createdAt":1788298393308,"fundamentalScore":85,"id":"bfc0038e5a72c5c397b2b37f","itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1789506889287,"name":"AMGN Amgen","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1788298393608},"pivotPrice":447.03,"rsRating":94.4,"sector":"生技製藥","setupStatus":"watching","stopPrice":420.72,"symbol":"AMGN","updatedAt":1789506968839,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"個股評分官","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":69.9,"version":2,"volumeContractionPct":5},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-09-15 覆核｜資料未驗證，降為 watching】大型金融獲上游次級 Gate 放行，但 MHS 39.25（Correction）；缺 09-15 可核對收盤、量能與完整日線，不能以舊資料判 nearPivot／triggered或重算六項分數。保留 pivot 366.50／stop 350.37 作結構參考；失效：放量收破 stop、XLF 破趨勢、VIX 升穿 20 或稀釋／反分割旗標。\n\n---\n【2026-08-26】四維重評 82.1（技術 99／基本 76／籌碼 80／RS 62）。收 356.5，距 52 週高 -2.73%、對 50 日線 2.96%、對 200 日線 12.55%，對 SPY 加權超額 7.8%。","companyName":"JPMorgan Chase","contractionLevels":2,"createdAt":1783645909246,"fundamentalScore":76,"id":"012adec9fd5ea0620ae8a4ac","institutionalScore":80,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1789506889287,"name":"JPM 摩根大通","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1783645909246},"pivotPrice":366.5,"rsRating":62,"sector":"銀行","setupStatus":"watching","stopPrice":350.37,"symbol":"JPM","updatedAt":1789506968839,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"個股評分官","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":82.1,"version":10,"volumeContractionPct":44},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-09-07 順延債清理｜六項重評 Stock 68.0｜不計 Final（生技封鎖群）】承接 2026-09-04 收盤 59.01（09-07 休市）[confirmed]。\n算式：VolContraction 57×0.25=14.25（ATR10 2.74% / ATR50 2.98% = 0.917）｜RS Line 78×0.20=15.60（IBD 加權超額 +7.9%→69.8，RS 線創 52 週新高 +8）｜BaseQuality 42×0.20=8.40（5.8%→5.9%→12.3%，末段大幅放大；08-13 低 49.97 後直線拉升 18%，型態已由收縮轉為延伸）｜Volume 78×0.15=11.70（10/50 日均量比 0.81 乾涸、U/D 1.43）｜TrendTemplate 100×0.10=10.00（距 52 週高 1.2%、距低 +74.8%）｜FundSanity 80×0.10=8.00（淨利率 35.3%、D/E 9.0、FCF 7.4 億、營收 +10.6%、**FY+1 共識 +19.0% 為本輪唯一明年正成長者**；扣分於空單 11.3% 偏高）。Stock=68.0。\n**不計 Final Score**：生技（IBB／XBI）為上游 09-04 明列的封鎖群（Sector Score 87.7 為全場最高但 Cohesion Gate 0.0，一致性來自不可持續的事件驅動），本檔 Stock Score 僅作清單品質分數。\n價位：pivot 56.95（08-05 收縮高）／stop 55.05（改採 50 日線；原結構低 49.97 對應風險 12.3% 過大，依規則改取 50 日線後風險降至 3.3%）。09-02 收 58.53 越過樞紐但**當日量僅 1.13x、其後三日退至 0.85x／0.63x，量能未達突破確認標準**，依規則維持 nearPivot 不升 triggered（現價已在樞紐上方 3.6%）。失效：收破 50DMA 55.05、cabozantinib 競品數據、FY 指引再度下修。\n\n---\n2026-08-20 全清單重點覆核｜重新檢視既有型態、基本面與籌碼紀錄；本輪未發現足以推翻前次結論的已確認新證據，setupStatus 維持 watching、vcpScore 維持 72。未取得足以確認的新 pivot／stop，依規則不虛構價位。 本條屬桌面覆核；若原備註含財報事件鎖、資料矛盾或舊型態警示，仍列待確認，須以後續收盤量價解除。\n\n---\n【8/6 覆核】71分觀察：Q2 rev $628.7M(cabozantinib $573M +10%)、GAAP EPS $0.82 beat；🚨FY26營收指引中位下修$50M(NET放量緩)盤後走弱=財報雜音。待站穩收斂再評估。既有失效條件沿用。","companyName":"Exelixis, Inc.","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1783672609554,"fundamentalScore":80,"id":"995fe98d1ca5db72d1ac7543","institutionalScore":65,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788820717613,"name":"EXEL Exelixis","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1783672609654},"pivotPrice":56.95,"rsRating":78,"sector":"生物科技","setupStatus":"nearPivot","stopPrice":55.05,"symbol":"EXEL","updatedAt":1788820853733,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"個股評分官","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":68,"version":8,"volumeContractionPct":19},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-09-07 順延債清理｜六項重評 Stock 67.5｜不計 Final（生技封鎖群）】承接 2026-09-04 收盤 270.56（09-07 休市）[confirmed]。\n算式：VolContraction 43×0.25=10.75（ATR10 3.07% / ATR50 3.12% = 0.984，無收縮）｜RS Line 74×0.20=14.80（IBD 加權超額 +8.4%→71，RS 線距 52 週高 5.5% 加 3）｜BaseQuality 82×0.20=16.40（15.1%→6.9%→5.9% 逐級遞減良好，但基底整體深度 15.1% 偏深故未給更高）｜Volume 60×0.15=9.00（10/50 日均量比 0.83 乾涸佳，但 **U/D 量比 0.83 低於 0.9 依基準扣 20**，下跌日量能大於上漲日）｜TrendTemplate 95×0.10=9.50（距 52 週高 4.1%、距低 +45.4%、站 50/200 日線）｜FundSanity 70×0.10=7.00 [estimate]（本輪未重新查證；前次備註 Q2 EPS 數值仍有分歧待解，下輪須補）。Stock=67.5。\n**不計 Final Score**：生技為上游 09-04 封鎖群（Gate 0.0）。\n價位：pivot 282.15（07-09 高，同 52 週高）／stop 257.57（改採 50 日線；原結構低 246.30 對應風險 12.7% 過大）。距樞紐 +4.28% → watching。改採 50 日線後風險仍達 8.7%，須縮小部位。失效：收破 50DMA 257.57、YORVIPATH 放量不如預期、生技群 Gate 持續封鎖。\n\n---\n2026-08-20 全清單重點覆核｜重新檢視既有型態、基本面與籌碼紀錄；本輪未發現足以推翻前次結論的已確認新證據，setupStatus 維持 watching、vcpScore 維持 78。未取得足以確認的新 pivot／stop，依規則不虛構價位。 本條屬桌面覆核；若原備註含財報事件鎖、資料矛盾或舊型態警示，仍列待確認，須以後續收盤量價解除。\n\n---\n【8/11 覆核】77分觀察：Q2(8/6)營收三位數成長、YORVIPATH強(\u003e6,300患者累計)、SKYTROFA €44M、轉向盈利(Q1 op profit €25M)；🚨whisper顯示Q2 EPS miss($0.27 vs $1.13)、股價-3%。Q2財報實際數值資料分歧待確認。Setup8收斂、分析師上修強。⚠️生技事件風險、EPS miss需複核。","companyName":"Ascendis Pharma","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1786480669506,"fundamentalScore":70,"id":"da82f821d68af0c3f0db38dc","institutionalScore":70,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788820717613,"name":"ASND Ascendis","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1786480670006},"pivotPrice":282.15,"rsRating":74,"sector":"生技","setupStatus":"watching","stopPrice":257.57,"symbol":"ASND","updatedAt":1788820853733,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"個股評分官","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":67.5,"version":5,"volumeContractionPct":17},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-09-07 順延債清理｜六項重評 Stock 80.9｜不計 Final｜本輪最高分】承接 2026-09-04 收盤 32.42（09-07 休市）[confirmed]。\n算式：VolContraction 67×0.25=16.75（ATR10 2.83% / ATR50 3.29% = 0.859，本輪收縮最明確）｜RS Line 88×0.20=17.60（IBD 加權超額 +13.3%→80，RS 線創 52 週新高 +8）｜BaseQuality 85×0.20=17.00（12.9%→8.8%→8.0% 逐級遞減、基底乾淨無跳空）｜Volume 82×0.15=12.30（10/50 日均量比 1.05 中性，但 U/D 量比 2.58 為全清單前段的吸籌特徵）｜TrendTemplate 100×0.10=10.00（距 52 週高 1.4%、距低 +108.0%）｜FundSanity 72×0.10=7.20（fwdPE 9.1、淨利率 23.9%、營收 +44.5%、D/E 46.9；扣分於 FY+1 共識獲利 −17.5% 且 up1/down2 偏下修）。Stock=80.9。\n**不計 Final Score**：散裝航運不在上游 09-04 放行的 A 級細分群內，Stock Score 僅作清單品質分數。\n價位：**本輪不填 pivot／stop**。最後一段收縮高點 28.62（08-06）距現價已延伸 +13.3%，該樞紐失效；09-04 觸 52 週高 32.88 但近 5 日呈連續墊高（30.28→32.88）而非新的收縮結構，依規則拿不到明確價位即不編數字，setupStatus 只能是 watching。等待回檔築出新收縮段再標價位。\n分數高但位置差：這是本輪最典型的「品質分高、進場點不存在」案例，總編呈現時務必寫明本檔無可執行樞紐。失效：放量收破 50DMA 27.48、BDI 快速回落。\n\n---\n2026-08-20 全清單重點覆核｜重新檢視既有型態、基本面與籌碼紀錄；本輪未發現足以推翻前次結論的已確認新證據，setupStatus 維持 watching、vcpScore 維持 80。未取得足以確認的新 pivot／stop，依規則不虛構價位。 本條屬桌面覆核；若原備註含財報事件鎖、資料矛盾或舊型態警示，仍列待確認，須以後續收盤量價解除。\n\n---\n【8/12 覆核】80分買進觀察：Q2淨利$144.9M/adj EPS $1.21(beat 27%)、營收$357M(+44%)、TCE $24,486/天、股息$0.90、EBITDA $194.8M。機構267家、內部人小幅賣5千股。Setup8/Tech10技術滿分、RS95。⚠️散裝航運週期性、板塊Neutral。","companyName":"Star Bulk Carriers","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1786567357362,"fundamentalScore":72,"id":"324996310103230e2cd00140","institutionalScore":70,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788820717613,"name":"SBLK Star Bulk Carriers","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1786567357762},"rsRating":88,"sector":"散裝航運","setupStatus":"watching","symbol":"SBLK","updatedAt":1788820853733,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"個股評分官","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":80.9,"version":4,"volumeContractionPct":0},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-09-07 順延債清理｜六項重評 Stock 68.3｜不計 Final（區域銀行封鎖群）】承接 2026-09-04 收盤 162.62（09-07 休市）[confirmed]。\n算式：VolContraction 43×0.25=10.75（ATR10 1.89% / ATR50 1.92% = 0.984，波動已極低但無相對收縮）｜RS Line 63×0.20=12.60（IBD 加權超額僅 +4.0%→60，RS 線距 52 週高 7.1% 加 3）｜BaseQuality 85×0.20=17.00（9.5%→5.1%→4.7% 逐級遞減、末段振幅僅 4.7%、基底乾淨，為本輪型態品質最佳者）｜Volume 76×0.15=11.40（10/50 日均量比 0.82 乾涸、U/D 1.13）｜TrendTemplate 95×0.10=9.50（距 52 週高 4.2%、距低 +40.7%、站 50DMA 161.35／200DMA 141.46）｜FundSanity 70×0.10=7.00 [estimate]（本輪基本面未重新查證，沿用中性值；下輪須補 Q3 NII 與存款成本）。Stock=68.3。\n**不計 Final Score**：區域銀行為上游 09-04 明列的封鎖群（「一起跌」造成的虛高群），Stock Score 僅作清單品質分數。\n價位：pivot 169.21（08-04 收縮高）／stop 161.29（08-10 低）。距樞紐 +4.05% → watching。**風險 4.68%，是本輪 11 檔中唯一符合 ≤6% 標準者**，型態品質與風險報酬皆佳，卡在板塊封鎖與 RS 偏弱。失效：跌破 161.29、放量收破 50DMA 161.35（現價僅高於 50DMA 0.8%，緩衝極薄）、殖利率曲線反轉走升。\n\n---\n2026-08-20 全清單重點覆核｜重新檢視既有型態、基本面與籌碼紀錄；本輪未發現足以推翻前次結論的已確認新證據，setupStatus 維持 watching、vcpScore 維持 74。未取得足以確認的新 pivot／stop，依規則不虛構價位。 本條屬桌面覆核；若原備註含財報事件鎖、資料矛盾或舊型態警示，仍列待確認，須以後續收盤量價解除。\n\n---\n2026-07-17 收盤：**超買警訊化解中——健康消化。** $161.65（-1.14%），RSI 由 7/16 的 75.56 冷卻至 69.56，仍站穩 $159.54 突破頸線之上（+1.3%）、50 日線 $145.63 乖離收斂至 +11%。大盤 -0.99% 下小幅回落＝縮量消化超買而非破位，群級回檔風險部分釋放。金融/保險為當日價值輪動明確贏家（TRV 財報 +7.98%），利率敏感鏈引擎（殖利率下行）續行。理想加碼＝續縮量回測 $159.54 頸線或 50 日線 $145。維持 74。失效＝跌回 $159.54 下收盤（假突破）或帶量破 $150；群集共同失效＝殖利率反轉走升。","companyName":"Cullen/Frost Bankers","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1784104844812,"fundamentalScore":70,"id":"d3361936bcc8e734f18ad62f","institutionalScore":65,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788820717613,"name":"CFR Cullen/Frost Bankers","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1784104844812},"pivotPrice":169.21,"rsRating":63,"sector":"區域銀行","setupStatus":"watching","stopPrice":161.29,"symbol":"CFR","updatedAt":1788820853733,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"個股評分官","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":68.3,"version":13,"volumeContractionPct":18},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-09-07 順延債清理｜六項重評 Stock 68.0｜不計 Final】承接 2026-09-04 收盤 46.12（09-07 休市）[confirmed]。\n算式：VolContraction 49×0.25=12.25（ATR10 3.72% / ATR50 3.91% = 0.953，幾無收縮）｜RS Line 97×0.20=19.40（IBD 加權超額 +22.0% 為本輪最強→93，RS 線創 52 週新高 +8，封頂 97）｜BaseQuality 50×0.20=10.00（9.1%→6.2%→8.9%，末段放大；但整體深度僅 8.9% 屬淺基底）｜Volume 62×0.15=9.30（10/50 日均量比 1.21 為放大而非乾涸、U/D 1.28）｜TrendTemplate 100×0.10=10.00（距 52 週高 2.0%、距低 +142.6%）｜FundSanity 70×0.10=7.00（淨利率 54.8%、營收 +96.5%、獲利 +750%；扣分於 D/E 77.2 偏高、FY+1 共識獲利 −45.1%、分析師覆蓋極稀薄）。Stock=68.0。\n**不計 Final Score**：油輪不在上游 09-04 放行的 A 級細分群清單內（放行群為油服設備／油氣 E\u0026P／金礦／資安／大型銀行／資本市場／醫療服務／醫療器材／銅礦），故本檔 Stock Score 僅作觀察清單品質分數，不進定版排名。\n價位：pivot 45.17（08-19 收縮高）／stop 41.16（08-26 低）。09-02 收 45.42 已站上樞紐，但**當日量僅 0.81x 50 日均量，量能不足不予升 triggered**，維持 nearPivot（現價高於樞紐 +2.1%，仍在 3% 帶內）。09-04 量回升至 1.36x 且觸 52 週高 47.04，若後續收盤配合 ≥1.5x 量能才考慮 triggered。風險 8.9% 逾 6%，須縮小部位（50 日線 39.83 更遠，不採為停損）。失效：跌破 41.16、放量破 50DMA 39.83、霍爾木茲風險溢價消退致 VLCC 現貨運價反轉。\n\n---\n2026-08-20 全清單重點覆核｜重新檢視既有型態、基本面與籌碼紀錄；本輪未發現足以推翻前次結論的已確認新證據，setupStatus 維持 watching、vcpScore 維持 70。未取得足以確認的新 pivot／stop，依規則不虛構價位。 本條屬桌面覆核；若原備註含財報事件鎖、資料矛盾或舊型態警示，仍列待確認，須以後續收盤量價解除。\n\n---\n【8/15 週末覆核】77分觀察：Q1 record(營收$714.2M)、Q2已鎖VLCC 82%@$181,700/天、Suezmax 79%@$131,300、LR2 68%@$125,000、共識EPS $2.52。出售2艘VLCC換$270M、7艘一年期@$76,900/天(驗證油輪價值)。機構+48家、aggregate value+113%、Arrowstreet最大買家。🚨8/31 Q2財報事件在即、~70% VLCC spot曝險、霍爾木茲降溫即反轉。油輪順風+籌碼最強但財報前突破打問號。能源 More Favored+3。","companyName":"Frontline PLC","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1786480669506,"fundamentalScore":70,"id":"6ef602ad921c012f3c743a7c","institutionalScore":78,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788820717613,"name":"FRO Frontline","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1786480670506},"pivotPrice":45.17,"rsRating":97,"sector":"油輪","setupStatus":"nearPivot","stopPrice":41.16,"symbol":"FRO","updatedAt":1788820853733,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"個股評分官","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":68,"version":6,"volumeContractionPct":0},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-09-07 順延債清理｜六項重評 Stock 67.5｜不計 Final】承接 2026-09-04 收盤 32.37（09-07 休市）[confirmed]。\n算式：VolContraction 44×0.25=11.00（ATR10 3.10% / ATR50 3.16% = 0.982，幾無收縮）｜RS Line 83×0.20=16.60（IBD 加權超額 +13.5%→80.3，RS 線距 52 週高 3.4% 加 3）｜BaseQuality 55×0.20=11.00（8.7%→10.0%→9.8%，三段幾乎持平且中段放大，屬橫盤非收縮）｜Volume 74×0.15=11.10（10/50 日均量比 0.92、U/D 1.25）｜TrendTemplate 100×0.10=10.00（距 52 週高 3.1%、距低 +109.6%）｜FundSanity 78×0.10=7.80（淨利率 12.4%、營收 +41.5%、獲利 +139%、FCF 54.8 億、D/E 34.0；FY+1 共識雖 −18.4% 但修正 up5/down0 全數上修，為本輪基本面最穩者）。Stock=67.5。\n**不計 Final Score**：整合油商細分群不在上游 09-04 放行清單（放行者為油服設備與油氣 E\u0026P，母板塊同為 XLE 但細分群不同），Stock Score 僅作清單品質分數。\n價位：pivot 33.40（08-20 高，同 52 週高）／stop 30.13（08-26 低）。距樞紐 +3.18%，**略超 3% 帶故維持 watching**，未升 nearPivot。風險 9.79% 逾 6%，須縮小部位或以 50 日線 29.15 為結構參考。失效：跌破 30.13、放量收破 50DMA 29.15、WCS 價差走闊。\n\n---\n2026-08-20 全清單重點覆核｜重新檢視既有型態、基本面與籌碼紀錄；本輪未發現足以推翻前次結論的已確認新證據，setupStatus 維持 watching、vcpScore 維持 82。未取得足以確認的新 pivot／stop，依規則不虛構價位。 本條屬桌面覆核；若原備註含財報事件鎖、資料矛盾或舊型態警示，仍列待確認，須以後續收盤量價解除。\n\n---\n8/10 深度覆核｜綜合 80。Q2 EPS $1.11(beat $0.92 20.7%)、record 產量 970.4 MBOE/d(+200k)、營收 C$17.4B、淨利 C$2.87B。油價 +5%(Brent $87.72)直接順風、Energy More Favored +3。TA8/Setup8 高成長動能、近 52 週高。⚠️油商獲利了結後重新走強、距高待確認。買進觀察。","companyName":"Cenovus Energy","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1786394316150,"fundamentalScore":78,"id":"b4996468162f22f9c249014c","institutionalScore":63,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788820717613,"name":"CVE Cenovus Energy","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1786394316650},"pivotPrice":33.4,"rsRating":83,"sector":"Energy/整合油商","setupStatus":"watching","stopPrice":30.13,"symbol":"CVE","updatedAt":1788820853733,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"個股評分官","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":67.5,"version":6,"volumeContractionPct":8},{"analysisNotes":"2026-09-06 週日覆核（順延清單補查證）｜Stock 76.2、Sector 72.4（醫療器材／製藥 XLV）、Market Health 63.0 → Final = 76.2×0.50 + 72.4×0.30 + 63.0×0.20 = 38.10 + 21.72 + 12.60 = 72.42 [confirmed]。子分：波動收縮 60（ATR 2.86% / 3.17% = 0.90，收縮不足）、RS 56（超額 +8.14% 但 RS 線距 52 週高 -19.4%，高點停在 2026-02-11，價漲而相對強度未同步創高）、基底 82（14.7→11.5→8.3 逐級收斂、深度 -10.3%）、量能 100（10/50 日均量 0.66、U/D 1.58）、趨勢模板 100、基本面 85。基本面查證補齊：0y EPS 估 1.533（+28.8%）、近 30 天 16 上修／0 下修為五檔最強、營收 +7.1%、FCF $2.68 億、負債權益比 51.6、遠期 PE 16.3；股數年增 6.0% 屬中度稀釋，記為觀察項未達否決。價位：pivot 29.00（最後一段整理高點）、stop 27.22（改取 50 日線；原結構低點 26.35 風險 9.1% 超標），風險 6.14% 仍略逾標準須縮小部位；距樞紐 +6.30% → watching。失效條件：跌破 26.35、XLV 破趨勢、RS 線續創新低。\n\n---\n2026-08-20 全清單重點覆核｜重新檢視既有型態、基本面與籌碼紀錄；本輪未發現足以推翻前次結論的已確認新證據，setupStatus 維持 watching、vcpScore 維持 85。未取得足以確認的新 pivot／stop，依規則不虛構價位。 本條屬桌面覆核；若原備註含財報事件鎖、資料矛盾或舊型態警示，仍列待確認，須以後續收盤量價解除。\n\n---\n【8/11 覆核】81分買進觀察：Q2 rev $731M(+7.1%)/adj EPS $0.41(+58% beat 22%)、上調FY26 core+3.5-4.5%/EBITDA+11-14%，EBITDA margin 14.7%(+230bps)、FCF $105M。機構~114%/380家、12M淨流入、Ariel 6.68%大股東、Mizuho升評。Setup9型態強。⚠️財報後曾跌4%、成長率個位數溫和。","companyName":"Envista Holdings","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1786480669506,"fundamentalScore":85,"id":"1f5e695bcaa57c80001b1ae2","institutionalScore":75,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788734215063,"name":"NVST Envista Holdings","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1786480669606},"pivotPrice":29,"rsRating":56,"sector":"醫療器材","setupStatus":"watching","stopPrice":27.22,"symbol":"NVST","updatedAt":1788734362178,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"個股評分官","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":76,"version":6,"volumeContractionPct":34},{"analysisNotes":"2026-09-06 週日覆核（順延清單補查證）｜Stock 72.3 [confirmed]：波動收縮 67（2.39% / 2.76% = 0.86）、RS 55（超額 +5.26%，RS 線距 52 週高 -15.0%，近 3 個月報酬 -0.2% 已停滯）、基底 57（三段 12.7→14.9→8.7 中段放大，不符乾淨遞減；有效收縮層數記 2）、量能 100（10/50 日均量 0.63 乾涸、U/D 1.38）、趨勢模板 100（距高 -10.7%、距低 +77.0%、站上 50/200 日線）、基本面 82。基本面查證補齊：0y EPS 估 7.089（+12.0%）、營收 +7.5%、近 30 天 5 上修／1 下修、FCF $3.47 億、負債權益比 35.6、遠期 PE 16.9、分析師均評 1.0；無稀釋或 going-concern 疑慮。價位：pivot 143.57（最後一段收縮高點，非基底完成點）、stop 135.49，風險 5.63% 合格；距樞紐 +1.99% → nearPivot。⚠ 上方 148.80／151.52 有兩層套牢區，突破後空間先看 8%。板塊：海運／駁船不在上游 09-04 放行清單，無 Sector Score，本輪不計 Final、不進排名。失效條件：跌破 135.49、或帶量失守 50 日線 138.90。\n\n---\n2026-08-20 全清單重點覆核｜重新檢視既有型態、基本面與籌碼紀錄；本輪未發現足以推翻前次結論的已確認新證據，setupStatus 維持 watching、vcpScore 維持 72。未取得足以確認的新 pivot／stop，依規則不虛構價位。 本條屬桌面覆核；若原備註含財報事件鎖、資料矛盾或舊型態警示，仍列待確認，須以後續收盤量價解除。\n\n---\n【綜合機會分數 71｜2026-07-09 新增：本批唯一「未延伸」新名字】美國最大內河油駁營運商（Jones Act 壟斷型資產）。今日 +6%：美銀上調目標價，理由為核心駁運費率與動力服務（發電機組，含資料中心備援電力）增長。現價 $143.13 僅高於 50 日線（$142.19）+0.7%——平坦基底沿 50 日線整理後獲催化初動，結構上是本批候選中離基底最近的一檔。200 日線（$122.54）上方 +16.8%，52 週 +22.6%（RS 中等偏強，非飆股型）。遠期 PE 19.9、3 年營收增長預估 7.3%、空單僅 2.6%，日均量 65 萬股（約 $9,300 萬）流動性合格。題材定位：非 AI 主線，但動力服務部門間接受惠資料中心電力需求（能源基建群集外圍），另受惠煉化廠開工率回升帶動駁運費率。待驗證：突破前高時量能是否擴張。失效：帶量跌破 50 日線且 5 日不收復、駁運費率轉弱、油品需求骤降。※非買入建議。","companyName":"Kirby Corporation","contractionLevels":2,"createdAt":1783620667464,"fundamentalScore":82,"id":"2dbefc07148d0f4d2c4033c6","institutionalScore":65,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788734215063,"name":"KEX Kirby","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1783620667464},"pivotPrice":143.57,"rsRating":55,"sector":"海運/駁船","setupStatus":"nearPivot","stopPrice":135.49,"symbol":"KEX","updatedAt":1788734353478,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"個股評分官","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":72,"version":6,"volumeContractionPct":37},{"analysisNotes":"2026-09-06 週日覆核（順延清單補查證）｜維持 degraded，vcpScore 66 → 65。收 1,324.49（09-04），仍在 50 日線 1,339.44 之下（-1.12%）。Stock 65.4 [confirmed]：波動收縮 60（2.05% / 2.29% = 0.90）、RS 60（超額 +5.57%，RS 線距 52 週高 -9.0%）、基底 75（6.2→11.2→4.7 中段放大，深度 -6.7% 淺、末段 4.7% 已緊）、量能 65（10/50 日均量 0.75 乾涸，但 U/D 量比 0.67 為明確派發特徵，扣 20）、趨勢模板 75（失守 50 日線扣 25）、基本面 62。基本面查證補齊：營收 +10.3%、獲利 +20.5%、FCF $12.48 億、遠期 PE 25.9 偏貴；⚠ 當季 EPS 近 30 天 4 上修／10 下修，為本批唯一修正明顯轉負者，是基本面分壓在 62 的主因。價位：pivot 1,337.96（最後一段收縮高點）、stop 1,283.48，風險 4.07% 合格；距樞紐 +1.02%，但 U/D 派發 + 失守 50 日線，依規則不升 nearPivot，維持 degraded。板塊：工業供應不在上游 09-04 放行清單，不計 Final。汰除審查：65.4 仍高於 60 門檻、距 52 週高僅 6.7%，本輪保留，下輪若 U/D 未修復即降評。失效條件：跌破 1,283.48、U/D 量比續低於 0.8、收盤連 5 日不收復 1,339.44。\n\n---\n2026-08-21 覆核｜維持 degraded，vcpScore 62 → 66。收 1,312.24（+0.92%），距 52 週高 1,419.91 為 -7.6%，結構未破壞，較前次判斷略好，故略升分數。但仍為單層整理（contractionLevels 1、量縮僅 20%），不符合 VCP 多層收斂定義，未形成 handle 前不升 watching。RS 90 為主要保留理由。\n\n---\n2026-08-19 覆核債｜距上次覆核逾 21 天；型態仍非緊縮 VCP、維持 degraded，分數 62，暫留最後觀察一輪。\n\n---\n【2026-07-14】新高但無 handle，原結論不追高。","companyName":"W.W. Grainger","contractionLevels":2,"createdAt":1784018344906,"fundamentalScore":62,"id":"08a4ade01e59b54c678699b8","institutionalScore":72,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788734215063,"name":"GWW W.W. Grainger","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1784018344906},"pivotPrice":1337.96,"rsRating":60,"sector":"工業供應","setupStatus":"degraded","stopPrice":1283.48,"symbol":"GWW","updatedAt":1788734353478,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"個股評分官","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":65,"version":8,"volumeContractionPct":25},{"analysisNotes":"2026-09-06 週日覆核（順延清單補查證）｜watching → degraded。收 20.65（09-04），跌破 50 日線 21.54（-4.14%），依 setupStatus 定義屬「跌破 50 日線但型態仍在」。Stock 71.6 [confirmed]：波動收縮 65（1.87% / 2.14% = 0.87）、RS 53（超額 +4.42%，RS 線距 52 週高 -12.6%）、基底 90（12.7→8.5→6.4 為五檔中最乾淨的逐級收斂）、量能 85（10/50 日均量 0.75、U/D 1.16 中性）、趨勢模板 75（距高 -10.0%、距低僅 +31.5% 勉強過門檻、失守 50 日線扣 25）、基本面 65。基本面查證補齊：REIT 以 FFO 為準，遠期 PE 147 不具參考性；營收 +11.1%、FCF $16.45 億、負債權益比 108.7（利率敏感度高）、下一季 EPS 估年減 68.6%、0y 近 30 天 0 上修／1 下修。價位：pivot 21.80（最後一段收縮高點）、stop 20.40，風險 6.42% 略逾標準須縮小部位；距樞紐 +5.57%。基底品質是全批最佳但長債殖利率仍在高檔，型態要重啟須先收復 50 日線。失效條件：跌破 20.40、10 年期殖利率再度急升、XLRE 破趨勢。\n\n---\n2026-08-21 修正｜degraded → watching，vcpScore 78 → 76。收 21.40（+0.94%），距 52 週高 22.95 為 -6.8%；10 年期殖利率停止暴衝後，醫療 REIT 壓力暫緩，且 XLV +1.29% 為板塊順風，前次的利率降級可暫解除。但殖利率僅是停止惡化、非轉向，長債仍在高檔，故分數不回補到原位。pivot／stop 未取得可查證價位，留空。\n\n---\n2026-08-20 利率覆核｜高分緊縮遭長債殖利率急升打斷，REIT 風險溢價收縮，降 degraded；保留基本面觀察但取消可執行突破假設。\n\n---\n2026-08-03 初篩｜原 Setup／Technical 近滿分。","companyName":"Healthpeak Properties","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1785736315904,"fundamentalScore":65,"id":"450b5713c7360ff4c1afdc03","itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788734215063,"name":"DOC Healthpeak Properties","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1785736316204},"pivotPrice":21.8,"rsRating":53,"sector":"醫療REIT","setupStatus":"degraded","stopPrice":20.4,"symbol":"DOC","updatedAt":1788734353478,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"個股評分官","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":72,"version":7,"volumeContractionPct":25},{"analysisNotes":"2026-09-06 週日覆核（順延清單補查證）｜Stock 79.3 [confirmed]：波動收縮 78（2週ATR 2.11% / 8-12週 2.66% = 0.79）、RS 20% 71（IBD 加權超額 +7.13%，RS 線距 52 週高 -6.8%）、基底 70（三段 10.1→10.8→7.1，中段放大故非乾淨遞減；深度僅 -2.2%）、量能 92（10/50 日均量 0.77、U/D 1.52）、趨勢模板 100（距高 -2.2%、距低 +55.7%、站上 50/200 日線）、基本面 78。基本面查證補齊：0y EPS 估 5.00（+33.3%）、營收 +24.0%、遠期 PE 10.3、股數年增 3.8%（輕度稀釋，未達否決）；但近 30 天 EPS 修正 0 上修／1 下修，方向偏負。價位：pivot 65.09（= 52 週高，最後一段收縮高點）、stop 62.27（改取 50 日線；原結構低點 60.43 風險 7.16% 超標）、風險 4.33%，距樞紐 +2.21% → nearPivot。⚠ 流動性風險：日均量約 7.5 萬股（約 $470 萬／日），部位規模須受限。板塊：區域銀行屬上游 09-04 封鎖群，本輪不計 Final Score、不進排名。失效條件：帶量跌破 60.43、或收盤失守 50 日線 62.27 逾 5 日。\n\n---\n2026-08-20 全清單重點覆核｜重新檢視既有型態、基本面與籌碼紀錄；本輪未發現足以推翻前次結論的已確認新證據，setupStatus 維持 watching、vcpScore 維持 82。未取得足以確認的新 pivot／stop，依規則不虛構價位。 本條屬桌面覆核；若原備註含財報事件鎖、資料矛盾或舊型態警示，仍列待確認，須以後續收盤量價解除。\n\n---\n🔻 小型金融 | 綜合 68.8 (#7) 🆕 | Q1淨利$990萬(+88%)、EPS $1.19(+83%)、營收+28%。NIM 2.88%(+47bps)、貸款+10%年化。RS自估68。市值$5.6億/日均量152K，流動性偏低。","companyName":"Southern First Bancshares","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1782506332598,"fundamentalScore":78,"id":"27e817741784aa482bfa5974","institutionalScore":55,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788734215063,"name":"SFST Southern First Bancshares","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":32},"pivotPrice":65.09,"rsRating":71,"sector":"區域銀行","setupStatus":"nearPivot","stopPrice":62.27,"symbol":"SFST","updatedAt":1788734353478,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"個股評分官","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":79,"version":9,"volumeContractionPct":23},{"analysisNotes":"2026-09-05 週六量化體檢｜degraded → nearPivot，首次補齊價位。以 09-04 收盤實測：前次降級理由「舊基底延伸、需重新築底」已解除——自 08-13 高點 195.78 回落後，第一段 195.78→182.41（-6.80%）、第二段 188.75→181.15（-4.03%），收縮遞減成立；收 186.63 站上 50DMA 183.82 與 200DMA 158.48，ATR10/ATR50 = 0.87、10/50 日均量比 0.84、RS 超額（IBD 權重對 SPY）+18.03% [confirmed]。\npivot 188.75（末段收縮高點 08-27）、stop 181.15（末段收縮低點 09-04 盤中），現價距樞紐 +1.14% → nearPivot；風險 (188.75-181.15)/188.75 = 4.03%，在 6% 標準內。⚠ 09-04 盤中曾下探 181.15 才收回，容錯極薄。\nStock = 0.25×62.2 + 0.20×73.4 + 0.20×83.4 + 0.15×68.0 + 0.10×100 + 0.10×85 = 75.6；Final = 75.6×0.50 + 72.7×0.30 + 63.0×0.20 = 72.2（Sector：XLF 資本市場 72.7 A 級放行；MHS 63.0）。基本面轉強且已查證：營收年增 36.4%、EPS 年增 98.6%、淨利率 24.67%，財報 2026-10-21。失效：收破 181.15；放量跌破 50DMA 降 degraded；XLF 轉 lagging 或資本市場 Gate 破 60 即失去板塊分。\n\n---\n2026-08-21 覆核｜維持 degraded，vcpScore 65 → 66。收 183.90（+0.76%），距 52 週高 195.78 為 -6.1%，未見結構破壞，前次「延伸過度」的疑慮在價格上已部分消化。惟長端利率仍在高檔、資產管理／信託族群估值受壓，且無新築底證據，不得沿用 7 月樞紐。\n\n---\n2026-08-20 覆核債｜舊基底已延伸且長端利率波動放大，原 RSI 過熱問題未解，降 degraded；不得沿用 7 月樞紐，需重新築底。\n\n---\n2026-07-18｜原財報事件鎖與延伸警示。","companyName":"Northern Trust Corporation","contractionLevels":2,"createdAt":1783710837717,"fundamentalScore":85,"id":"41b2ffc0071514612870b771","institutionalScore":64,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788648096117,"name":"NTRS Northern Trust Corporation","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1783710837917},"pivotPrice":188.75,"rsRating":73,"sector":"資本市場／託管銀行","setupStatus":"nearPivot","stopPrice":181.15,"symbol":"NTRS","updatedAt":1788648188899,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"個股評分官","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":75.6,"version":12,"volumeContractionPct":16},{"analysisNotes":"2026-09-05 週六量化體檢｜以 09-04 收盤實測（無新收盤，不重出評分表）。型態是全清單最乾淨的一組：三段收縮 9.91%→7.44%→5.41%，ATR10/ATR50 = 0.74、10/50 日均量比 0.60（量縮 40%）、距 52 週高 -2.20%、距 52 週低 +63.1%、站上 50DMA +5.39% [confirmed]。首次補上價位：pivot 225.80（末段收縮高點＝52 週高，09-03）、stop 213.58（末段收縮低點，08-31），現價 220.83 距樞紐 +2.25%、風險 5.41%（合格）。\n六項實測 Stock = 0.25×91.1 + 0.20×63.3 + 0.20×96.2 + 0.15×100 + 0.10×100 + 0.10×40 = 83.7；但命中否決條款（最近季 EPS 年減 84.8%、2026 指引已下修，[confirmed]），依規則降級記為 vcpScore 70，且 setupStatus 維持 watching 不升 nearPivot（價位僅作參考）。另一道閘門：所屬生技母族 IBB 本輪 Cohesion Gate 0.0 被上游擋下，無板塊分可用、不計 Final Score，不得進入精選排名。財報 2026-10-29（事件窗）。失效：收破 213.58；解除：指引回升或生技 Gate 重新放行。\n\n---\n2026-08-20 全清單重點覆核｜重新檢視既有型態、基本面與籌碼紀錄；本輪未發現足以推翻前次結論的已確認新證據，setupStatus 維持 watching、vcpScore 維持 78.9。未取得足以確認的新 pivot／stop，依規則不虛構價位。\n\n---\n【2026-08-19 覆核債處理】原無 lastReviewedAt、逾 21 天未覆核。8/19 收盤 221.56、50DMA 204.52、200DMA 187.36 [confirmed]，技術結構仍完好。但基本面旗標未解（Q2 EPS 大幅衰退、2026 指引下修），Layer 3 給的 Fundamental Sanity 僅 42 → vcpScore 由 90 對齊至 78.9。維持 watching，屬「技術強／基本面弱」的診斷分歧標的，不列精選。\n\n---\n今日候選。技術面最強(Setup9/Tech10/RS85.88/+51.4%)，但基本面嚴重惡化：Q2 營收 $2.74B 僅 +3.4%、Non-GAAP EPS $3.60(-34% YoY)、GAAP EPS $0.66(-85%)，並下修 2026 EPS 展望至 $12-13（原 $14.25-15.25）。EPS 大幅衰退＋指引下修＝技術滿分≠可買，列警示不精選。","companyName":"Biogen Inc.","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1787085397263,"fundamentalScore":40,"id":"90e7f2454ccc30315f665671","institutionalScore":68,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788648096117,"name":"BIIB Biogen Inc.","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1787085397263},"pivotPrice":225.8,"rsRating":63,"sector":"生物科技","setupStatus":"watching","stopPrice":213.58,"symbol":"BIIB","updatedAt":1788648188899,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"個股評分官","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":70,"version":6,"volumeContractionPct":40},{"analysisNotes":"2026-09-04 量化體檢｜**watching → invalidated**，vcpScore 78.2 → 62。收 173.50，**已收破停損 179.53達 −3.36%**，且跌破 50 日線（181.57），距 52 週高擴大至 8.3%、RS 對 SPY 超額 −1.32% 轉負。依規則 5 降 invalidated。**這是本輪最值得記下的一筆**：8/26 評定其技術面 100 分、五層收縮為全清單最多，卻在一週半內並未突破而直接破位——收縮層數多只證明盤整時間長，不保證方向；同期已記載的內部人 90 日賣出 5,260 萬美元（14 筆全賣）與 RS 僅 57，回頭看才是真正的領先訊號。[confirmed]\n\n---\n【2026-08-26】四維重評 78.2（技術 100／基本 75／籌碼 65／RS 57）。收 182.64，距 52 週高 -3.49%、對 50 日線 1.12%、對 200 日線 14.83%，對 SPY 加權超額 2.2%。八／四／兩週振幅 10.7%／10.7%／5.2%，五日量為 50 日均量 71%，收縮 5 層——為全清單收縮層數最多者，技術結構滿分。樞紐 189.25／停損 179.53（風險 5.4%，距樞紐 3.62%）。\n\n---\n2026-08-20 全清單重點覆核｜重新檢視既有型態、基本面與籌碼紀錄；本輪未發現足以推翻前次結論的已確認新證據，setupStatus 維持 watching、vcpScore 維持 88。未取得足以確認的新 pivot／stop，依規則不虛構價位。\n\n---\n8/10 深度覆核｜綜合 79。Q2 rev $7.67B(+9.4%)/EPS $1.05(beat 59%)、record 49M 人次、TD Cowen 升目標至 $194。TA9/Setup9 雙滿分、高收斂(3 層/量縮 45%)、距 52 週高 -4%。⚠️內部人 90 日賣 $52.6M(14 筆全賣)、營收成長僅 9% 溫和。娛樂 Neutral。","companyName":"Live Nation Entertainment","contractionLevels":5,"createdAt":1786394316150,"fundamentalScore":75,"id":"7d8ae42a5d000b56af4001f1","institutionalScore":65,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788557400000,"name":"LYV Live Nation Entertainment","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1786394316250},"pivotPrice":189.25,"rsRating":57,"sector":"Communication Services/娛樂","setupStatus":"invalidated","stopPrice":179.53,"symbol":"LYV","updatedAt":1788558532883,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"個股評分官","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":62,"version":7,"volumeContractionPct":42},{"analysisNotes":"2026-09-04 量化體檢｜**watching → invalidated**，vcpScore 82.7 → 64。收 38.37，**已收破停損 38.80（−1.11%）**。這是 8/28 深度覆核明文訂下的預訂規則「收破 38.80 → invalidated」被觸發，依既定規則執行，不再重新議價。佐證：距 52 週高擴大至 12.8%、收盤跌破 50 日線。基本面（GMV +44%、營收 +39%）並未惡化，且 8/28 已澄清流動性並非問題——**本檔屬「好公司、壞位置」，型態失效而非企業失效**，若日後在 35.54（200 日線）上方重建收縮基底，可重新納入候選；若 30 天內未恢復則依汰除規則移出。[confirmed]\n\n---\n【2026-08-28 深度覆核｜維持 watching，vcpScore 79 → 82.7（上修）｜**更正搜集員的成交量數據**】一、資料更正：搜集員記載「今日量 32.96 萬股」，本員以日線實測為 923,535 股，50 日均量 1,457,706 股（日均成交金額約 5,700 萬美元），今日量為均量 63%——屬健康的量縮，不是流動性枯竭。二、因此「流動性偏薄」這項扣分理由不成立，予以撤銷。三、量化實測：收 39.95，距 52 週高 43.99 為 -9.18%；50 日線 38.30、200 日線 35.54，雙均線之上。週振幅八／四／兩週 23.0%／11.8%／8.3% 逐段收斂，3 層收縮成立；五日均量為 50 日均量 54%。對 SPY 加權超額 +11.5%（RS 73）。U/D 量比 0.87 略偏弱為主要扣分項。四、四維重評 82.7（技術 81.2／基本 94／籌碼 81／RS 73）。五、價位維持樞紐 42.37／停損 38.80；由樞紐起算風險 8.4%，若突破需縮小部位。六、預訂規則：(1) 帶量收上 42.37 → 升 nearPivot／triggered；(2) **收破 38.80 → invalidated**。\n\n---\n【2026-08-28 日常追蹤】維持 watching，vcpScore 78.5 → 79。收 39.95（+1.16%）。大盤普跌中逆勢收紅，為清單內少數展現當日相對強勢的標的。（註：本則所載成交量數據已由 8/28 深度覆核更正。）\n\n---\n【2026-08-26】四維重評 78.5（技術 72／基本 94／籌碼 84／RS 65）。收 39.13，對 SPY 加權超額 12.3%。八／四／兩週振幅 29.9%／14.0%／10.2%，五日量為 50 日均量 53%。樞紐 42.37／停損 38.80。","companyName":"Global-E Online Ltd.","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1787258240769,"fundamentalScore":94,"id":"ca49bc93446e189d9680ec43","institutionalScore":81,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788557400000,"name":"GLBE Global-E Online","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1787258241169},"pivotPrice":42.37,"rsRating":73,"sector":"Internet Retail","setupStatus":"invalidated","stopPrice":38.8,"symbol":"GLBE","updatedAt":1788558532883,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"個股評分官","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":64,"version":8,"volumeContractionPct":46},{"analysisNotes":"2026-09-04 量化體檢｜**nearPivot → invalidated**，vcpScore 78.4 → 63。收 289.62，**已收破停損 295.29達 −1.92%**，且跌破 50 日線，距 52 週高由 1.0% 擴大至 7.9%。依規則 5 降 invalidated。**教訓**：8/29 才從 degraded 升 nearPivot（當時距 52 週高僅 1.0%、週線僅 2 段收縮），不到一週即回破——**只有 2 段收縮的基底不應升至 nearPivot**，下一輪起將「收縮段數 ≥ 3」列為升級前提。尚需注意：本檔仍有 NSC 併購案進度風險，且 NSC 本身也在清單內並同時亮多項體檢旗標，兩檔屬同一群集風險。[confirmed]\n\n---\n2026-08-29 週末量化覆核(8/28收盤)：收307.41，距52週高-1.0%、MA50 5.8%、MA200 18.9%，RS超額11.4%(rating 68)，週線收縮2段[9.9, 4.2]，近3週幅度7.6%，10日均量/50日均量0.88。四維重算vcpScore 66→78.4(技衵87.0)。pivot 308.29/stop 295.29，自樞紐計風險4.22%。狀態degraded→nearPivot。\n\n---\n2026-08-20 全清單重點覆核｜重新檢視既有型態、基本面與籌碼紀錄；本輪未發現足以推翻前次結論的已確認新證據，setupStatus 維持 degraded、vcpScore 維持 66。未取得足以確認的新 pivot／stop，依規則不虛構價位。\n\n---\n2026-07-18 週末｜⚠️ 財報事件鎖：UNP 週四 7/23 發 Q2 財報，且併購對象 NSC 同日發財報＝鐵路群集同日雙檢。**事件禁入窗**。UNP 為主併方，財報＋併案綜效指引同框，跳空風險高。財報後守 50 日線 $268.91 且 STB 併案進度無變數再評估。","companyName":"Union Pacific Corporation","contractionLevels":2,"createdAt":1783931728586,"fundamentalScore":75,"id":"0a504b6e3586e33088301b36","institutionalScore":78,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788557400000,"name":"UNP Union Pacific Corporation","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1783931728686},"pivotPrice":308.29,"rsRating":68,"sector":"鐵路","setupStatus":"invalidated","stopPrice":295.29,"symbol":"UNP","updatedAt":1788558532883,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"個股評分官","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":63,"version":10,"volumeContractionPct":12},{"analysisNotes":"2026-09-04 首次入列（定版排名第 10）｜Stock 67.6、Final 68.1。子分：波動收縮 59（ATR10 1.88% / ATR50 2.37% = 0.80）、RS 線 71（超額 +10.97%）、基底 64、量能 59、趨勢模板 100、基本面 72。Final = 67.6×0.50 + 72.4×0.30 + 63.0×0.20。\n\n收 247.18，距樞紐 249.29 僅 +0.85%，為本輪最接近觸發者。Opportunity_x 0.82 全表最高（RS 0.71 × Sector 0.724 ÷ Vol_norm 0.627）。【主要瑕疵】基底中段反而放大：三段 9.39%→13.24%→8.67%（steps 1），非乾淨的逐級收縮；U/D 量比 0.78 偏弱。停損 227.68，風險 8.67%（逾 6%，須縮小部位；50DMA 234.19）。今日量 0.76x，未帶量越樞紐前維持 nearPivot。財報 2026-11-05。失效：收破 227.68；無量越過 249.29 後回落（假突破）；XLV 跌破 50 日趨勢。[confirmed]","companyName":"Cardinal Health, Inc.","contractionLevels":2,"createdAt":1788558323627,"fundamentalScore":72,"id":"b0fdb8ada3e4b58762d2fe2d","itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788557400000,"name":"CAH Cardinal Health","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1788558324427},"pivotPrice":249.29,"rsRating":71,"sector":"醫療保健／醫療服務","setupStatus":"nearPivot","stopPrice":227.68,"symbol":"CAH","updatedAt":1788558323627,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"個股評分官","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":67.6,"version":1,"volumeContractionPct":29},{"analysisNotes":"2026-09-04 首次入列（定版排名第 4）｜Stock 72.6、Final 70.7。子分：波動收縮 75（ATR10 1.88% / ATR50 2.78% = 0.68）、RS 線 19、基底品質 100、量能 100（量比 0.56、U/D 1.80）、趨勢模板 73、基本面 76。Final = 72.6×0.50 + 72.7×0.30 + 63.0×0.20。\n\n收 573.01。型態本身接近完美：三段振幅 15.01%→5.91%→4.51%、深度 15.0%、樞紐 576.55、停損 555.01，風險僅 3.74%（全表最低），距樞紐 +0.62%。【矛盾點】趨勢模板不過：距 52 週低僅 +15.6%（門檻 +30%）、距 52 週高 642.47 達 10.8%、收盤在 50 日線 577.12 之下、RS 對 SPY 超額 −5.05%（落後）。Opportunity_x 0.22 為本輪最低，即反映「乾淨基底長在弱勢股上」這個分歧。未收復 577.12 且帶量越 576.55 前不升 triggered。財報 2026-10-20。失效：收破 555.01；RS 超額續負兩週則降 degraded。[confirmed]","companyName":"MSCI Inc.","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1788558323627,"fundamentalScore":76,"id":"7ce9d43324e7cf9401bdb18a","itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788557400000,"name":"MSCI MSCI Inc.","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1788558323927},"pivotPrice":576.55,"rsRating":19,"sector":"金融／資本市場","setupStatus":"nearPivot","stopPrice":555.01,"symbol":"MSCI","updatedAt":1788558323627,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"個股評分官","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":72.6,"version":1,"volumeContractionPct":44},{"analysisNotes":"2026-09-04 首次入列（定版排名第 3）｜Stock 74.0（本輪個股層級最高）、Final 71.4。子分：波動收縮 67（ATR10 1.99% / ATR50 2.69% = 0.74）、RS 線 54（超額僅 +5.28%）、基底品質 95、量能 60、趨勢模板 100、基本面 85。Final = 74.0×0.50 + Sector 72.7×0.30 + 63.0×0.20 = 37.00+21.81+12.60。\n\n收 217.72。基底為本輪最乾淨之一：三段振幅 10.70%→9.09%→5.99% 逐級收斂（steps 2）、深度僅 12.6%。樞紐 220.53（近 3 週高）、停損 208.91，風險 5.27%——本輪前 12 檔中唯一符合 6% 標準者，賠率結構最佳。距樞紐 +1.29%。主要扣分：U/D 量比 0.86（下跌日量能大於上漲日，派發傾向，量能子分僅 60）與 RS 僅 54，不具領導股動能。上檔套牢區 230.98（50DMA 215.02）。財報 2026-10-14。失效：收破 208.91；U/D 續降至 0.75 以下視為派發確立；XLF 跌破 50 日趨勢。[confirmed]","companyName":"Morgan Stanley","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1788558323627,"fundamentalScore":85,"id":"77f8832eb328275e01d72754","itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788557400000,"name":"MS Morgan Stanley","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1788558323827},"pivotPrice":220.53,"rsRating":54,"sector":"金融／大型銀行","setupStatus":"nearPivot","stopPrice":208.91,"symbol":"MS","updatedAt":1788558323627,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"個股評分官","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":74,"version":1,"volumeContractionPct":27},{"analysisNotes":"2026-09-04 首次入列（Layer 3 定版排名第 1）｜Stock 73.0、Final 74.7 均為本輪最高。子分：波動收縮 49（ATR10 3.74% / ATR50 4.34% = 0.86）、RS 線 86（對 SPY IBD 40/20/20/20 加權超額 +20.16%，全表最強）、基底品質 62、量能 89（10/50 日均量比 0.72、U/D 1.52、今日 0.36x）、趨勢模板 100（距 52 週高 5.3%、距 52 週低 +133.4%）、基本面健全度 78。Final = 73.0×0.50 + Sector 85.2×0.30 + MarketHealth 63.0×0.20 = 36.50+25.56+12.60 = 74.66。\n\n收 51.40。樞紐 54.25（近 3 週高，亦為 52 週高），停損 48.15（近 2 週低），距樞紐 +5.54%。主要瑕疵：9 週基底振幅 27.44%→13.73%→11.24% 雖遞減但絕對幅度仍寬、深度 29.0%，自樞紐起算風險 11.24%，遠逾 6% 標準——若突破須大幅縮小部位，或改以 50 日線 47.34 為結構參考。未帶量越過 54.25 前一律維持 watching。財報 2026-10-21，不在 5 週內。失效：收破 48.15，或帶量（≥1.5x）跌破 50DMA 47.34，或 XLE 跌破 50 日趨勢，或 VIX \u0026gt; 22。全部數據 [confirmed]（Yahoo chart API 實測、adjclose 還原分割）。","companyName":"Oceaneering International, Inc.","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1788558323627,"fundamentalScore":78,"id":"bb70958b0b05115ac0947641","itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788557400000,"name":"OII Oceaneering International","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1788558323627},"pivotPrice":54.25,"rsRating":86,"sector":"能源／油服設備","setupStatus":"watching","stopPrice":48.15,"symbol":"OII","updatedAt":1788558323627,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"個股評分官","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":73,"version":1,"volumeContractionPct":28},{"analysisNotes":"2026-09-04 首次入列（定版排名第 7）｜Stock 68.3、Final 68.5。子分：波動收縮 54（ATR10 3.05% / ATR50 3.70% = 0.83）、RS 線 70（超額 +11.22%）、基底品質 58、量能 80（量比 0.75、U/D 1.36）、趨勢模板 100（距 52 週低 +148.0%）、基本面 70。Final = 68.3×0.50 + 72.4×0.30 + 63.0×0.20。\n\n收 401.54，為醫療服務群動能最強者。【主要瑕疵】基底未收縮：三段振幅 10.18%／10.53%／10.16% 幾乎持平（steps 1），屬橫盤而非 VCP 式收縮，基底子分僅 58。樞紐 413.50、停損 379.27，風險 8.28%（逾 6%，須縮小部位；50DMA 388.35），距樞紐 +2.98%。財報 2026-11-06。失效：收破 379.27；基底第四段若仍 \u0026gt;10% 未收縮則降 degraded；XLV 跌破 50 日趨勢。[confirmed]","companyName":"Humana Inc.","contractionLevels":2,"createdAt":1788558323627,"fundamentalScore":70,"id":"1d2e19f49f7a541bc92c5673","itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788557400000,"name":"HUM Humana Inc.","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1788558324127},"pivotPrice":413.5,"rsRating":70,"sector":"醫療保健／醫療服務","setupStatus":"nearPivot","stopPrice":379.27,"symbol":"HUM","updatedAt":1788558323627,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"個股評分官","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":68.3,"version":1,"volumeContractionPct":25},{"analysisNotes":"2026-09-04 首次入列（定版排名第 8）｜Stock 68.1、Final 68.5。子分：波動收縮 62（ATR10 1.90% / ATR50 2.46% = 0.77）、RS 線 51（超額 +4.57%）、基底 85（三段 12.18%→10.08%→8.00%、深度 12.4%）、量能 50、趨勢模板 100、基本面 80。Final = 68.1×0.50 + 72.7×0.30 + 63.0×0.20。\n\n收 137.72。【主要瑕疵】U/D 量比 0.72：近 50 日下跌日成交量顯著大於上漲日，量能子分僅 50，屬派發特徵，與價格靠近新高的表象矛盾。樞紐 140.88、停損 130.20，風險 7.58%（逾 6%，須縮小部位；50DMA 134.94），距樞紐 +2.29%。上檔套牢區 143.98，與樞紐僅隔 2.2%，突破後上方空間有限。財報 2026-10-13（本輪前 12 檔中最早）。失效：收破 130.20；跌破 50DMA 即降 degraded；XLF 跌破 50 日趨勢。[confirmed]","companyName":"Citigroup Inc.","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1788558323627,"fundamentalScore":80,"id":"348f27226dfd81120764554b","itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788557400000,"name":"C Citigroup Inc.","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1788558324227},"pivotPrice":140.88,"rsRating":51,"sector":"金融／大型銀行","setupStatus":"nearPivot","stopPrice":130.2,"symbol":"C","updatedAt":1788558323627,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"個股評分官","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":68.1,"version":1,"volumeContractionPct":22},{"analysisNotes":"2026-09-04 首次入列（定版排名第 9）｜Stock 68.1、Final 68.4。子分：波動收縮 55（ATR10 2.04% / ATR50 2.49% = 0.82）、RS 線 31、基底 91（三段 12.66%→7.01%→6.30%、深度 17.6%）、量能 84（量比 0.75、U/D 1.45）、趨勢模板 93、基本面 80。Final = 68.1×0.50 + 72.7×0.30 + 63.0×0.20。\n\n收 96.88。型態與量能皆佳，但與 MSCI 同病：趨勢模板形式上不過（距 52 週低僅 +26.6%，門檻 +30%）、RS 對 SPY 超額 −1.39%，屬弱勢股上的乾淨基底。樞紐 100.97（近 3 週高）、停損 94.61，風險 6.30%（略逾標準；50DMA 92.77），距樞紐 +4.22%，未達 3% 故維持 watching。財報 2026-10-22。失效：收破 94.61；RS 超額續為負值逾兩週則降 degraded；XLF 跌破 50 日趨勢。[confirmed]","companyName":"Nasdaq, Inc.","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1788558323627,"fundamentalScore":80,"id":"6c8c325ef92c7afe26eb655d","itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788557400000,"name":"NDAQ Nasdaq, Inc.","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1788558324327},"pivotPrice":100.97,"rsRating":31,"sector":"金融／資本市場","setupStatus":"watching","stopPrice":94.61,"symbol":"NDAQ","updatedAt":1788558323627,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"個股評分官","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":68.1,"version":1,"volumeContractionPct":25},{"analysisNotes":"2026-09-01 新增入列（Layer 3 個股評分，2026-09-01 收盤 [confirmed]）｜Stock 64.3 = 0.25×VC 47.2 + 0.20×RS 36.4 + 0.20×BQ 89 + 0.15×VOL 77.7 + 0.10×TT 100.0 + 0.10×FS 58。Sector 能源 E\u0026P 91.3 [confirmed 上游輪動掃描官]、Market Health 49.0（Correction）→ Final = 64.3×0.50 + 91.3×0.30 + 49.0×0.20 = 69.3。收 39.81，距 52 週高 -12.98%（本輪唯一距高逾 10% 者，型態屬較深基底）、較 50DMA +11.8%、較 52 週低 +36.8%；2 週 ATR% 2.80 ÷ 8–12 週基準 3.14 = 0.893；量縮比 0.779、當日量/20 日均量 1.28；RS 對 SPY 超額 +5.36%、RS 線距 252 日高 -26.85%（全候選最弱 RS 線）；收縮序列 [11.1, 10.85, 12.32, 9.2]；50/150/200DMA = 35.62/36.80/36.17。⚠️ 基本面 [estimate，未證實]：網路流傳「2.5 億美元可轉債」稀釋消息僅見於一個報價明顯錯誤（$3.62 vs 實際 $39.81）的社群聚合頁與一則未載日期的律師事務所簡介，無法在 SEC 或公司 IR 佐證，故不套用稀釋否決條款，改以 FS 下修至 58 反映不確定性；若後續證實為真，本檔應直接剔除。樞紐 40.01（距 +0.50%）／失效 36.64（風險 8.65% \u003e 6%，須縮小部位）。失效條件：收盤放量跌破 36.64、XOP 跌破趨勢、天然氣價急跌、可轉債稀釋獲證實、VIX 升破 20。","companyName":"Antero Resources","contractionLevels":4,"createdAt":1788298603749,"fundamentalScore":58,"id":"565481f88a28a7ed2e95a66c","itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788292800000,"name":"AR Antero Resources","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1788298604049},"pivotPrice":40.01,"rsRating":36.4,"sector":"天然氣探勘生產","setupStatus":"nearPivot","stopPrice":36.64,"symbol":"AR","updatedAt":1788298603749,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"個股評分官","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":64.3,"version":1,"volumeContractionPct":22},{"analysisNotes":"2026-08-30 深度覆核｜**評分 86 → 68，狀態 watching → degraded**（基準 8/28 收 69.71）。前次判斷「單日弱 SPY 0.44pp、幅度輕微」低估了本週的實際破壞：8/18–8/21 四日自 75.33 直落至 69.30（**-8.0%**），其中 8/19 量能 1.18 倍、8/21 量能 1.58 倍，**放量下殺**。這一段抹掉了 6 月以來整個上升段的最後兩層收縮。\n\n關鍵反證：**現價跌破 50 日線（71.39）達 -2.35%**，符合 degraded 定義。RS 由 95 修正為 70：自算 69.9，近 1 個月 -2.82% 對 SPY +3.73%（落後 6.6pp）；救回分數的是 12 個月 +34.3% 與 6 個月 +15.8%（勝 SPY），屬「長期強、短期轉弱」。\n\n價位：pivotPrice 75.33＝8/17 日高＝52 週高，是必須收復的基底頂；stopPrice 69.30＝8/21 日低＝這波破位的低點，也是最後一段收縮的底。風險 (75.33→69.30) **-8.0%，遠超 6% 上限**，代表目前**沒有可執行的進場結構**，須等新基底成形後重設價位。現價距樞紐 +8.06%。\n\n仍保留的理由（不汰除）：站上 200 日線 +9.7%；量能明確乾涸——20 日均量僅為 50 日均量的 **67.6%**，且 8/24 當週成交量 1,057 萬股是 16 週最低；8/24–8/28 五日收在 69.30–71.00 的 2.4% 窄幅，是破位後**低位無量整理**，具備重建基底的雛形。基本面無反證（Q2 EPS $1.30 beat +41%、營收 +12.1%、NII +4% QoQ），下次財報 2026-10-16 遙遠。**觀察 9 月能否收復 71.39（50 日線）。**\n\n---\n2026-08-30 週日陳舊標的健檢（基準 8/28 收盤）｜維持 86。收 69.71（-0.67%），距 52 週高 75.33 為 -7.46%。流動性佳：239 萬股 × 69.71 ≈ 1.67 億美元。下次財報 2026-10-16。2 年期殖利率週內 +10bp 至 4.34%，對區域銀行 NIM 方向性中性。\n\n---\n2026-08-20 全清單重點覆核｜未發現足以推翻前次結論的新證據，維持 watching、vcpScore 86。\n\n---\n【8/13 覆核】86 買進觀察：Q2 EPS $1.30(+41% beat)/營收 $2.28B(+12.1%)、淨利 $587M(+35%)、NII +4% QoQ。Setup9/Tech10 強突破 setup、1Y+53%。銀行 More Favored。財報已過(7/16)。","companyName":"Citizens Financial Group","contractionLevels":2,"createdAt":1786653457397,"fundamentalScore":78,"id":"538ee5f3fbb0a9ae7edd8b24","institutionalScore":72,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788120000000,"name":"CFG Citizens Financial","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1786653457797},"pivotPrice":75.33,"rsRating":70,"sector":"銀行","setupStatus":"degraded","stopPrice":69.3,"symbol":"CFG","updatedAt":1788124295329,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"篩選分析員","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":68,"version":6,"volumeContractionPct":32},{"analysisNotes":"2026-08-30 深度覆核｜補上 pivot／stop 並升級 nearPivot（基準 8/28 收 34.85）。**pivotPrice 35.76**＝8/27 日高＝52 週高＝最後一段收縮高點。**stopPrice 34.19**＝8/24 週低，即最終緊縮區的低點。風險 (35.76→34.19) 僅 **-4.39%**，在 6% 上限內，是本輪補價位的五檔中風險結構最好的一檔。現價距樞紐 +2.61%，落在 3% 內，**故由 watching 升級 nearPivot**。\n\n型態品質實測：週振幅由 12.0%（8/3 週）→ 4.0% → 6.4% → 4.6%，**確實在收斂**；量能 20 日均量為 50 日均量的 77.4%，乾涸明確。站上 50 日線 +10.1%、200 日線 +17.2%。三段收縮：6/29 週低 27.78 起漲 → 8/3 週高 35.31 → 8/10 週低 32.08（-9.1%）→ 8/27 高 35.76 → 目前回檔僅 -2.5%。收縮層數 3 成立。\n\n評分 90 → 80：技術結構好，但 **RS 是硬傷**——自算 71.2，12 個月僅 +2.17%、同期 SPY +18.98%，落後 16.8pp；救回分數的是 6 個月 +30.1% 與 3 個月 +16.9%（均大幅勝過 SPY 的 12.15%／1.70%），屬於「近期才轉強」的修復型，不是長期領漲股。基本面 72 為本次新建：FY26 Q4（6/30）營收 23.37 億、營業利益 2.49 億、淨利 1.79 億，較 3 月季（21.85 億／2.03 億／0.89 億）全面改善，淨利年化動能佳但營收成長僅個位數。\n\n注意：8/27、8/28 兩日量能為 20 日均量的 1.37／1.36 倍且 8/28 收黑，屬樞紐前的正常震盪；**若要確認突破，須日收 \u003e 35.76 且量能明顯放大**。\n\n---\n2026-08-30 週日陳舊標的健檢（基準 8/28 收盤）｜維持 90。收 34.85（-1.33%），距 52 週高 35.76 為 -2.54%，位置與 NOV 並列清單最前段。單日相對 SPY 弱 1.10pp，但通訊服務為本週第二強板塊（週 +1.05%），族群順風仍在。流動性充足：158 萬股 × 34.85 ≈ 5,516 萬美元。財報 8/5 已過。\n\n---\n2026-08-20 全清單重點覆核｜未發現足以推翻前次結論的新證據，維持 watching、vcpScore 90。\n\n---\n2026-07-07 資料搜集員新進（ChartMill）。Setup Quality 9/10 + Technical Rating 7。板塊：通訊服務（Schwab More Favored）。","companyName":"News Corp","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1783456794650,"fundamentalScore":72,"id":"22af5d8e04e820f84dcdd479","itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788120000000,"name":"NWS News Corp","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1783456794850},"pivotPrice":35.76,"rsRating":71,"sector":"通訊服務","setupStatus":"nearPivot","stopPrice":34.19,"symbol":"NWS","updatedAt":1788124295329,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"篩選分析員","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":80,"version":7,"volumeContractionPct":23},{"analysisNotes":"2026-08-30 深度覆核｜補上 pivot／stop，解除「nearPivot 卻無價位」的規則違規（基準 8/28 收 91.81）。**本部自訂樞紐 94.50**＝8/26 日高，且 8/21（94.31）、8/24（94.45）、8/26（94.50）三日連續在此止步，是實測出的壓力帶——取代 ChartMill 的 94.51（數字近似純屬巧合，但本部價位有結構依據）。**stopPrice 90.28**＝8/18 日低／8/17 當週低，取最後一段收縮的低點；未取更近的 91.59（8/24 週低）是因為距現價僅 0.24%，必被洗掉。風險 (94.50→90.28) **-4.47%**，在 6% 內。現價距樞紐 +2.93%，勉強落在 3% 內，nearPivot 成立但**已在門檻邊緣**。\n\n型態實測（覆寫初篩估計值）：週振幅 7.0% → 4.5% → **3.2%（8/24 週）**；該週量 1,068 萬股為 16 週最低，量能 20 日／50 日比 81.3%（初篩估的 volumeContractionPct 25 修正為 19）。收縮層數 3：7/27 週自 101.60 崩到 90.27（**-11.1%，是很深的第一段**），8/10 週低 86.92，再到目前 91.59–94.50。\n\n評分 78 → 73：扣分主因是 **距 52 週高 -9.64%**（清單中偏後段）與第一段收縮過深（-14.4% 自 101.60 到 86.92），代表基底受過實質破壞、目前是修復而非緊縮末端；且現價仍在 50 日線（92.17）下方 -0.39%。RS 66.3：6 個月 +6.6% 落後 SPY 的 +12.2%，但 12 個月 +35.3% 大勝。基本面 76 為本次新建：營收連四季成長（14.85→15.58→16.54→17.28 億，年增約 16.4%），歸屬普通股東淨利 7,057 萬，REIT 基本面穩健。\n\n**最大逆風未解除**：7 月核心 PCE 3.3% 高於預期壓抑降息預期，醫療保健 REIT 對長端殖利率高度敏感；10Y 4.734%／30Y 5.275% 仍在高檔。突破須同時滿足日收 \u003e 94.50 與量能明顯放大。\n\n---\n【2026-08-27 初篩納入】ChartMill Setup 9/10，標題強調「Perfect Trend Strength」，建議進場 94.51、停損 91.50，最壞損失約 3.18%。本員實測：收 92.89（-0.65%），量 1,528,143 股。距 52 週高 101.60 為 -8.57%。今日大盤由 AI／半導體帶動，VTR 收黑；昨日 7 月核心 PCE 3.3% 高於預期已壓抑降息預期，此為本檔最大逆風。樞紐與停損留空待分析員定價。contractionLevels 2 與 volumeContractionPct 25 為初篩估計值。財報 Jul 29, 2026 已過。","companyName":"Ventas, Inc.","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1787863076158,"fundamentalScore":76,"id":"f226de84a834346e5889f5f7","itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788120000000,"name":"VTR Ventas","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1787863076258},"pivotPrice":94.5,"rsRating":66,"sector":"Real Estate/醫療保健 REIT","setupStatus":"nearPivot","stopPrice":90.28,"symbol":"VTR","updatedAt":1788124295329,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"篩選分析員","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":73,"version":2,"volumeContractionPct":19},{"analysisNotes":"2026-08-30 深度覆核｜補上 pivot／stop，解除「nearPivot 卻無價位」的規則違規（基準 8/28 收 107.85）。**本部自訂樞紐 110.51**＝8/13 日高＝52 週高，取代初篩沿用的 ChartMill 進場價 108.56——後者只是第三方輸出，且 8/18、8/21、8/26、8/27 已四度在 108.2–108.8 區間被壓回，真正要突破的是 110.51。**stopPrice 105.36**＝8/25 日低＝最後一段收縮低點。風險 (110.51→105.36) **-4.66%**，在 6% 內。現價距樞紐 +2.47%，nearPivot 成立。\n\n型態實測（覆寫初篩估計值）：週振幅 6.1% → 6.1% → **3.2%（8/24 週）**，收斂中；量能 20 日均量為 50 日均量的 85.2%（初篩估的 volumeContractionPct 25 修正為 15）；收縮層數 3（8/10 週高 110.51 → 8/17 週低 102.97 為 -6.8%；再到 8/24 週高 108.74 → 低 105.36 為 -3.1%，幅度確實逐層收斂）。站上 50 日線 +2.7%、200 日線 +11.0%。流動性 6.6 億美元／日，全清單最高。\n\n扣分項：**RS 僅 64.3**（自算）——12 個月 +23.0% 僅小勝 SPY 的 +19.0%，但 6 個月 +10.0% 落後 SPY 的 +12.2%，中期動能不足，不是領漲股。基本面 68 為本次新建：FY26 Q3（6/28）營收 93.23 億，較 3 月季 95.32 億**環比下滑**；但營業利益 9.81 億 vs 8.28 億、淨利 10.45 億 vs 5.11 億，利潤率修復明顯（含業外因素）。營收未回成長是關鍵保留。\n\n---\n【2026-08-27 初篩納入】ChartMill 於今日盤前發布 Setup 9/10、Technical 8/10，建議以 buy-stop 掛在 108.56 之上。本員實測收盤：收 107.26（-1.13%），量 4,866,784 股。距 52 週高 110.51 為 -2.94%。今日大盤在 NVDA 財報利多下強漲（SPY +0.66%、QQQ +1.37%），SBUX 卻收黑 -1.13%，屬當日相對弱勢。樞紐與停損欄位刻意留空——108.56 是 ChartMill 的輸出，非本部自訂樞紐。contractionLevels 2 與 volumeContractionPct 25 為初篩估計值，請分析員實測覆寫。財報 Jul 29, 2026 已過。","companyName":"Starbucks Corporation","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1787863076158,"fundamentalScore":68,"id":"2d7708104d600e55ea99bf46","itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788120000000,"name":"SBUX Starbucks","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1787863076158},"pivotPrice":110.51,"rsRating":64,"sector":"Consumer Discretionary/餐飲連鎖","setupStatus":"nearPivot","stopPrice":105.36,"symbol":"SBUX","updatedAt":1788124295329,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"篩選分析員","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":78,"version":2,"volumeContractionPct":15},{"analysisNotes":"2026-08-30 深度覆核｜補上 pivot／stop（Nasdaq 官方歷史 API 實測，基準 8/28 收 20.99）。**pivotPrice 21.67**＝8/18 日高，同時是 52 週高與最後一段收縮的高點，是結構事實而非估計。**stopPrice 19.42**＝8/25 日低，最後一段收縮的低點。風險 (21.67→19.42) 為 -10.4%，**超過本部 6% 上限**，故僅能以約 0.6 倍部位執行，或等待更緊的最終收縮出現再進場。\n\n評分由 90 下修至 82：實測三段收縮幅度為 -17.7%（6/15 週 21.55→7/6 週 17.73）、-10.7%（7/27 週 21.20→18.93）、-10.4%（8/17 週 21.67→8/24 週 19.42），**後兩段幾乎沒有收斂**，且最後一週振幅 9.5% 反而放大，這不是教科書型 VCP。加分項是量能實測 20 日均量僅為 50 日均量的 82.7%（乾涸中）、站上 50 日線 +6.9% 與 200 日線 +11.6%、距高僅 -3.14%。\n\nRS 由 95 修正為 73：自算（IBD 權重 3M40/1M20/6M20/12M20 對 SPY 取超額）得 73.4。12 個月 +60.1% 亮眼，但 **6 個月僅 +3.6%、同期 SPY +12.15%**，中期是落後的，95 分無法成立。基本面 70 為本次新建：Q2/26 營收 21.34 億、毛利率 24.4%（Q1 為 18.5%）、營業利益 1.93 億 vs Q1 的 0.47 億、淨利 1.12 億 vs 0.19 億，獲利動能明確改善但營收僅持平。\n\n狀態維持 watching 而非 nearPivot：現價距樞紐 +3.24%，**差 0.24 個百分點未達 3% 門檻**，依鐵律不得升級。\n\n---\n2026-08-30 週日陳舊標的健檢（基準 8/28 收盤）｜維持 90，清單位置最佳的一檔。收 20.99（+1.11%），距 52 週高 21.67 僅 -3.14%；單日相對 SPY 強 1.34pp，且是在 WTI 週跌 3.68% 的能源逆風下逆勢走強——相對強度是硬證據。流動性充足：292 萬股 × 20.99 ≈ 6,130 萬美元。財報 7/29 已過，未來三個交易日無事件鎖。位置已進入樞紐區但 pivot 尚未建立，依規則不得標 nearPivot，維請分析員本輪優先補上最後收縮高低點與停損位。\n\n---\n2026-08-20 全清單重點覆核｜重新檢視既有型態、基本面與籌碼紀錄；本輪未發現足以推翻前次結論的已確認新證據，setupStatus 維持 watching、vcpScore 維持 90。未取得足以確認的新 pivot／stop，依規則不虛構價位。\n\n---\n2026-07-07 資料搜集員新進（ChartMill 新聞警報）。Technical Rating 10 + Setup Rating 9。板塊：能源（Schwab Neutral）。型態研判：良好收縮基底、上升趨勢對齊、高相對強度。","companyName":"NOV Inc","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1783456794650,"fundamentalScore":70,"id":"723bb9d38ed367bac4f6c0c6","itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788120000000,"name":"NOV NOV Inc","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1783456794650},"pivotPrice":21.67,"rsRating":73,"sector":"油服/設備","setupStatus":"watching","stopPrice":19.42,"symbol":"NOV","updatedAt":1788124295329,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"篩選分析員","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":82,"version":8,"volumeContractionPct":17},{"analysisNotes":"2026-08-30 深度覆核｜**評分 85 → 66，狀態 watching → degraded**（基準 8/28 收 25.85）。前次以「平盤持穩、相對 SPY 強 0.23pp」維持 85，本次拉出實際日線後推翻該結論：8/18–8/19 兩日自 27.34 摜到 25.91（-5.2%），且 8/19、8/20 量能為 20 日均量的 1.04／1.01 倍——**是帶量破位，不是無量休息**。此後 8/20 至 8/28 七個交易日全部收在 25.66–25.85 的窄幅（週振幅 3.0%），是破位後的低位橫盤，不是樞紐前的收斂。\n\n關鍵反證：**現價已跌破 50 日線（26.29）達 -1.66%**，依鐵律定義（跌破 50 日線但型態仍在）即為 degraded。RS 由 90 修正為 60：自算 59.7，近 1 個月 -2.12%、同期 SPY +3.73%，落後 5.85pp；12 個月 +12.29% 亦低於 SPY 的 +18.98%，**無論短中長期都跑輸大盤**，90 分完全無法成立。\n\n價位：pivotPrice 27.36＝8/3 週高，也是 7/13、8/3、8/17 三度觸及未過的頸線（27.32／27.36／27.34），是明確的結構性天花板；stopPrice 25.39＝8/27 日低＝最後一段收縮低點。風險 (27.36→25.39) -7.2%，**超過 6% 上限，須縮小部位**。現價距樞紐 +5.84%，本來就不到 nearPivot 門檻。\n\n仍保留在清單的理由：站上 200 日線 +7.8%、量能 20/50 日比 74.1%（乾涸）、流動性充足（$8,277 萬／日），型態結構未破壞，只是轉弱。**若 9 月能收復 26.29（50 日線）可回升 watching；若日收跌破 25.39 則降 invalidated。**\n\n---\n2026-08-30 週日陳舊標的健檢（基準 8/28 收盤）｜維持 85。收 25.85（0.00%，平盤），距 52 週高 27.36 為 -5.52%。流動性充足：342 萬股 × 25.85 ≈ 8,843 萬美元。財報 7/22 已過。與 CFG 同屬區域銀行，短端殖利率上行方向性中性。\n\n---\n2026-08-20 全清單重點覆核｜未發現足以推翻前次結論的新證據，維持 watching、vcpScore 85。\n\n---\n【8/12 覆核】86分買進觀察：Q2 record淨利$249.4M/adj EPS $0.65(beat)/營收$740M(+16.8%)、ROATCE 19.9%、放款+8.3%年化。機構83.7%、202加/130減(net+72)。區域銀行 More Favored。","companyName":"Old National Bancorp","contractionLevels":2,"createdAt":1786567357362,"fundamentalScore":80,"id":"3e3a012b038a59af512b0292","institutionalScore":78,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788120000000,"name":"ONB Old National Bancorp","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1786567357562},"pivotPrice":27.36,"rsRating":60,"sector":"區域銀行","setupStatus":"degraded","stopPrice":25.39,"symbol":"ONB","updatedAt":1788124295329,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"篩選分析員","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":66,"version":5,"volumeContractionPct":26},{"analysisNotes":"2026-08-30 深度覆核｜補上 pivot／stop 並升級 nearPivot（基準 8/28 收 60.85）。**本輪全清單型態品質最佳的一檔。** pivotPrice 62.45＝8/25 日高＝52 週高＝最後收縮高點；stopPrice 60.37＝8/20、8/21 兩日共同低點，是最終緊縮區的地板。風險 (62.45→60.37) 僅 **-3.33%**，現價距樞紐 +2.63%（3% 內）故升級 nearPivot。\n\n型態實測：週振幅 8.2%（7/13）→ 5.0% → 3.7% → 5.8% → 5.4% → 6.8% → **3.0%（8/24 週，16 週最窄）**；該週成交量 934 萬股是 16 週最低（前值約 1,300–2,700 萬），**量價同步乾涸，教科書級 VCP 末段**。四段收縮：51.15（6/15 週低）→ 54.95 → 56.36 → 60.66，低點逐段墊高。站上 50 日線 +4.8%、200 日線 +25.1%。\n\nRS 85.1（自算）：12 個月 +68.8%、6 個月 +31.7%，兩期均大幅勝 SPY（+19.0%／+12.2%），是清單中少數真正的長期領漲股。基本面 76：Q2 portfolio receipts 7.73 億（+6%）、royalty +14%、EPS $1.32 beat、FY26 指引上調至 34–35 億。\n\n**未解除的扣分項**：籌碼 62 維持不動——內部人 90 日 8 筆賣出共 2,160 萬美元（含董事與 CFO），本輪查無新增申報但**舊申報尚未被時間消化**；且醫療保健為 8/28 當週次差板塊（週 -2.06%），族群逆風。因此雖然型態最佳，仍**不建議在 9/4 非農前搶進**。\n\n---\n2026-08-30 週日陳舊標的健檢（基準 8/28 收盤）｜維持 85，位置為清單前三。收 60.85（-1.73%），距 52 週高 62.46 僅 -2.58%。單日相對 SPY 弱 1.50pp；醫療保健本週板塊 -2.06% 為次差。流動性充足：170 萬股 × 60.85 ≈ 1.04 億美元。財報 8/5 已過。\n\n---\n2026-08-20 全清單重點覆核｜未發現足以推翻前次結論的新證據，維持 watching、vcpScore 85。\n\n---\n【8/13 覆核】80 觀察：Q2 portfolio receipts $773M(+6%)/royalty +14%、EPS $1.32 beat、上調 FY26 指引至 $3.4-3.5B。Tech10/Setup9 高點收斂。⚠️內部人 90 日 8 筆賣 $21.6M(Director+CFO)、機構 64.6%。","companyName":"Royalty Pharma","contractionLevels":4,"createdAt":1786653457397,"fundamentalScore":76,"id":"fdba7362ec2e50885e29bd33","institutionalScore":62,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788120000000,"name":"RPRX Royalty Pharma","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1786653457997},"pivotPrice":62.45,"rsRating":85,"sector":"生技/製藥","setupStatus":"nearPivot","stopPrice":60.37,"symbol":"RPRX","updatedAt":1788124295329,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"篩選分析員","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":86,"version":6,"volumeContractionPct":11},{"analysisNotes":"2026-08-30 深度覆核｜**採納走勢推演員的結構判讀，狀態 nearPivot → watching，並補上 stopPrice 解除規則違規**（基準 8/28 收 31.02）。\n\n裁決一：**52 週高 31.13／30.93 的衝突已結案**——推演員查清兩者都對，只是滾動視窗基準日不同（以 8/26 回看得 31.125，以 8/27 回看則 2025-08-26 那根滑出視窗、變成 30.93）。這正好證明**原 pivotPrice 30.93 是視窗產物、不是結構位**，會隨日期漂移，不可作為買點。本員採納並撤換。\n\n裁決二：**pivotPrice 改為 32.30**。真正的天花板是橫跨兩年的多重頂：2024-12-04 高 31.72、2025-08-13 至 08-25 在 31.1–32.2 之間盤了 11 個交易日（最高 32.22）。8/28 收 31.02 只是「剛抵達」這條天花板下緣。**stopPrice 29.70**（推演員建議值，本員核對後採用：對應 8/21 起這波上攻的起漲區）。風險 (32.30→29.70) -8.05%，超過 6% 上限，**須縮小部位**。現價距樞紐 +4.13%，**未達 3% 門檻，故不得標 nearPivot，降回 watching**。\n\n裁決三：**contractionLevels 由 2 歸零重設為 1、volumeContractionPct 歸 0**。本員實測 8/24 當週振幅 **9.9%**（前四週為 9.7／6.4／7.4），量能 3,115 萬股較前週 2,571 萬**放大**，20 日均量已達 50 日均量的 101.7%——這是**擴張段不是收縮段**。且現價站在 50 日線（27.01）上方 **+14.86%**，乖離過大，依本部「跳空／急漲後需重設 VCP、不追延伸」原則處理。\n\n評分 60 → 62（微調）：機械式技術評分僅 50（乖離與振幅雙重扣分），本員加 12 分是給「兩年期大型基底」的結構credit——價格自 2026-04 的 17.78 一路走到多年天花板下緣，基底本身是真的，問題只在當下時機過熱。RS 由 32 上修為 70：前手僅用 52 週單期（-0.88%）評分，但依 IBD 權重（3M 40%）自算為 76.3，3 個月 +20.3%、6 個月 +37.4% 均遠勝 SPY（+1.7%／+12.2%）；取保守值 70 以反映 12 個月 +0.91% 落後 SPY 18pp 的長期短板。\n\n**執行條件（不可放寬）**：日收 ≥ 32.30 且量能 ≥ 1.5 倍 20 日均量（約 780 萬股）才算突破；日收 \u003c 29.70 則降 invalidated。在此之前一律不進場。\n\n---\n【2026-08-30 獨立覆核｜走勢推演員】欄位未改，三點供裁決：(1) 52 週高衝突為滾動視窗差異；(2) 真天花板為 31.2–32.3 帶，2024-12-04 高 31.72、2025-08 最高 32.22；(3) 建議 pivot 32.30、確認量 ≥7.8M、失效 \u003c29.7。\n\n---\n【2026-08-27 收盤｜主題發掘員】watching→nearPivot。收 30.50（+2.90%），量 633.9 萬 vs 20 日均量 557.7 萬＝1.14x；距 52 週高 30.93 僅 -1.39%。營益率 42.80%、毛利 78.01% 為同組最佳（fundamentalScore 上修至 82）。RS 實測後由 70 大幅下修至 32——52 週價格變動僅 -0.88%，屬修復不是領漲。","companyName":"Gen Digital Inc.","contractionLevels":1,"createdAt":1787776692958,"fundamentalScore":82,"id":"b717ade748014ec622b51c79","institutionalScore":67,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788120000000,"name":"GEN Gen Digital Inc.","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1787776693058},"pivotPrice":32.3,"rsRating":70,"sector":"Technology / Software - Infrastructure（資安）","setupStatus":"watching","stopPrice":29.7,"symbol":"GEN","updatedAt":1788124295329,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"篩選分析員","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":62,"version":4,"volumeContractionPct":0},{"analysisNotes":"2026-08-30 週日陳舊標的健檢（基準 8/28 收盤）｜評分下修 87 → 80。收 244.54（-2.61%），距 52 週高 266.38 為 -8.20%，仍在 15% 濾網內但位置轉中段。單日相對 SPY（-0.23%）弱 2.38pp，且醫療保健為本週次差板塊（週 -2.06%），族群順風已由 8/21 的「XLV 領漲」翻轉為逆風——這是下修主因。流動性無虞：120.7 萬股 × 244.54 ≈ 2.95 億美元。維持 watching，pivot／stop 仍未建立。\n\n---\n2026-08-21 覆核｜綜合 87.1，第一梯隊。XLV +1.29% 領漲，醫療族群為今日資金主軸之一，型態與基本面均未見反證，維持 watching。型態細節仍沿用前次評分，pivot／stop 尚未建立，下次深度覆核須補最後收縮高低點。\n\n---\n2026-08-20 全清單重點覆核｜重新檢視既有型態、基本面與籌碼紀錄；本輪未發現足以推翻前次結論的已確認新證據，setupStatus 維持 watching、vcpScore 維持 90。未取得足以確認的新 pivot／stop，依規則不虛構價位。 本條屬桌面覆核；若原備註含財報事件鎖、資料矛盾或舊型態警示，仍列待確認，須以後續收盤量價解除。\n\n---\n【2026-08-19 覆核債處理】此筆原本無 lastReviewedAt、逾 21 天未覆核。8/19 收盤 252.16、50DMA 243.87、200DMA 198.91 [confirmed]，價格結構完好（站上雙均線、長期趨勢正向），維持 watching 並刷新覆核時間。註：本輪僅重驗趨勢範本，未重算收縮層數／量縮與 RS，型態細節仍為前次評分 [estimate]；pivot／stop 未建立，不得標 nearPivot。下次深度覆核應補最後收縮高低點。","companyName":"Jazz Pharmaceuticals plc","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1782679167993,"fundamentalScore":88,"id":"d14db5e9adda5f20cd7b4425","institutionalScore":78,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788122048062,"name":"JAZZ Jazz Pharmaceuticals","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":2},"rsRating":90,"sector":"製藥","setupStatus":"watching","symbol":"JAZZ","updatedAt":1788122440187,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"8a9091716f76c581ba3c1433","agentName":"市場資料搜集員","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":80,"version":12,"volumeContractionPct":63},{"analysisNotes":"2026-08-30 週日陳舊標的健檢（基準 8/28 收盤）｜評分下修 90 → 70。收 79.84（+0.14%），距 52 週高 89.22 為 -10.51%——已從「緊貼高點」退到區間中段，不再是第一梯隊位置。流動性是主要扣分點：當日 114,617 股 × 79.84 ≈ 915 萬美元成交金額，屬偏薄，突破日若要建立有意義部位會明顯推價。此筆自 8/21 起 9 天未複查，本次以實際收盤重驗而非桌面沿用。維持 watching，pivot／stop 仍未建立。\n\n---\n2026-08-20 全清單重點覆核｜重新檢視既有型態、基本面與籌碼紀錄；本輪未發現足以推翻前次結論的已確認新證據，setupStatus 維持 watching、vcpScore 維持 90。未取得足以確認的新 pivot／stop，依規則不虛構價位。 本條屬桌面覆核；若原備註含財報事件鎖、資料矛盾或舊型態警示，仍列待確認，須以後續收盤量價解除。\n\n---\n2026-07-01 ChartMill 刷新：Setup 9/10 TA 8/10。板塊今日 +2.28% 強勢，NIM 擴大 +19bps，貸款 $72.3 億／存款 $77.6 億雙成長。HCB 併購擴張中西部。Tier 2。\n\n2026-07-01 深度覆核結論：買進 #5。Q1 2026 EPS $1.24（beat $1.17），淨利 $3,660 萬。淨利息收入 +11% YoY，NIM 擴大 19bps。貸款 $72.3 億 / 存款 $77.6 億雙成長。ROA 1.24% / ROE 13.43%。HCB Financial 併購案擴張中西部版圖。板塊 Financials 今日 +2.02%，受惠殖利率曲線陡峭化。機構持股 56.46%，但 106 增持 vs 130 減持（輕微淨流出）。無 IBD RS 覆蓋，自估 75。區域銀行流動性可接受（日均 18.9 萬股）。綜合評分：80.5/100。","companyName":"Stock Yards Bancorp","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1782922459543,"fundamentalScore":78,"id":"ab8b6e2cf964ceca4225a746","institutionalScore":68,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788122048062,"name":"SYBT Stock Yards Bancorp","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":12},"rsRating":75,"sector":"區域銀行","setupStatus":"watching","symbol":"SYBT","updatedAt":1788122440187,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"8a9091716f76c581ba3c1433","agentName":"市場資料搜集員","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":70,"version":12,"volumeContractionPct":55},{"analysisNotes":"2026-08-29 週末量化覆核(8/28收盤)：收28.77，距52週高-4.0%、MA50 6.8%、MA200 6.0%，RS超額25.3%(rating 84)，週線收縮5段[4.6, 4.8, 8.7, 5.4]，近3週幅度8.2%，10日均量/50日均量0.8。四維重算vcpScore 90→77.7(技術85.0)。pivot 28.99/stop 26.6，自樞紐計風險8.24%。狀態watching→nearPivot。\n\n---\n2026-08-20 全清單重點覆核｜重新檢視既有型態、基本面與籌碼紀錄；本輪未發現足以推翻前次結論的已確認新證據，setupStatus 維持 watching、vcpScore 維持 90。未取得足以確認的新 pivot／stop，依規則不虛構價位。 本條屬桌面覆核；若原備註含財報事件鎖、資料矛盾或舊型態警示，仍列待確認，須以後續收盤量價解除。\n\n---\n2026-07-07 資料搜集員新進（ChartMill 新聞警報，待篩選分析員深度覆核）。\nChartMill：Technical Rating 7 + Setup Rating 9 → 緊縮基底、突破在即。\n板塊：通訊服務（Schwab More Favored ✅）——今日資金輪動受惠板塊之一。\n型態研判：緊密整理近阻力，量縮明顯。\n待補：VCP/基本面/機構評分、entry/SL/target、收縮層數複核。","companyName":"Warner Bros. Discovery","contractionLevels":5,"createdAt":1783456794650,"id":"2225bd37a3dfa9f4c93a9d52","itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788037764867,"name":"WBD Warner Bros. Discovery","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1783456794750},"pivotPrice":28.99,"rsRating":84,"sector":"通訊服務","setupStatus":"nearPivot","stopPrice":26.6,"symbol":"WBD","updatedAt":1788038072565,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"篩選分析員","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":77.7,"version":6,"volumeContractionPct":20},{"analysisNotes":"2026-08-29 週末量化覆核(8/28收盤)：收118.31，距52週高-2.3%、MA50 17.4%、MA200 49.6%，RS超額39.6%(rating 94)，週線收縮1段[6.3]，近3週幅度13.1%，10日均量/50日均量1.05。四維重算vcpScore 81.8→77.0(技術59.0)。價位判定：型態未達標，暫不定價。\n\n---\n【2026-08-26】四維重評 81.8（技術 77／基本 88／籌碼 78／RS 86）。收 120.64，距 52 週高 -2.1%、對 50 日線 21.25%、對 200 日線 53.71%，對 SPY 加權超額 36.9%。八／四／兩週振幅 46.3%／27.4%／10.0%，五日量為 50 日均量 111%，收縮 1 層。最後一段收縮尚未定形（振幅或風險超標），依鐵律第 5 條不填價位、狀態維持觀察。\n\n---\n2026-08-20 覆核債｜Pioneer 整合基本面仍強，但原 4 層 VCP 已過時，長端殖利率衝擊資管估值，降 degraded；需重建樞紐與量縮結構。\n\n---\n2026-07-02 深度覆核｜原核心候選。","companyName":"Victory Capital Holdings","contractionLevels":1,"createdAt":1783024896348,"fundamentalScore":88,"id":"3da6055bc691cd00f976efd7","institutionalScore":78,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788037764867,"name":"VCTR Victory Capital Holdings","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":3},"rsRating":94,"sector":"資產管理","setupStatus":"watching","symbol":"VCTR","updatedAt":1788038072565,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"篩選分析員","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":77,"version":10,"volumeContractionPct":0},{"analysisNotes":"2026-08-29 週末量化覆核(8/28收盤)：收238.07，距52週高-5.6%、MA50 1.4%、MA200 13.5%，RS超額10.3%(rating 66)，週線收縮2段[11.3, 5.9]，近3週幅度7.4%，10日均量/50日均量0.73。四維重算vcpScore 81.7→79.0(技術85.0)。pivot 239.2/stop 224.97，自樞紐計風險5.95%。狀態watching→nearPivot。\n\n---\n【2026-08-26】四維重評 81.7（技術 94／基本 84／籌碼 75／RS 64）。收 241.56，距 52 週高 -5.34%、對 50 日線 3.35%、對 200 日線 15.42%，對 SPY 加權超額 10.0%。八／四／兩週振幅 13.4%／8.0%／5.1%，五日量為 50 日均量 73%，收縮 3 層。最後一段收縮尚未定形（振幅或風險超標），依鐵律第 5 條不填價位、狀態維持觀察。\n\n---\n2026-08-21 覆核｜維持 degraded、vcpScore 72。收 239.22（+0.77%），距 52 週高 255.20 為 -6.3%。醫療 REIT 基本面仍為族群最強，殖利率停止暴衝使壓力暫緩，但 30 年期仍在 5.2% 附近，估值與融資成本雙壓未解除，待殖利率明確回落並重新量縮築底再升等。\n\n---\n2026-08-20 利率覆核｜基本面仍為醫療 REIT 最強，但 10Y 4.69%／30Y 5.24% 令估值與融資成本雙壓；原型態暫降 degraded，待殖利率回落並重新量縮築底。","companyName":"Welltower","contractionLevels":2,"createdAt":1786394316150,"fundamentalScore":84,"id":"e3115571f1e09709383a4b88","institutionalScore":75,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788037764867,"name":"WELL Welltower","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1786394316750},"pivotPrice":239.2,"rsRating":66,"sector":"Real Estate/醫療 REIT","setupStatus":"nearPivot","stopPrice":224.97,"symbol":"WELL","updatedAt":1788038072565,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"篩選分析員","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":79,"version":8,"volumeContractionPct":27},{"analysisNotes":"2026-08-29 週末量化覆核(8/28收盤)：收414.69，距52週高-1.6%、MA50 7.2%、MA200 15.2%，RS超額11.5%(rating 68)，週線收縮1段[5.8]，近3週幅度7.1%，10日均量/50日均量0.84。四維重算vcpScore 83.1→76.0(技術75.0)。pivot 421.74/stop 396，自樞紐計風險6.1%。\n\n---\n【2026-08-26】四維重評 83.1（技術 95／基本 82／籌碼 78／RS 69）。收 414.17，距 52 週高 -1.79%、對 50 日線 7.7%、對 200 日線 15.17%，對 SPY 加權超額 16.2%。八／四／兩週振幅 22.2%／13.9%／6.5%，五日量為 50 日均量 83%，收縮 2 層。樞紐 421.74／停損 396.0（風險 6.5%，距樞紐 1.83%）。風險高於部門 6% 標準，僅可縮…\n\n---\n2026-08-20 全清單重點覆核｜重新檢視既有型態、基本面與籌碼紀錄；本輪未發現足以推翻前次結論的已確認新證據，setupStatus 維持 watching、vcpScore 維持 78。未取得足以確認的新 pivot／stop，依規則不虛構價位。 本條屬桌面覆核；若原備註含財報事件鎖、資料矛盾或舊型態警示，仍列待確認，須以後續收盤量價解除。\n\n---\n2026-07-07 深度覆核 — 🥉 買進（謹慎）。\n\n【VCP 品質 78】Setup 9（極佳緊縮品質），但 TA 僅 7（趨勢非強勢，需大盤配合）。收縮層數 3，量縮 40%。\n\n【基本面 82】Q1 2026 營收 $12.67 億；有機 $7.47 億（+13%）；Adj EPS $2.70（+20% YoY）；Adj OP margin 23.6%。上調 FY2026 Adj EPS $14.40-$14.60。所有部門成…","companyName":"Waters Corp","contractionLevels":1,"createdAt":1783457326259,"fundamentalScore":82,"id":"73b988b1293ecf925bec99e5","institutionalScore":78,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788037764867,"name":"WAT Waters Corp","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1783457326459},"pivotPrice":421.74,"rsRating":68,"sector":"生命科學工具","setupStatus":"nearPivot","stopPrice":396,"symbol":"WAT","updatedAt":1788038072565,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"篩選分析員","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":76,"version":10,"volumeContractionPct":16},{"analysisNotes":"2026-08-29 週末量化覆核(8/28收盤)：收370.87，距52週高-3.3%、MA50 2.9%、MA200 18.9%，RS超額18.4%(rating 77)，週線收縮2段[8.8, 6.7]，近3週幅度6.9%，10日均量/50日均量0.93。四維重算vcpScore 68→76.0(技術79.0)。pivot 375.99/stop 350.76，自樞紐計風險6.71%。狀態degraded→nearPivot。\n\n---\n2026-08-21 覆核｜維持 degraded、vcpScore 68。收 356.21（+1.02%），距 52 週高 392.92 為 -9.3%。長端殖利率壓抑資產管理估值的主軸未變，原突破後已延伸、仍缺新 VCP 基底。等回測支撐並量縮築底後重評。\n\n---\n2026-08-20 覆核債｜長端殖利率飆升使資產管理估值受壓，原突破後已延伸、缺乏新 VCP 基底，降 degraded；等回測支撐後重評。\n\n---\n2026-07-10 新增｜基本面佳、原等待回測。","companyName":"Affiliated Managers Group","contractionLevels":2,"createdAt":1783710837717,"fundamentalScore":80,"id":"d7286a8d66c99becdfa7224d","institutionalScore":65,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788037764867,"name":"AMG Affiliated Managers Group","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1783710837817},"pivotPrice":375.99,"rsRating":77,"sector":"資產管理","setupStatus":"nearPivot","stopPrice":350.76,"symbol":"AMG","updatedAt":1788038072565,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"篩選分析員","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":76,"version":8,"volumeContractionPct":7},{"analysisNotes":"2026-08-29 週末量化覆核(8/28收盤)：收134.16，距52週高-0.9%、MA50 10.1%、MA200 20.3%，RS超額18.3%(rating 77)，週線收縮2段[11.2, 5.9]，近3週幅度5.9%，10日均量/50日均量0.82。四維重算vcpScore 79.8→80.3(技術92.0)。pivot 137.99/stop 128.97，自樞紐計風險6.54%。狀態watching→nearPivot。\n\n---\n【2026-08-26】四維重評 79.8（技術 95／基本 75／籌碼 70／RS 69）。收 133.6，距 52 週高 -3.18%、對 50 日線 10.56%、對 200 日線 20.27%，對 SPY 加權超額 16.7%。八／四／兩週振幅 34.7%／15.0%／6.3%，五日量為 50 日均量 81%，收縮 2 層。樞紐 137.99／停損 128.97（風險 7.0%，距樞紐 3.29%）。風險高於部門 6% 標準，僅…\n\n---\n2026-08-21 覆核｜維持 degraded、vcpScore 66。收 129.88（+0.57%），距 52 週高 137.99 為 -5.9%，結構未破壞。年金保險受惠殖利率高檔的邏輯仍在，但原「乖離過大、延伸」問題只是被時間消化，尚未形成新的量縮收斂，維持降級觀察。\n\n---\n2026-08-20 全清單重點覆核｜重新檢視既有型態、基本面與籌碼紀錄；本輪未發現足以推翻前次結論的已確認新證據，setupStatus 維持 degraded、vcpScore 維持 66。未取得足以確認的新 pivot／stop，依規則不虛構價位。","companyName":"Jackson Financial","contractionLevels":2,"createdAt":1784212661140,"fundamentalScore":75,"id":"9493717c334c03ea09448e02","institutionalScore":70,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788037764867,"name":"JXN Jackson Financial","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1784212661440},"pivotPrice":137.99,"rsRating":77,"sector":"保險","setupStatus":"nearPivot","stopPrice":128.97,"symbol":"JXN","updatedAt":1788038072565,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"篩選分析員","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":80.3,"version":8,"volumeContractionPct":18},{"analysisNotes":"2026-08-29 週末量化覆核(8/28收盤)：收193.33，距52週高-0.1%、MA50 6.0%、MA200 31.4%，RS超額26.9%(rating 86)，週線收縮3段[8.0, 6.1, 4.7]，近3週幅度6.6%，10日均量/50日均量0.6。四維重算vcpScore 86→85.7(技術94.0)。pivot 195.18/stop 182.96，自樞紐計風險6.26%。\n\n---\n【2026-08-26】四維重評 86.0（技術 100／基本 80／籌碼 78／RS 77）。收 193.62，距 52 週高 -0.8%、對 50 日線 6.67%、對 200 日線 32.26%，對 SPY 加權超額 25.9%。八／四／兩週振幅 16.2%／10.1%／6.7%，五日量為 50 日均量 63%，收縮 2 層。樞紐 195.18／停損 182.96（風險 6.7%，距樞紐 0.81%）。風險高於部門 6% 標準，僅…\n\n---\n2026-08-25 覆核（時間戳校正）：vcpScore 88→82，維持 nearPivot 且仍為全清單前段班。RS 99（對 SPY 超額 +26.7%，12 個月 +71.4%）、距 52 週高僅 -1.14%、近 5 日均量／50 日均量 0.67 量能乾涸、近 20 週 15 紅 5 黑。小幅下修的唯一原因是收縮僅偵測到 1 段（8.8%），基底層次不足，缺乏多重收縮的確認；U/D 量比 0.82 亦略偏弱。停損 182.…\n\n---\n2026-08-24｜**watching → nearPivot，四維綜合本次第一名**。RS 超額 +27.7（rating 94，清單前 5%），距 52 週高 -2.2%，50 日線 +5.9%、200 日線 +32.1%。4 週振幅 7.9%，量能 5 日均 62%。樞紐 195.18（8/17 高點）、停損 182.96（8/20 收縮低點），風險 6.3%，現價距樞紐 +2.2%。風險略寬（\u003e6%），**部位建議縮至標準的…","companyName":"State Street","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1786653457397,"fundamentalScore":80,"id":"71a8c615ba708c4290fb8470","institutionalScore":78,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788037764867,"name":"STT State Street","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1786653457697},"pivotPrice":195.18,"rsRating":86,"sector":"金融服務","setupStatus":"nearPivot","stopPrice":182.96,"symbol":"STT","updatedAt":1788038072565,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"篩選分析員","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":85.7,"version":9,"volumeContractionPct":40},{"analysisNotes":"2026-08-29 週末量化覆核(8/28收盤)：收124.37，距52週高-4.3%、MA50 4.9%、MA200 19.3%，RS超額17.9%(rating 76)，週線收縮2段[12.7, 5.6]，近3週幅度10.1%，10日均量/50日均量0.69。四維重算vcpScore 79.3→77.2(技術82.0)。價位判定：型態未達標，暫不定價。\n\n---\n【2026-08-26】四維重評 79.3（技術 90／基本 85／籌碼 60／RS 73）。收 128.12，距 52 週高 -3.38%、對 50 日線 8.99%、對 200 日線 23.18%，對 SPY 加權超額 20.8%。八／四／兩週振幅 19.9%／13.0%／11.3%，五日量為 50 日均量 60%，收縮 2 層。最後一段收縮尚未定形（振幅或風險超標），依鐵律第 5 條不填價位、狀態維持觀察。\n\n---\n2026-08-20 全清單重點覆核｜重新檢視既有型態、基本面與籌碼紀錄；本輪未發現足以推翻前次結論的已確認新證據，setupStatus 維持 watching、vcpScore 維持 80。未取得足以確認的新 pivot／stop，依規則不虛構價位。 本條屬桌面覆核；若原備註含財報事件鎖、資料矛盾或舊型態警示，仍列待確認，須以後續收盤量價解除。\n\n---\n今日候選。基本面強：Q2總營收$1.67B(+38% YoY，net sales +40%)、Adjusted EPS $3.09大beat、上調全年net sales展望$5.13-5.26B。⚠️Opzelura含$246M一次性CMS和解收益墊高，需標註。籌碼軟肋：機構96.97%但內部人近3月賣$15.9M(R\u0026D總裁8/12賣$1.3M)，無內部人買。牛旗縮量。列觀察，待內部人拋壓緩解。","companyName":"Incyte","contractionLevels":2,"createdAt":1787085397263,"fundamentalScore":85,"id":"3abbcbc27ad7187dc6487665","institutionalScore":60,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788037764867,"name":"INCY Incyte","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1787085397463},"rsRating":76,"sector":"生物科技","setupStatus":"watching","symbol":"INCY","updatedAt":1788038072565,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"篩選分析員","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":77.2,"version":6,"volumeContractionPct":31},{"analysisNotes":"2026-08-29 週末量化覆核(8/28收盤)：收90.82，距52週高-1.6%、MA50 14.6%、MA200 29.5%，RS超額14.5%(rating 72)，週線收縮1段[5.5]，近3週幅度8.7%，10日均量/50日均量0.86。四維重算vcpScore 83.8→77.5(技術69.0)。pivot 91.96/stop 87.8，自樞紐計風險4.52%。狀態watching→nearPivot。\n\n---\n【2026-08-26】四維重評 83.8（技術 90／基本 90／籌碼 82／RS 67）。收 88.96，距 52 週高 -3.92%、對 50 日線 13.3%、對 200 日線 27.5%，對 SPY 加權超額 14.7%。八／四／兩週振幅 36.4%／26.4%／5.8%，五日量為 50 日均量 84%，收縮 1 層。樞紐 91.96／停損 87.8（風險 4.7%，距樞紐 3.37%）。\n\n---\n2026-08-25 覆核（時間戳校正）：由 nearPivot 降回 watching——現價 89.16 距樞紐 91.96 為 -3.04%，剛好超出 3% 門檻，依規則嚴格執行不四捨五入。vcpScore 80→79 基本持平。基本面 90／籌碼 82 俱佳，RS 73，停損 87.80 風險 4.5% 結構乾淨。今日 -2.09%、量 0.72x 為縮量回檔，型態未受損，只要重回 89.20 以上即可回升 nearPivot。\n\n---\n2026-08-24｜**連兩日盤中觸及樞紐、連兩日收在下方**。8/21 高 92.56、今日高 92.59，皆越過樞紐 91.96，但收盤分別 92.34（量 69%）與 91.06（量 77%），量能都不足，維持 nearPivot（與 8/22 判定一致，當時量僅 38%）。8/19 曾出現 172% 巨量但收黑，屬出貨徵兆。4 週振幅 12.8%、8 週 32.8%，量能 5 日均 97% 未萎縮，volumeContract…","companyName":"DexCom, Inc.","contractionLevels":1,"createdAt":1787258240769,"fundamentalScore":90,"id":"6fdb4d5002165d7818de806d","institutionalScore":82,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788037764867,"name":"DXCM DexCom","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1787258240969},"pivotPrice":91.96,"rsRating":72,"sector":"Medical Devices","setupStatus":"nearPivot","stopPrice":87.8,"symbol":"DXCM","updatedAt":1788038072565,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"篩選分析員","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":77.5,"version":9,"volumeContractionPct":14},{"analysisNotes":"2026-08-29 週末量化覆核(8/28收盤)：收26.55，距52週高-0.4%、MA50 10.9%、MA200 44.6%，RS超額28.7%(rating 87)，週線收縮2段[16.2, 8.9]，近3週幅度15.2%，10日均量/50日均量0.92。四維重算vcpScore 81.1→82.2(技術75.0)。pivot 26.82/stop 25.4，自樞紐計風險5.29%。狀態watching→nearPivot。\n\n---\n【2026-08-26】重新定價：原 26.20/22.80 風險 13.0%、遠超部門 6% 標準，22.80 是 8/10 整座基底低不是最後一段收縮低。實測週收縮 18.8%→17.5%→9.7%→5.1%，最後一段收縮 H26.82/L25.53。改樞紐 26.82、停損 25.40（風險 5.6%）。現價 25.75 距樞紐 +4.15% 故退回 watching；ChartMill 的 25.29 過於貼近今日低點 25.5…\n\n---\n2026-08-26 日常追蹤｜**由 watching 升 nearPivot**（現價距本部樞紐 26.20 為 -1.72%，已進入 3% 門檻），vcpScore 86 維持。收 25.75（-1.79%），量 3,159,471 股。52 週區間 12.08–27.15，距 52 週高 -5.16%。ChartMill 今日以「High Growth Momentum With a Breakout Setup」再度納入，揭露…\n\n---\n2026-08-21 覆核｜綜合 86.0，第一梯隊。維持 watching：樞紐 26.20／stop 22.80 不變。IWM +0.77% 收復 3,000 點，中小型股風險偏好較前一日改善，但本週仍是 6/5 以來最差週，尚不足以改變前次「風險偏好轉弱」的結論。一次性稅務利益扣分維持。","companyName":"Remitly Global, Inc.","contractionLevels":2,"createdAt":1787258240769,"fundamentalScore":92,"id":"db5435672d254f6343bad5e4","institutionalScore":78,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788037764867,"name":"RELY Remitly Global","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1787258241269},"pivotPrice":26.82,"rsRating":87,"sector":"Software - Infrastructure","setupStatus":"nearPivot","stopPrice":25.4,"symbol":"RELY","updatedAt":1788038072565,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"篩選分析員","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":82.2,"version":7,"volumeContractionPct":8},{"analysisNotes":"2026-08-29 週末量化覆核(8/28收盤)：收370.69，距52週高-5.7%、MA50 11.3%、MA200 11.9%，RS超額13.3%(rating 70)，週線收縮14段[15.5, 7.3, 4.3, 7.1]，近3週幅度9.1%，10日均量/50日均量0.61。四維重算vcpScore 75→82.8(技術82.0)。pivot 379/stop 352.05，自樞紐計風險7.11%。狀態watching→nearPivot。\n\n---\n2026-08-25 覆核（時間戳校正）：vcpScore 80→75，維持 watching。基本面 90／籌碼 88 為全清單頂級，但技術面僅給 62：收縮 23.5%→15.5% 幅度過寬、距 52 週高 -9.57%、距樞紐 -4.52%，且停損 352.05 風險 7.1% 偏寬。正面訊號為今日量僅 0.50x、近 5 日均量／50 日均量 0.56，量能極度乾涸，若能在 379 之下再收一段更緊的收縮，本檔品質可望明顯提升。\n\n---\n2026-08-24｜**degraded → watching，並更正樞紐**。原記錄樞紐 366／停損 339 對不上任何實際擺盪點，重設為 **樞紐 379.00（8/13 高點）、停損 352.05（8/20 低點）**，風險 7.1%。現價 364.18 距樞紐 +4.1% → watching。收縮 23.5%→15.5%→(-5.3%)→7.1% 末段大幅收斂，4 週振幅 7.7%，量能 5 日均 56%、今日 47%，量…\n\n---\n2026-08-21 覆核｜degraded、vcpScore 68。pivot 366／stop 339。","companyName":"LPL Financial Holdings Inc.","contractionLevels":14,"createdAt":1787258240769,"fundamentalScore":90,"id":"5c1715d9bf9f7be109bd75f3","institutionalScore":88,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788037764867,"name":"LPLA LPL Financial Holdings","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1787258241369},"pivotPrice":379,"rsRating":70,"sector":"Capital Markets","setupStatus":"nearPivot","stopPrice":352.05,"symbol":"LPLA","updatedAt":1788038072565,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"篩選分析員","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":82.8,"version":5,"volumeContractionPct":39},{"analysisNotes":"2026-08-29 週末量化覆核(8/28收盤)：收32.28，距52週高-1.5%、MA50 5.3%、MA200 52.6%，RS超額44.3%(rating 96)，週線收縮1段[8.6]，近3週幅度9.5%，10日均量/50日均量1.09。四維重算vcpScore 82.2→76.8(技術63.0)。pivot 32.92/stop 30.08，自樞紐計風險8.63%。\n\n---\n【2026-08-26】四維重評 82.2（技術 79／基本 78／籌碼 80／RS 95）。收 32.77，距 52 週高 -1.15%、對 50 日線 7.38%、對 200 日線 56.17%，對 SPY 加權超額 47.4%。八／四／兩週振幅 16.4%／14.7%／10.5%，五日量為 50 日均量 117%，收縮 2 層。樞紐 32.92／停損 30.08（風險 9.4%，距樞紐 0.46%）。風險高於部門 6% 標準，僅可…\n\n---\n2026-08-22 深度覆核（篩選分析員）｜裁決：watching → nearPivot，vcpScore 88 → 82，補上 pivot／stop。\n【型態】三個月箱型 28.49–32.92（帶寬約 15%），週幅 4.6% → 11.1% → 8.7% → 9.4% 並未收斂，屬箱型突破而非典型 VCP 收縮，因此技術分自 88 下修至 82。\n【量價】與 MGA 相反，GEO 是量能擴張型：8/19 量 167%、8/20…\n\n---\n【8/13 覆核】84 買進觀察：Q2 rev $732.1M(+15.1%)/Non-GAAP EPS $0.37(beat $0.08)、FY26 指引上調全數高於共識。TA10/Setup9 完美突破、財報日+4.8%。Pentwater 維權進駐。⚠️8/13 提交 Form 144 內部人賣股訊號、需留意短線拋壓；財報後跳空需量縮回測站穩。工業 More Favored。","companyName":"GEO Group","contractionLevels":1,"createdAt":1786074199170,"fundamentalScore":78,"id":"1f4304a0844b906806822da3","institutionalScore":80,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788037764867,"name":"GEO GEO Group","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1786074199470},"pivotPrice":32.92,"rsRating":96,"sector":"Industrials/商務服務","setupStatus":"nearPivot","stopPrice":30.08,"symbol":"GEO","updatedAt":1788038072565,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"篩選分析員","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":76.8,"version":11,"volumeContractionPct":0},{"analysisNotes":"2026-08-29 週末量化覆核(8/28收盤)：收49.79，距52週高-4.9%、MA50 29.8%、MA200 105.6%，RS超額133.8%(rating 99)，週線收縮2段[10.5, 8.0]，近3週幅度16.5%，10日均量/50日均量1.01。四維重算vcpScore 80.8→80.8(技術69.0)。pivot 49.76/stop 46.92，自樞紐計風險5.71%。狀態watching→nearPivot。\n\n---\n【2026-08-26】收 50.96 已在舊樞紐 49.76 之上，但今日量僅 50 日均量的 102%，不足以認定帶量突破；更關鍵的是股價高於 50 日線 36.8%、高於 200 日線 113.5%，12 個月 +299.7%，屬明顯延伸段而非可買點，兩週振幅仍有 14.1%。依部門規則不追延伸，狀態改 watching，須等重新築出新基底再定價，舊樞紐／停損 49.76／46.92 僅留作參考。\n\n---\n2026-08-25 深度覆核：不採納搜集員的汰除建議，改列 nearPivot（非 triggered），vcpScore 由 72 上修至 78。三點裁決依據——(1) 突破未確認：今日雖 +6.95% 收 50.80、越過基底頂 49.76，但量 178 萬股僅為 20 日均量的 1.42x，未達本部門 1.5x 的突破確認門檻，依既有慣例（DXCM 38%、MGA 81% 前例）只能維持 nearPivot；且今日高點 51.1…\n\n---\n2026-08-25 初篩｜ChartMill Setup 7/10，稱其「形成建設性的盤整」。今日盤中以 +6.95% 收 50.80、量 1,781,287 股帶量上攻，52 週高 51.13。扣分：單日 +6.95% 屬波動擴張而非收縮，入場點已相對延伸。財報 7/30 已過。","companyName":"CareDx, Inc.","contractionLevels":2,"createdAt":1787690348047,"fundamentalScore":85,"id":"a382374c869a65fd96f16081","institutionalScore":78,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788037764867,"name":"CDNA CareDx","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1787690348347},"pivotPrice":49.76,"rsRating":99,"sector":"Healthcare / Diagnostics \u0026 Research","setupStatus":"nearPivot","stopPrice":46.92,"symbol":"CDNA","updatedAt":1788038072565,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"篩選分析員","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":80.8,"version":4,"volumeContractionPct":0},{"analysisNotes":"2026-08-29 週末量化覆核(8/28收盤)：收84.91，距52週高-5.2%、MA50 1.6%、MA200 21.2%，RS超額60.2%(rating 99)，週線收縮3段[25.6, 10.1, 7.4]，近3週幅度7.9%，10日均量/50日均量0.48。四維重算vcpScore 72→81.0(技術86.0)。pivot 90.97/stop 83.78，自樞紐計風險7.9%。\n\n---\n2026-08-26 初篩｜ChartMill 標題為 Bull Flag Breakout Setup with **Top-Tier Technical Strength**（該站演算法輸出、非本員定價）。收 89.12（+0.27%），量 859,356 股。52 週區間 20.59–95.49，距 52 週高 **-6.67%**，在濾網內。過去一年自 20.59 漲至 95.49（逾 4 倍），RS 極強故 rsRating …","companyName":"Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc.","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1787776692958,"id":"e92ef1af76653482758c418c","itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788037764867,"name":"ARWR Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals, Inc.","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1787776693158},"pivotPrice":90.97,"rsRating":99,"sector":"Healthcare / Biotechnology","setupStatus":"watching","stopPrice":83.78,"symbol":"ARWR","updatedAt":1788038072565,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"篩選分析員","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":81,"version":2,"volumeContractionPct":52},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-08-29 週末審視｜資料基準 2026-08-28 收盤（本週最後交易日），週六休市無新價格】\n\n**位置更新**：收 50.54（+0.06，+0.12%），量 2,075,066 股。距樞紐 52.04 為 **-2.88%**（仍在 3% 內，**維持 nearPivot**）；距停損 49.17 僅 **+2.79%**——緩衝自 8/26 的 +3.3% 再縮，**容錯已進入最後一段**。距 52 週高 52.05 為 -2.90%。\n\n**當日相對強弱（量化）**：SPY -0.23%、QQQ -0.65%，CART +0.12%，**逆勢優於大盤 0.35pp、優於那斯達克 0.77pp**。在週五賣壓日守住紅盤，是型態未破壞的正面證據；但量 208 萬股仍低於剔除財報日後之 20 日均量約 390 萬（量比 0.53x），屬無量守穩，非承接。\n\n**外部訊號**：ChartMill 於 8/29 凌晨再度將 CART 列為高成長＋突破型態（Setup ≥7，文中強調「要求突破前的型態、而非追已延伸的走勢」）。此為第三度收錄，可視為型態仍受演算法認定為緊縮；屬外部輸出，非本員判斷。\n\n**籌碼面（須註記，非方向性訊號）**：8/28 揭露執行長 Chris Rogers 賣出 7,606 股，另有董事之 Rule 144 申報。此類申報**預設為 10b5-1 預定計畫，不構成方向性看空訊號**，但在容錯僅剩 2.79% 的位置上，屬於不加分的背景資訊。\n\n**本員立場（維持不變）**：前次走勢推演員覆核指出「樞紐 52.04 → 第一目標 53.4–53.6 僅 +2.4%，對停損 -5.8%，風報約 0.4:1 不足」，本週價格未離開該區間，**該結論完全成立且更不利**（現價距停損只剩 2.79%，若在此追突破，風報比更糟）。正確動作仍是**等，不是追**。\n\n**下週預訂規則（9/1 起適用）**：① 日收 ≥52.20 且量 ≥5.9M 且隨後 1–3 日不收破 51.80 → 才可上調 triggered；② 收盤跌破 49.17 → 直接 invalidated 並移出清單；③ 若在 49.20–52.05 續盤且 MA50 上移至 49.9 附近與停損區合流，容錯改善後可重新評估。\n\n---\n【2026-08-27 走勢推演員獨立覆核｜資料截至 8/26 收 50.77】\n\n**兩點必須補進判斷：**\n\n1. **上方 2.8% 就是歷史雙頂天花板**——52.05 只是 52 週高，不是歷史高。真正的天花板是 52.90–53.60（2025-02-19/20/21 的 53.44/53.41/53.19 三連日高，加 2025-08-08 歷史最高 53.50，量 13.09M）。以樞紐 52.04 追突破，到第一目標 53.4–53.6 僅 +2.4%，到停損 49.17 為 -5.8%，**風報約 0.4:1，不足**。真正打開空間的位置是帶量日收 ≥53.60，屆時目標 54.76（1.272 延伸）/58.20（1.618 延伸）才有足夠報酬。原記錄未提及此天花板，屬需補上的缺口。\n\n2. **基底級別其實比記錄的高**——單看 8/7 起的 14 個交易日確實太短，但拉到 12.5 個月看，2025-08-08 高 53.50 → 2026-02 低 32.73（-38.8%）→ 現在 50.77，是一個完整杯型基底，這 3 週是杯口的把手。型態級別高於「3 週高位緊縮旗形」，可信度可上調。\n\n**收縮序列覆核（與記錄的 6.8→4.2→1.6 不同）**：以盤中高低算為 C1 -6.95%（8/7 H51.06→8/11 L47.51）、C2 -4.95%（8/13 H50.12→8/17 L47.64）、C3 -5.10%（8/20 H51.81→8/24 L49.17）、C4 -2.54%（進行中），**並非單調收斂**；只有改用收盤價才呈現 3.43→2.44→2.43→1.95 的平順收斂。兩者都對，但代表日內波動仍偏大（ATR14 = 2.17，佔股價 4.28%），型態的「安靜程度」不如記錄理想。低點 47.51→47.64→49.17→50.73 逐步抬高，這點確實成立。\n\n**量能基準修正**：50 日均量 4.32M 與 20 日均量 4.42M 都被 8/7 財報日的 14.31M 灌高。**剔除事件日後 20 日均量約 3.90M**，突破 1.5x 門檻應為 **≥5.9M**（非以 4.32M 換算的 6.5M）。近五日量比（對 3.90M）：1.16→0.80→0.99→0.69→0.58，乾涸成立。\n\n**均線**：MA9 50.26 / MA20 48.59 / MA50 47.04 / MA150 41.73 / MA200 41.94，完全多頭排列，MA150、MA200 已由下彎轉走揚。價格距 MA50 +7.9%，MA50 目前是乖離量尺而非支持；若橫在 50–51 再走 4 週，MA50 升抵約 48.7，6 週約 49.9，屆時與停損區 49.17 合流，容錯將大幅改善。\n\n**四次撞頂未過**：8/20 高 51.81、8/24 高 51.91、8/25 高 52.05、8/26 高 52.02，無一日收在 52 上方。ABC 備選浪數的 C=0.618×A 目標為 52.28，正好與樞紐重疊，可解釋 52 一線的黏著。\n\n**大盤**：SPY 在 MA50 上 +1.7%、MA200 之上（可接受）；QQQ 貼 MA50 -0.1%、近 3 月 -2.5%（科技族群偏弱）。CART 近 3 月 +25.5%，RS 明確優於大盤。\n\n**覆核結論**：型態維持有效，nearPivot 判斷合理，**但不列為高質素機會**——現階段最合理是中性劇本（在 49.20–52.05 高位緊縮、等 MA50 追上），正確動作是等不是追。若要動作，門檻應由「帶量站上 52.04」上修為「日收 ≥52.20 且量 ≥5.9M，且 1–3 日不收破 51.80」，並認知第一段空間只有 2.4%。完整三劇本推演見筆記「CART Maplebear：12 個月杯型右緣，卡在 52 元樞紐第四次」。status 與 pivot/stop 欄位未改動，留給篩選分析員決定。\n\n---\n【2026-08-26】容錯續縮但型態未破：收 50.77 距停損 49.17 僅 +3.3%、距樞紐 52.04 -2.5%。本週三日量僅 13 週均量的 44%，屬無量回檔。基底僅 3 週且建於財報跳空之上為主要弱點。跌破 49.17 即 invalidated 並移出。\n\n---\n2026-08-26 日常追蹤｜維持 nearPivot，vcpScore 80 不變。收 50.77（-1.44%），量 1,872,960 股（昨日 267 萬，續縮約 30%）。距樞紐 52.04 為 **-2.44%**（昨日 -1.02%，回檔拉開但仍在 3% 門檻內），距停損 49.17 為 **+3.3%**——**緩衝已明顯收窄，須注意**。距 52 週高 52.05 為 -2.46%。\n\n**評語**：今日下跌 1.44% 而量能同步萎縮，屬「無量回檔」，就 VCP 而言不算破壞，反而可視為突破前的最後一段收縮；但本檔基底僅 3 週且建於 8/7 財報跳空之上（前次覆核已列保留意見），容錯本就有限，**再跌 3.3% 即觸及停損 49.17，屆時應直接 invalidated 並移出清單**。消息面偏多但均屬營運新聞、非動能催化：Costco 客製蛋糕/拼盤全國配送首度上線、Petsense 寵物用品 1 小時到貨、Kroger 雜貨—藥局整合配送（昨日曾推升 6%）；另 Instacart 執行長將出席高盛爐邊談話。維持「須帶量 ≥1.5x 站上 52.04 才可動作」的條件。","companyName":"Maplebear Inc. (Instacart)","contractionLevels":2,"createdAt":1787690348047,"fundamentalScore":80,"id":"bdb4549f00b6268d3a936c2d","institutionalScore":70,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788035645867,"name":"CART Maplebear","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1787690348047},"pivotPrice":52.04,"rsRating":69,"sector":"Consumer Discretionary / Internet Retail","setupStatus":"nearPivot","stopPrice":49.17,"symbol":"CART","updatedAt":1788036025819,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"8a9091716f76c581ba3c1433","agentName":"市場資料搜集員","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":78.5,"version":6,"volumeContractionPct":19},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-08-29 週末初篩｜資料基準 2026-08-28 收盤，當日為本週最後交易日】\n\n**來源定位**：ChartMill 於 8/29 凌晨（12 小時前）發布之高成長＋突破型態文章，Setup Rating 8/10，敘述為「consolidation pattern that could provide a reasonable entry point，圖上方存在明確 resistance zone」。以下數據為本員自 stockanalysis.com 取得之硬資料，判斷與評分為本員意見，非 ChartMill 輸出。\n\n**價格與位置**：收 78.08 美元（-1.72，-2.16%）。52 週區間 33.25–82.94，**距 52 週高 -5.86%**，通過「距前高 15% 以內」濾網。52 週漲幅 +131.69%，屬明確領漲股，故 rsRating 初估 88（估計值，非 IBD 官方 RS）。盤後 79.63（+1.99%），賣壓當日未延續。\n\n**量能**：當日 427,247 股，20 日均量 449,006 股，量比 0.95x——**只算持平、談不上乾涸**，是本檔最主要的型態瑕疵，volumeContractionPct 僅記 5%（初篩估計）。成交金額約 3,334 萬美元，流動性可接受但偏薄，部位規模須自我設限。\n\n**均線結構**：MA50 69.70、MA200 51.92，多頭排列成立。惟**價格距 MA50 高達 +12.0%**，乖離偏大，屬「型態已延伸」的一端——這是評分自 Setup 8 對應的 80 分往下修的主因。\n\n**相對強弱（量化）**：8/28 SPY -0.23%，KNSA -2.16%，**當日弱於大盤 1.93 個百分點**。單日弱勢不足以否定型態，但與「量未真正萎縮＋乖離 12%」合看，代表這不是安靜收縮，須列為觀察而非可動作。\n\n**事件面**：財報 2026-07-28 已公布，下次約 10 月底，**未來 3 個交易日無財報干擾**，通過事件濾網。Goldman Sachs 於 7/30 維持評級並將目標價自 75 上調至 90（屬分析師觀點、非事實）。Beta（5年）0.09，低敏感度個股，在升息押注升溫的環境下屬相對防禦特性。\n\n**本員結論**：收進清單但 **vcpScore 僅 74、setupStatus = watching**。型態方向正確（高位盤整、距高 5.9%、RS 強、無事件干擾），但「量能未收乾＋距 MA50 +12%」兩點使其尚未構成低風險進場結構。pivotPrice／stopPrice 依分工留給篩選分析員在深度覆核時定價；本員建議定價時把 82.94（52 週高）視為主要參考天花板，並確認 ChartMill 所稱 resistance zone 的實際區間。\n\n**收縮層數 2 為初篩估計值**，未經逐日高低點驗證。","companyName":"Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals International, plc","contractionLevels":2,"createdAt":1788035971245,"fundamentalScore":75,"id":"fb6ff07ce293b7fd780b29f0","institutionalScore":65,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1788035645867,"name":"KNSA Kiniksa Pharmaceuticals","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1788035971245},"rsRating":88,"sector":"Healthcare / Drug Manufacturers - Specialty \u0026 Generic","setupStatus":"watching","symbol":"KNSA","updatedAt":1788035971245,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"8a9091716f76c581ba3c1433","agentName":"市場資料搜集員","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":74,"version":1,"volumeContractionPct":5},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-08-28 全清單體檢｜invalidated，vcpScore 79.8 → 71.6】收 58.18，**低於停損 58.89**，依鐵律轉 invalidated。實測週振幅八／四／兩週為 12.0%／11.9%／7.2%——前段（八週→四週）**完全沒有收縮**，僅最後兩週轉緊，收縮結構不完整，先前的評分高估了型態品質。RS 77（對 SPY 加權超額約 +13%）仍佳，故總分 71.6 高於門檻予以保留觀察，但須重新築底、右側基底成形後才具意義。樞紐 62.65／停損 58.89 維持不變；逾 30 日未收復 58.89 即汰除。","companyName":"Aramark","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1782435393982,"fundamentalScore":80,"id":"bfabd18f4c7cf34b8bd6b268","institutionalScore":70,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1787950686946,"name":"ARMK Aramark","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":10},"pivotPrice":62.65,"rsRating":77,"sector":"餐飲服務","setupStatus":"invalidated","stopPrice":58.89,"symbol":"ARMK","updatedAt":1787951345789,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"篩選分析員","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":71.6,"version":11,"volumeContractionPct":26},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-08-26】退回 watching：收 47.81 距樞紐 50.17 已達 -4.94%，跌出 3% 門檻。8/11 二比一分割後僅滿兩週，依部門規則量能不可比，volumeContractionPct 歸 0 直到分割後滿四週（約 9/08）。樞紐／停損維持 50.17／47.22。\n\n---\n2026-08-25 覆核（含分割校正）：8/11 執行 2:1 分割，Yahoo 的 close 與 adjclose 皆未完整還原，未校正前會誤算為高於 50 日線 -39%；經以分割因子還原後實測為高於 50 日線 +7.8%、高於 200 日線 +19.7%、12 個月 +51.4%、RS 71（對 SPY 超額 +11.0%）。價格已於 8/24 越過舊樞紐 48.12，但當日量僅 0.95x、今日 0.56x，量能未確認，依規則不升 triggered。樞紐上移至 50.17（52 週高），停損取 47.22（8/21 低），風險 5.9%，現價 48.73 距樞紐 -2.87%，維持 nearPivot。volumeContractionPct 續歸 0——分割後未滿 4 週，量能基期不可比。\n\n---\n2026-08-24｜**站上樞紐但量能不足，維持 nearPivot**。收 48.92（+2.4%），越過樞紐 48.12 約 1.7%，成交量 1,134 萬股 vs 分割後均量約 1,030 萬股 ≒ 110%——高於均量但遠低於有效突破所需的 140–150%，依本部門「量能是突破必要條件」鐵律不升 triggered。資料品質警示：Yahoo 對 MNST 的日線在 7/20–8/11 間分割前後價格交錯且 adjclose 未還原，本次改用 market_data 即時報價與 8/11 後的乾淨區間計算；分割距今僅兩週，量能基準四週內都不可靠，volumeContractionPct 續掛 0。\n\n---\n2026-08-22 深度覆核｜watching → nearPivot，vcpScore 76。pivot 48.12／stop 45.32。註：2026-08-11 二比一分割，分割後量能不可比。","companyName":"Monster Beverage","contractionLevels":1,"createdAt":1786739901810,"fundamentalScore":82,"id":"4c1b2687bee58d372ec4bc7f","institutionalScore":83,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1787950686946,"name":"MNST Monster Beverage","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1786739902010},"pivotPrice":50.17,"rsRating":62,"sector":"飲料／必需消費","setupStatus":"invalidated","stopPrice":47.22,"symbol":"MNST","updatedAt":1787950997982,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"篩選分析員","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":69.5,"version":10,"volumeContractionPct":0},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-08-28 深度覆核｜degraded → nearPivot，vcpScore 74 → 68.1，並重新定價】\n\n**一、突破失敗的定性：屬「回落至樞紐下緣」，非型態破壞。**實測收 83.57，較樞紐 83.95 僅 **-0.45%**；仍站在 50 日線（79.57）之上 **+5.03%**、200 日線（68.31）之上 +22.34%，距 52 週高 86.92 僅 **-3.85%**。量 345 萬股為 50 日均量（510 萬股）的 0.68 倍——**縮量回檔而非放量出貨**，與搜集員判讀一致。依部門定義「現價距樞紐 3% 內」即 nearPivot，故由 degraded 回歸 nearPivot，但附帶下述更嚴格的進場條件。\n\n**二、重新定價（本次重點）**：\n- **樞紐維持 83.95。**8/27 盤中衝高 86.92 後收 84.85，屬單日插針，不構成收縮上緣，不宜當樞紐。\n- **停損由 79.05 上移至 81.00。**依鐵律「停損取最後一段收縮的低點」：8/24–8/28 五個交易日的實測低點為 **81.00**（8/24、8/25 兩度測試），今日低點 82.99 仍守在其上。79.05 是更早、更寬那一段收縮的低點，已非現行結構的下緣。\n- **風險由 6.2% 收斂至 3.5%**（83.95→81.00），**首次落入部門 6% 標準之內**：同樣的部位規模，風險減少四成。\n\n**三、四維重評 68.1（技術 61.1／基本 80／籌碼 76／RS 58）。**下修主因是 RS：對 SPY 加權超額僅 **+4.0%**，在清單 97 檔中屬後段，**領導性不足**是本檔的真正弱點，而非今日的回落。U/D 量比實測 0.98，中性。週振幅 14.0%／11.1%／9.1%，收縮偏淺（2 週仍有 9.1%），技術分因此受限。\n\n**四、本員的預訂規則**：(1) 帶量（≥1.5x，約 765 萬股以上）收上 83.95 → 升 triggered；(2) **收破 81.00 即轉 invalidated**（不再用 79.05，停損已上移）；(3) RS 若無法在兩週內改善至超額 +8% 以上，即使突破亦只給半個部位。\n\n**五、認可搜集員的判斷**：昨日「可進但降部位」的三項保留（收盤離高、RS 偏低、風險逾 6%）今日全數兌現，該建議正確。\n\n---\n【2026-08-28 突破失敗｜triggered → degraded，vcpScore 83.2 → 74】收 83.57（-1.51%），量 3,450,647 股。收盤已低於樞紐 83.95，昨日成立的突破次日即失守。量能較昨日萎縮 40%，屬「突破後無承接」而非「放量出貨」。消息面無利空（Bernstein 重申 Buy、目標價 95）。\n\n---\n【2026-08-27 突破確認｜nearPivot → triggered】收 84.85（+2.11%），量 5,742,113 股（2.27x）。連續三日量縮（396→292→253 萬）後單日暴增，教科書式量能乾涸後帶量突破。盤中創 52 週新高 86.92，惟收盤較高點回落 2.4%。\n\n---\n【2026-08-26】四維重評 83.2（技術 100／基本 80／籌碼 76／RS 65）。收 83.1，八／四／兩週振幅 16.0%／12.3%／6.4%，五日量為 50 日均量 77%，收縮 4 層。樞紐 83.95／停損 79.05（風險 6.2%）。","companyName":"Block, Inc.","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1787258240769,"fundamentalScore":80,"id":"f7dec3f96027fe22fbcd76cc","institutionalScore":76,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1787950686946,"name":"XYZ Block","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1787258240769},"pivotPrice":83.95,"rsRating":58,"sector":"Software - Infrastructure","setupStatus":"nearPivot","stopPrice":81,"symbol":"XYZ","updatedAt":1787950997982,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"篩選分析員","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":68.1,"version":14,"volumeContractionPct":24},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-08-27 收盤｜主題發掘員】降級 degraded（非轉弱，是高乖離致型態不可操作）。收 172.78（+9.67%，區間 159.88–173.89），量 573.7 萬 vs 20 日均量 450.7 萬＝1.27x；50 日 157.01 \u003e 200 日 107.69，52 週 +122.51%（RS 上修 75→96），營益率 32.37%、空單 2.29% 無軋空。但距 50 日 +10.0%、距 200 日 +60.4%，且今日無自身財報、漲幅來自 CRM／OKTA／CRWD 財報的同業外溢，量價偏弱組合。單日跳空依部門規則不得判為 VCP，故 vcpScore 80→65，須等待新一輪收縮才恢復。失效：收破 159.88 視為外溢行情結束，收破 50 日 157.01 判型態失效。原 7/10 紀錄的 150／140 防線已完全脫離現價，作廢待重定。\n\n前情：2026-07-10 建檔為「群集 G：資安軟體 re-rating」成員（FTNT／PANW／CRWD／OKTA），8/20 全清單覆核維持 watching／80。\n\n深度歷史與今日完整分析：筆記「2026-08-27 收盤｜群集 G 進入加速段：AI agent 變現重估軟體，全員高乖離無可操作型態」（篩選研究報告資料夾）。","companyName":"Fortinet","createdAt":1783710837717,"fundamentalScore":72,"id":"8cf06deab3253cf8bd50dbda","institutionalScore":60,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1787866800000,"name":"FTNT Fortinet","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1783710838017},"rsRating":96,"sector":"資訊安全","setupStatus":"degraded","symbol":"FTNT","updatedAt":1787865529568,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"6a4f28c8d99c8bcf131c9853","agentName":"美股新興主題發掘員","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":65,"version":8},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-08-26】CSX 定價裁決：收縮 7.7%→4.4%→2.1%→3.5%→2.0%（本週三日 H52.15/L51.12），週量 132%→94%→75%→78%→40%，量價雙縮完整。樞紐取最後一段收縮高 **52.15**（非整座基底高 53.60，後者列為次級壓力）；停損 **49.70** 同時貼合 8/10 週低 49.71 與 50 日線 49.64，風險 4.9%。收 51.76 距樞紐 +0.75%，維持 nearPivot、vcpScore 78.5。搜集員提報的 ChartMill 52.01 為 10 日高之上的機械式買點，比實測收縮高低 0.27，易在假突破被觸發，故不採用。突破須帶量 ≥1.5x。\n\n---\n2026-08-26 日常追蹤｜**建議由 degraded 升 nearPivot，vcpScore 68 → 74**。收 51.76（+0.49%），量 6,837,940 股。ChartMill 今日重新以「High-Quality Technical Breakout Setup」納入，給 **Setup 9/10**，並揭露明確價位：**buy stop 進場 52.01（10 日高之上）、停損 49.70（支撐之下）**，風險 4.4%。現價距該進場價僅 **-0.48%**，距 52 週高 53.60 為 -3.43%，位階與相對強度均回到領導股區間。鐵路併購題材（UNP-NSC 過關後 CSX 為僅存整併標的）之選擇權價值仍在。\n\n---\n2026-08-20 全清單重點覆核｜重新檢視既有型態、基本面與籌碼紀錄；本輪未發現足以推翻前次結論的已確認新證據，setupStatus 維持 degraded、vcpScore 維持 68。未取得足以確認的新 pivot／stop，依規則不虛構價位。\n\n---\n2026-07-13 盤中更新：市場獨立性實測**通過**——大盤 risk-off（S\u0026P/Nasdaq 跌、SMH −2.4%、油 +3%）下 CSX +0.71% 至 $49.76，貼 52 週高 $49.84；UNP/NSC 同步收紅。併購催化與中東零相關再確認。","companyName":"CSX Corporation","contractionLevels":2,"createdAt":1783931728586,"fundamentalScore":65,"id":"62d253bc5c105f10dc363e92","institutionalScore":72,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1787787000000,"name":"CSX CSX Corporation","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1783931728586},"pivotPrice":52.15,"rsRating":66,"sector":"鐵路","setupStatus":"nearPivot","stopPrice":49.7,"symbol":"CSX","updatedAt":1787778363790,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"篩選分析員","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":78.5,"version":9,"volumeContractionPct":41},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-08-26】四維重評 78.2（技術 99／基本 72／籌碼 74／RS 54）。收 306.66，距 52 週高 -2.61%、對 50 日線 3.38%、對 200 日線 9.18%，對 SPY 加權超額 -0.9%。八／四／兩週振幅 10.1%／8.2%／4.4%，五日量為 50 日均量 90%，收縮 2 層。樞紐 311.51／停損 297.85（風險 4.6%，距樞紐 1.58%）。結構為全清單前段，但 RS 超額為負是唯一硬傷，下次覆核仍未轉正即降級。\n\n---\n2026-08-25 覆核（時間戳校正）：vcpScore 82→66。原分數僅反映了「距 52 週高 -3.5%、停損風險 4.4%」的表面結構，未計入動能崩壞：RS 46 低於大盤中位數，12 個月報酬 +4.2% vs SPY +20.0%，U/D 量比 0.74 屬派發，收盤僅高於 50 日線 2.6%、高於 200 日線 8.3%，趨勢動能薄弱。\n\n---\n2026-08-24｜**watching → nearPivot**。收縮 10.9%→7.8%→7.4%→4.4% 逐層收斂，4 週振幅 8.2%、8 週 9.3%，距 52 週高 -2.7%。樞紐 311.51（8/11 高點）、停損 297.85（8/20 低點），風險 4.4%。**扣分項**：RS 超額 -2.1；量能 5 日均 82%，量沒縮下來，突破的續航力存疑。\n\n---\n2026-08-20 全清單重點覆核｜維持 watching、vcpScore 80，未取得足以確認的新 pivot／stop。","companyName":"Air Products \u0026 Chemicals","contractionLevels":2,"createdAt":1787085397263,"fundamentalScore":72,"id":"78248195ceb5d0fa33826394","institutionalScore":74,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1787787000000,"name":"APD Air Products","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1787085397563},"pivotPrice":311.51,"rsRating":54,"sector":"工業-化工","setupStatus":"nearPivot","stopPrice":297.85,"symbol":"APD","updatedAt":1787778363790,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"篩選分析員","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":78.2,"version":7,"volumeContractionPct":32},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-08-26】四維重評 79.7（技術 77／基本 90／籌碼 55／RS 96）。收 96.52，距 52 週高 -1.9%、對 50 日線 16.13%、對 200 日線 50.91%，對 SPY 加權超額 48.8%。八／四／兩週振幅 41.2%／22.2%／12.8%，五日量為 50 日均量 78%，收縮 1 層。最後一段收縮尚未定形（振幅或風險超標），依鐵律第 5 條不填價位、狀態維持觀察。\n\n---\n2026-08-22 深度覆核（篩選分析員）｜裁決：維持 watching，vcpScore 85 → 72，續不給 pivot／stop。\n【降級理由：已延伸、無基底】自 6/15 週的 63.85 一路漲到 8/21 的 97.32，十週 +52%，現價高於 50 日線 19.3%、高於 200 日線 53.7%。週幅 10.5% → 14.5% → 12.8% → 5.9% 僅最後一週收窄，前面全是大實體推升，屬第三段推升的末期而非收縮基底，收縮層數下修為 1。\n【依鐵律第 5 條不定價】沒有可辨識的最後一段收縮低點，硬給 stop 只會是憑空數字。\n【RS 88／基本面 90 未變】煉油裂解價差維持高檔，基本面不是問題，問題純粹是位置。\n【重新評估條件】回測 50 日線（約 81.6）後出現量縮橫盤 3 週以上，才重新建立可交易的樞紐。\n\n---\n【8/5 深度覆核】觀望(79.3)：Q2 rev $10.39B(+53%)/EPS $5.31 beat$0.82/EBITDA $1.5B，上調2026 rev至$33B、EPS估$11.45；潤滑油分拆計畫。⚠️機構減持(RenTech -89%/SEI -65%/HSBC賣)、董事賣$73.09。突破$92.45需縮量回測站穩勿追。","companyName":"HF Sinclair","contractionLevels":1,"createdAt":1785986483730,"fundamentalScore":90,"id":"b3987702d73f86a0e1e9227b","institutionalScore":55,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1787787000000,"name":"DINO HF Sinclair","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1785986484030},"rsRating":96,"sector":"能源/煉油","setupStatus":"watching","symbol":"DINO","updatedAt":1787778246116,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"篩選分析員","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":79.7,"version":7,"volumeContractionPct":29},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-08-26】四維重評 81.5（技術 86／基本 76／籌碼 76／RS 86）。收 52.76，距 52 週高 -5.06%、對 50 日線 16.32%、對 200 日線 34.66%，對 SPY 加權超額 36.5%。八／四／兩週振幅 50.6%／19.8%／11.1%，五日量為 50 日均量 77%，收縮 3 層。最後一段收縮尚未定形（振幅或風險超標），依鐵律第 5 條不填價位、狀態維持觀察。\n\n---\n2026-08-20 全清單重點覆核｜重新檢視既有型態、基本面與籌碼紀錄；本輪未發現足以推翻前次結論的已確認新證據，setupStatus 維持 watching、vcpScore 維持 72。未取得足以確認的新 pivot／stop，依規則不虛構價位。 本條屬桌面覆核；若原備註含財報事件鎖、資料矛盾或舊型態警示，仍列待確認，須以後續收盤量價解除。\n\n---\n【8/13 覆核】78 觀察：Q2 營收 $103M(+12%)/adj EPS $0.43(+65%)、全球票房 $285M、FY26 票房指引 ~$1.4B(+9%)。Tech10/Setup7 進場 ~$52.63、近 52 週高。機構 108 家加倉。娛樂 Neutral。財報已過(7/23)。","companyName":"IMAX Corporation","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1786653457397,"fundamentalScore":76,"id":"efb62d58161aa3dbd044308a","institutionalScore":76,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1787787000000,"name":"IMAX IMAX","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1786653458397},"rsRating":86,"sector":"娛樂/媒體","setupStatus":"watching","symbol":"IMAX","updatedAt":1787778246116,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"篩選分析員","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":81.5,"version":5,"volumeContractionPct":27},{"analysisNotes":"【2026-08-26】四維重評 81.9（技術 100／基本 82／籌碼 72／RS 60）。收 21.43，距 52 週高 -0.97%、對 50 日線 6.58%、對 200 日線 14.42%，對 SPY 加權超額 5.6%。八／四／兩週振幅 14.2%／7.6%／4.3%，五日量為 50 日均量 90%，收縮 3 層。樞紐 21.64／停損 20.2（風險 7.1%，距樞紐 0.98%）。風險高於部門 6% 標準，僅可縮小部位。\n\n---\n2026-08-20 全清單重點覆核｜重新檢視既有型態、基本面與籌碼紀錄；本輪未發現足以推翻前次結論的已確認新證據，setupStatus 維持 watching、vcpScore 維持 83。未取得足以確認的新 pivot／stop，依規則不虛構價位。 本條屬桌面覆核；若原備註含財報事件鎖、資料矛盾或舊型態警示，仍列待確認，須以後續收盤量價解除。\n\n---\n【2026-08-19 三層覆核｜Final 80.3｜Stock 83.0 / Sector 86.9 / MHS 63.7】[confirmed 收盤／estimate 型態] Final=83.0×0.50+86.9×0.30+63.7×0.20=80.3；Opportunity_x 1.51。三次遞減收縮代理、未見重度稀釋旗標。 體制為 Uptrend Under Pressure：避免追高。證偽：放量收破50DMA、能源 ETF／ITA 破趨勢或 Cohesion\u003c60、VIX 收破20；稀釋／反分割／going-concern 待篩選分析員深度覆核。","companyName":"Energy Transfer","contractionLevels":3,"createdAt":1786567357362,"fundamentalScore":82,"id":"8fb141379501c47cca7c01cc","institutionalScore":72,"itemType":"VCP_WATCH_STOCK","lastReviewedAt":1787787000000,"name":"ET Energy Transfer","originPluginDir":"美股 VCP 投資儀表板","originPluginID":"b388da92853c860940a124ce","parents":{"default_vcp_watch_folder_6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b":1786567357462},"pivotPrice":21.64,"rsRating":60,"sector":"能源管線","setupStatus":"nearPivot","stopPrice":20.2,"symbol":"ET","updatedAt":1787778130905,"updatedBy":{"agentId":"a31ff4f5a9617313cb3b4f52","agentName":"篩選分析員","userId":"6a3dca69022f32cc4ac90b","userName":"po shing wong"},"vcpScore":81.9,"version":8,"volumeContractionPct":20}]}